Club Tijuana vs. Toluca Prediction, Picks and Odds

Dimers' prediction and analysis for the Club Tijuana vs. Toluca Liga MX match on February 13, 2026 includes win probabilities and picks for the biggest betting markets. Get Dimers Pro for full access.
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FINAL
LIGA MX
FINAL
LMX sport icon
LIGA MX
Club Tijuana
0
1
Toluca
TolucaTOL
Score Summary
Club TijuanaTIJ
Paulinho (21')
Soccer ball icon
Live Probabilities
Win %
  • Toluca
    100.0%
  • Draw
    0.0%
  • Club Tijuana
    0.0%
Win Probability
Match Timeline
  1. 90'
    Yellow Card
    D. Blanco (Club Tijuana) cautioned
  2. 84'
    Substitution
    Substitution for Club Tijuana: J. Martinez replaces M. El Ghezouani
  3. 83'
    Substitution
    Substitution for Toluca: Luan replaces P. Perez
  4. 76'
    Substitution
    Substitution for Club Tijuana: D. Abreu replaces A. Preciado
  5. 76'
    Substitution
    Substitution for Club Tijuana: A. Vega replaces P. N. Ortiz Orozco
  6. 75'
    Substitution
    Substitution for Toluca: S. Cordova replaces J. Angulo
  7. 66'
    Yellow Card
    M. Ruiz (Toluca) cautioned
  8. 62'
    Substitution
    Substitution for Toluca: D. Barbosa replaces J. Diaz
  9. 46'
    Substitution
    Substitution for Club Tijuana: A. Gomez replaces R. Arciga
  10. 46'
    Substitution
    Substitution for Club Tijuana: D. Blanco replaces I. Rivero
  11. 38'
    Yellow Card
    R. Arciga (Club Tijuana) cautioned
  12. 31'
    Yellow Card
    P. N. Ortiz Orozco (Club Tijuana) cautioned
  13. 30'
    Yellow Card
    S. Simon (Toluca) cautioned
  14. 21'
    Soccer ball icon
    Goal scored for Toluca by Paulinho, assisted by M. Ruiz
    0-1

Club Tijuana vs. Toluca: Match prediction & analysis

Match overview

  • Teams: Club Tijuana vs. Toluca
  • Date: Friday, February 13, 2026
  • Time: 10:05 PM ET

Current betting odds

  • Moneyline: Club Tijuana +1100, Toluca -400, draw +600

Dimers' win & correct score probabilities

  • Club Tijuana: 10.0%
  • Toluca: 75.2%
  • Draw: 14.8%

These probabilities are generated using Dimers' Liga MX data model, which predicts the most likely outcomes for all major betting markets.

Most likely correct score: Club Tijuana 0-2 Toluca (10.2%)

Correct score projections are based on expected scoring patterns. A team can have a higher chance of winning overall, even if the single most likely scoreline is a draw or narrow result.

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Who will win Club Tijuana vs. Toluca? Prediction & correct score

Toluca is the most likely winner of this match with a win probability of 75.2%.

The most likely correct score is Club Tijuana 0-2 Toluca.

But the most likely outcomes aren't always the best betting opportunities.

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