Rayo Vallecano vs. Espanyol Prediction, Picks and Odds

Dimers' prediction and analysis for the Rayo Vallecano vs. Espanyol La Liga match on April 23, 2026 includes win probabilities and picks for the biggest betting markets. Get Dimers Pro for full access.
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ESP sport icon
LA LIGA
Espanyol
0
1
Campo de Futbol de Vallecas
Rayo Vallecano
Campo de Futbol de Vallecas
Rayo VallecanoRVC
Score Summary
EspanyolESP
S. Camello (87')
Soccer ball icon
Live Probabilities
Win %
  • Rayo Vallecano
    100.0%
  • Draw
    0.0%
  • Espanyol
    0.0%
Win Probability
Match Timeline
  1. 90'
    Substitution
    Substitution for Espanyol: M. Rubio replaces P. Milla
  2. 87'
    Soccer ball icon
    Goal scored for Rayo Vallecano by S. Camello, assisted by I. Akhomach
    0-1
  3. 83'
    Yellow Card
    C. Ngonge (Espanyol) cautioned
  4. 82'
    Substitution
    Substitution for Rayo Vallecano: A. Mumin replaces J. Vertrouwd
  5. 82'
    Substitution
    Substitution for Rayo Vallecano: S. Camello replaces P. Diaz
  6. 78'
    Substitution
    Substitution for Espanyol: C. Riedel replaces F. Calero
  7. 78'
    Substitution
    Substitution for Espanyol: C. Ngonge replaces T. Dolan
  8. 76'
    Substitution
    Substitution for Rayo Vallecano: G. Gumbau replaces Alemao
  9. 76'
    Substitution
    Substitution for Rayo Vallecano: U. Lopez replaces O. Valentin
  10. 75'
    Yellow Card
    L. Cabrera (Espanyol) cautioned
  11. 74'
    Penalty missed by K. Garcia for Espanyol
  12. 67'
    Substitution
    Substitution for Espanyol: R. Terrats replaces R. Fernandez Jaen
  13. 58'
    Substitution
    Substitution for Rayo Vallecano: I. Akhomach replaces Pacha
  14. 50'
    Yellow Card
    P. Ciss (Rayo Vallecano) cautioned
  15. 46'
    Substitution
    Substitution for Espanyol: C. Pickel replaces P. Lozano
  16. 35'
    Yellow Card
    A. Batalla (Rayo Vallecano) cautioned
  17. 19'
    Yellow Card
    P. Lozano (Espanyol) cautioned
  18. 2'
    Yellow Card
    P. Milla (Espanyol) cautioned

Rayo Vallecano vs. Espanyol: Match prediction & analysis

Match overview

  • Teams: Rayo Vallecano vs. Espanyol
  • Date: Thursday, April 23, 2026
  • Time: 2:00 PM ET
  • Venue: Campo de Futbol de Vallecas

Current betting odds

  • Moneyline: Rayo Vallecano +115, Espanyol +280, draw +240
  • Total (Over/Under): 2.5 goals (-106/-110)

Dimers' win & correct score probabilities

  • Rayo Vallecano: 45.5%
  • Espanyol: 28.7%
  • Draw: 25.8%

These probabilities are generated using Dimers' La Liga data model, which predicts the most likely outcomes for all major betting markets.

Most likely correct score: Rayo Vallecano 1-1 Espanyol (12.3%)

Correct score projections are based on expected scoring patterns. A team can have a higher chance of winning overall, even if the single most likely scoreline is a draw or narrow result.

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Who will win Rayo Vallecano vs. Espanyol? Prediction & correct score

Rayo Vallecano is the most likely winner of this match with a win probability of 45.5%.

The most likely correct score is Rayo Vallecano 1-1 Espanyol.

But the most likely outcomes aren't always the best betting opportunities.

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