Osasuna vs. Real Madrid Prediction, Picks and Odds

Dimers' prediction and analysis for the Osasuna vs. Real Madrid La Liga match on February 21, 2026 includes win probabilities and picks for the biggest betting markets. Start your free 3-day trial of Dimers Pro for full access.
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LA LIGA
Real Madrid
1
2
Feb 21, 12:30 PM ET Estadio El Sadar
Osasuna
Feb 21, 12:30 PM ET Estadio El Sadar
OsasunaOSA
Score Summary
Real MadridRMA
A. Budimir (pen.) (38')
Soccer ball icon
R. Garcia (90')
Soccer ball icon
Vinicius Junior (73')
Soccer ball icon
Live Probabilities
Win %
  • Osasuna
    100.0%
  • Draw
    0.0%
  • Real Madrid
    0.0%
Win Probability
Match Timeline
90'
Soccer ball icon
Goal scored for Osasuna by R. Garcia, assisted by R. Moro
1-2
90'
Yellow Card
D. Alaba (Real Madrid) cautioned
88'
Yellow Card
Vinicius Junior (Real Madrid) cautioned
84'
Yellow Card
T. Alexander-Arnold (Real Madrid) cautioned
83'
Substitution
Substitution for Osasuna: I. Arguibide replaces V. Rosier
83'
Substitution
Substitution for Osasuna: R. Moro replaces J. Moncayola
82'
Substitution
Substitution for Real Madrid: D. Ceballos replaces A. Guler
75'
Substitution
Substitution for Real Madrid: G. Garcia replaces F. Valverde
73'
Soccer ball icon
Goal scored for Real Madrid by Vinicius Junior, assisted by F. Valverde
1-1
71'
Substitution
Substitution for Osasuna: I. Munoz replaces A. Oroz
67'
Substitution
Substitution for Osasuna: R. Garcia replaces A. Budimir
66'
Yellow Card
J. Moncayola (Osasuna) cautioned
66'
Substitution
Substitution for Osasuna: A. Bretones replaces R. Garcia
64'
Substitution
Substitution for Real Madrid: B. Diaz replaces E. Camavinga
64'
Substitution
Substitution for Real Madrid: T. Alexander-Arnold replaces D. Carvajal
38'
Soccer ball icon
Goal scored for Osasuna by A. Budimir (pen.)
0-1
37'
Yellow Card
T. Courtois (Real Madrid) cautioned
32'
Yellow Card
A. Oroz (Osasuna) cautioned

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Osasuna vs. Real Madrid: Match prediction & analysis

Match overview

  • Teams: Osasuna vs. Real Madrid
  • Date: Saturday, February 21, 2026
  • Time: 12:30 PM ET
  • Venue: Estadio El Sadar

Current betting odds

  • Moneyline: Osasuna +380, Real Madrid -135, draw +300
  • Total (Over/Under): 2.5 goals (-152/+128)

Dimers' win & correct score probabilities

  • Osasuna: 23.5%
  • Real Madrid: 53.1%
  • Draw: 23.4%

These probabilities are generated using Dimers' La Liga data model, which predicts the most likely outcomes for all major betting markets.

Most likely correct score: Osasuna 1-1 Real Madrid (11.0%)

Correct score projections are based on expected scoring patterns. A team can have a higher chance of winning overall, even if the single most likely scoreline is a draw or narrow result.

Want Dimers' best bets for this matchup?

The most probable outcome isn't always the wisest wager.

The Dimers betting model calculates probabilities for all match outcomes to identify where it sees the strongest value across the betting markets, ranking every opportunity by model edge.

Join Dimers Pro to unlock complete betting analysis for this matchup across every major market, including:

  • Today's best bets
  • Moneyline probabilities
  • Total goals probabilities
  • Correct score probabilities

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Who will win Osasuna vs. Real Madrid? Prediction & correct score

Real Madrid is the most likely winner of this match with a win probability of 53.1%.

The most likely correct score is Osasuna 1-1 Real Madrid.

But the most likely outcomes aren't always the best betting opportunities.

Start your free 3-day trial of Dimers Pro to unlock today's best bets and complete betting analysis for this matchup.

Responsible gambling

Dimers' predictions and betting insights are designed to help inform your betting decisions. If you're betting on Osasuna vs. Real Madrid, always gamble responsibly and within your means. For support, you can visit our responsible gambling resources.