Real Oviedo vs. Villareal Prediction, Picks and Odds

Dimers' prediction and analysis for the Real Oviedo vs. Villareal La Liga match on April 23, 2026 includes win probabilities and picks for the biggest betting markets. Get Dimers Pro for full access.
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LA LIGA
Villareal
1
:
1
Estadio Nuevo Carlos Tartiere
Real Oviedo
Estadio Nuevo Carlos Tartiere
Real OviedoOVI
Score Summary
VillarealVIL
I. Chaira (69')
Soccer ball icon
N. Pepe (pen.) (13')
Soccer ball icon
Live Probabilities
Win %
  • Real Oviedo
    0.0%
  • Draw
    100.0%
  • Villareal
    0.0%
Win Probability
Match Timeline
  1. 90'
    Substitution
    Substitution for Oviedo: R. Alhassane replaces J. Lopez
  2. 90'
    Substitution
    Substitution for Oviedo: P. Agudin replaces I. Chaira
  3. 90'
    Yellow Card
    A. Moleiro (Villarreal) cautioned
  4. 78'
    Substitution
    Substitution for Villarreal: T. Partey replaces D. Parejo
  5. 78'
    Substitution
    Substitution for Villarreal: A. Freeman replaces S. Mourino
  6. 72'
    Substitution
    Substitution for Oviedo: S. Cazorla replaces A. Reina
  7. 71'
    Substitution
    Substitution for Oviedo: H. Hassan replaces T. Fernandez
  8. 71'
    Substitution
    Substitution for Oviedo: O. Ejaria replaces K. Sibo
  9. 69'
    Soccer ball icon
    Goal scored for Oviedo by I. Chaira
    1-1
  10. 63'
    Substitution
    Substitution for Villarreal: A. Moleiro replaces A. Gonzalez
  11. 63'
    Substitution
    Substitution for Villarreal: A. Perez replaces T. Oluwaseyi
  12. 46'
    Substitution
    Substitution for Villarreal: G. Mikautadze replaces T. Buchanan
  13. 37'
    Yellow Card
    A. Escandell (Oviedo) cautioned
  14. 13'
    Soccer ball icon
    Goal scored for Villarreal by N. Pepe (pen.)
    1-0

Real Oviedo vs. Villareal: Match prediction & analysis

Match overview

  • Teams: Real Oviedo vs. Villareal
  • Date: Thursday, April 23, 2026
  • Time: 3:30 PM ET
  • Venue: Estadio Nuevo Carlos Tartiere

Current betting odds

  • Moneyline: Real Oviedo +240, Villareal +125, draw +250
  • Total (Over/Under): 2.5 goals (+105/-110)

Dimers' win & correct score probabilities

  • Real Oviedo: 30.3%
  • Villareal: 44.1%
  • Draw: 25.6%

These probabilities are generated using Dimers' La Liga data model, which predicts the most likely outcomes for all major betting markets.

Most likely correct score: Real Oviedo 1-1 Villareal (12.2%)

Correct score projections are based on expected scoring patterns. A team can have a higher chance of winning overall, even if the single most likely scoreline is a draw or narrow result.

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  • Moneyline probabilities
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Who will win Real Oviedo vs. Villareal? Prediction & correct score

Villareal is the most likely winner of this match with a win probability of 44.1%.

The most likely correct score is Real Oviedo 1-1 Villareal.

But the most likely outcomes aren't always the best betting opportunities.

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