San Luis vs. Cruz Azul Prediction, Picks and Odds

Dimers' prediction and analysis for the San Luis vs. Cruz Azul Liga MX match on March 7, 2026 includes win probabilities and picks for the biggest betting markets. Get Dimers Pro for full access.
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LIGA MX
San Luis
0
3
Cruz Azul
Cruz AzulCRA
Score Summary
San LuisASL
A. Palavecino (16')
Soccer ball icon
G. Fernandez (67')
Soccer ball icon
A. Montano (72')
Soccer ball icon
E. Aguila (45')
Red Card icon
Live Probabilities
Win %
  • Cruz Azul
    100.0%
  • Draw
    0.0%
  • San Luis
    0.0%
Win Probability
Match Timeline
  1. 88'
    Yellow Card
    E. Lira (Cruz Azul) cautioned
  2. 77'
    Substitution
    Substitution for Atl. San Luis: J. Dominguez replaces R. Torres
  3. 73'
    Substitution
    Substitution for Cruz Azul: A. Morales replaces O. Campos
  4. 73'
    Substitution
    Substitution for Cruz Azul: E. Lira replaces A. Palavecino
  5. 72'
    Soccer ball icon
    Goal scored for Cruz Azul by A. Montano, assisted by G. Fernandez
    0-3
  6. 68'
    Substitution
    Substitution for Atl. San Luis: L. Flores replaces J. Medina
  7. 68'
    Substitution
    Substitution for Atl. San Luis: R. Meraz replaces O. Macias
  8. 67'
    Soccer ball icon
    Goal scored for Cruz Azul by G. Fernandez, assisted by A. Palavecino
    0-2
  9. 66'
    Substitution
    Substitution for Cruz Azul: A. Montano replaces J. Paradela
  10. 65'
    Substitution
    Substitution for Cruz Azul: G. Fernandez replaces N. Ibanez
  11. 57'
    Substitution
    Substitution for Cruz Azul: C. Rodriguez replaces J. Marquez
  12. 53'
    Yellow Card
    W. Ditta (Cruz Azul) cautioned
  13. 46'
    Substitution
    Substitution for Atl. San Luis: B. Galdames replaces M. Garcia
  14. 45'
    Red Card
    E. Aguila (Atl. San Luis) sent off with a straight red card
  15. 36'
    Yellow Card
    G. Lajud (Atl. San Luis) cautioned
  16. 31'
    Yellow Card
    Lucas Esteves (Atl. San Luis) cautioned
  17. 26'
    Substitution
    Substitution for Atl. San Luis: G. Lajud replaces A. Sanchez
  18. 16'
    Soccer ball icon
    Goal scored for Cruz Azul by A. Palavecino, assisted by N. Ibanez
    0-1

San Luis vs. Cruz Azul: Match prediction & analysis

Match overview

  • Teams: San Luis vs. Cruz Azul
  • Date: Saturday, March 7, 2026
  • Time: 6:00 PM ET

Current betting odds

  • Moneyline: San Luis +650, Cruz Azul -250, draw +390
  • Total (Over/Under): 2.5 goals (-148/+132)

Dimers' win & correct score probabilities

  • San Luis: 11.8%
  • Cruz Azul: 70.8%
  • Draw: 17.5%

These probabilities are generated using Dimers' Liga MX data model, which predicts the most likely outcomes for all major betting markets.

Most likely correct score: San Luis 0-2 Cruz Azul (11.5%)

Correct score projections are based on expected scoring patterns. A team can have a higher chance of winning overall, even if the single most likely scoreline is a draw or narrow result.

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  • Moneyline probabilities
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Who will win San Luis vs. Cruz Azul? Prediction & correct score

Cruz Azul is the most likely winner of this match with a win probability of 70.8%.

The most likely correct score is San Luis 0-2 Cruz Azul.

But the most likely outcomes aren't always the best betting opportunities.

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