Pumas UNAM vs. Puebla Prediction, Picks and Odds

Dimers' prediction and analysis for the Pumas UNAM vs. Puebla Liga MX match on February 13, 2026 includes win probabilities and picks for the biggest betting markets. Start your free 3-day trial of Dimers Pro for full access.
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LIGA MX
Pumas UNAM
3
2
Puebla
PueblaPBL
Score Summary
Pumas UNAMUNAM
J. Vargas (29')
Soccer ball icon
E. Guerra (41')
Soccer ball icon
G. Martinez (44')
Soccer ball icon
R. Morales (pen.) (64')
Soccer ball icon
Juninho (88')
Soccer ball icon
Live Probabilities
Win %
  • Puebla
    0.0%
  • Draw
    0.0%
  • Pumas UNAM
    100.0%
Win Probability
Match Timeline
  1. 88'
    Soccer ball icon
    Goal scored for UNAM Pumas by Juninho, assisted by U. Antuna
    3-2
  2. 83'
    Substitution
    Substitution for Puebla: E. Mustre replaces E. Lozano
  3. 77'
    Substitution
    Substitution for UNAM Pumas: U. Antuna replaces G. Martinez
  4. 70'
    Yellow Card
    A. Azuaje (UNAM Pumas) cautioned
  5. 68'
    Substitution
    Substitution for UNAM Pumas: Juninho replaces R. Duarte
  6. 68'
    Substitution
    Substitution for UNAM Pumas: A. Azuaje replaces A. Medina
  7. 64'
    Soccer ball icon
    Goal scored for UNAM Pumas by R. Morales (pen.)
    2-2
  8. 64'
    Substitution
    Substitution for Puebla: A. Organista replaces L. Rey
  9. 64'
    Substitution
    Substitution for Puebla: F. Monarrez replaces E. Gomez
  10. 55'
    Substitution
    Substitution for Puebla: A. Ramirez replaces C. Baltazar
  11. 55'
    Substitution
    Substitution for Puebla: M. Ramirez replaces E. Guerra
  12. 53'
    Substitution
    Substitution for UNAM Pumas: A. Carrasquilla replaces C. Garza
  13. 44'
    Soccer ball icon
    Goal scored for UNAM Pumas by G. Martinez, assisted by R. Morales
    1-2
  14. 41'
    Soccer ball icon
    Goal scored for Puebla by E. Guerra, assisted by E. Gomez
    0-2
  15. 29'
    Soccer ball icon
    Goal scored for Puebla by J. Vargas, assisted by K. Velasco
    0-1
  16. 7'
    Yellow Card
    I. Moreno (Puebla) cautioned

Pumas UNAM vs. Puebla: Match prediction & analysis

Match overview

  • Teams: Pumas UNAM vs. Puebla
  • Date: Friday, February 13, 2026
  • Time: 8:00 PM ET

Current betting odds

  • Moneyline: Pumas UNAM +175, Puebla +155, draw +220
  • Total (Over/Under): 2.5 goals (+104/-128)

Dimers' win & correct score probabilities

  • Pumas UNAM: 41.8%
  • Puebla: 31.2%
  • Draw: 27.0%

These probabilities are generated using Dimers' Liga MX data model, which predicts the most likely outcomes for all major betting markets.

Most likely correct score: Pumas UNAM 1-1 Puebla (12.8%)

Correct score projections are based on expected scoring patterns. A team can have a higher chance of winning overall, even if the single most likely scoreline is a draw or narrow result.

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Who will win Pumas UNAM vs. Puebla? Prediction & correct score

Pumas UNAM is the most likely winner of this match with a win probability of 41.8%.

The most likely correct score is Pumas UNAM 1-1 Puebla.

But the most likely outcomes aren't always the best betting opportunities.

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