Osasuna vs. Real Madrid Prediction, Picks and Odds

Dimers' prediction and analysis for Osasuna vs. Real Madrid in the World Cup on February 21, 2026 includes win probabilities and picks for the biggest betting markets.
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Real Madrid
1
2
Feb 21, 5:30PM Estadio El Sadar
Osasuna
Feb 21, 5:30PM Estadio El Sadar
In-Play ProbabilitiesIn-Play
Pre-Game PredictionsPre-Game
Bets
OsasunaOSA
Score Summary
Real MadridRMA
A. Budimir (pen.) (38')
Soccer ball icon
R. Garcia (90')
Soccer ball icon
Vinicius Junior (73')
Soccer ball icon
Live Probabilities
Moneyline
Over / Under
Win %
OSA
100.0%
Draw
0.0%
RMA
0.0%
Win Probability
Match Timeline
90'
Soccer ball icon
Goal scored for Osasuna by R. Garcia, assisted by R. Moro
1-2
90'
Yellow Card
D. Alaba (Real Madrid) cautioned
88'
Yellow Card
Vinicius Junior (Real Madrid) cautioned
84'
Yellow Card
T. Alexander-Arnold (Real Madrid) cautioned
83'
Substitution
Substitution for Osasuna: I. Arguibide replaces V. Rosier
83'
Substitution
Substitution for Osasuna: R. Moro replaces J. Moncayola
82'
Substitution
Substitution for Real Madrid: D. Ceballos replaces A. Guler
75'
Substitution
Substitution for Real Madrid: G. Garcia replaces F. Valverde
73'
Soccer ball icon
Goal scored for Real Madrid by Vinicius Junior, assisted by F. Valverde
1-1
71'
Substitution
Substitution for Osasuna: I. Munoz replaces A. Oroz
67'
Substitution
Substitution for Osasuna: R. Garcia replaces A. Budimir
66'
Yellow Card
J. Moncayola (Osasuna) cautioned
66'
Substitution
Substitution for Osasuna: A. Bretones replaces R. Garcia
64'
Substitution
Substitution for Real Madrid: B. Diaz replaces E. Camavinga
64'
Substitution
Substitution for Real Madrid: T. Alexander-Arnold replaces D. Carvajal
38'
Soccer ball icon
Goal scored for Osasuna by A. Budimir (pen.)
0-1
37'
Yellow Card
T. Courtois (Real Madrid) cautioned
32'
Yellow Card
A. Oroz (Osasuna) cautioned

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Osasuna vs. Real Madrid: World Cup prediction & analysis

Dimers' Osasuna vs. Real Madrid prediction is powered by a data-driven model built specifically for World Cup matches. The model projects how many goals each team is expected to score, then converts those projections into probabilities and picks across major betting markets.

Our coverage includes predictions, bets and odds for moneyline, over/under, double chance, both teams to score (BTTS), win to nil, and correct score.

The model factors in team attacking and defensive performance, recent form, opponent strength, tournament history, match location and expected player involvement to deliver consistent insights across every World Cup match.

Match overview

  • Teams: Osasuna vs. Real Madrid
  • Date: Saturday, February 21, 2026
  • Time: 12:30 PM ET
  • Venue: Estadio El Sadar
  • Tournament: FIFA World Cup

Current betting odds

  • Moneyline: Osasuna +380, Real Madrid -135, draw +300
  • Total (Over/Under): 2.5 goals (-152/+128)

Dimers' win probabilities

  • Osasuna: 23.5%
  • Real Madrid: 53.1%
  • Draw: 23.4%

These probabilities are generated using Dimers' international soccer ratings system, designed to help bettors navigate World Cup predictions with greater confidence and clarity.

Correct score

The most likely correct score for this match is Osasuna 1-1 Real Madrid.

Correct score projections reflect expected scoring distributions. In some cases, a team can carry a higher overall win probability while the most likely specific outcome is a narrow result or a draw.

Our prediction

Real Madrid is the most likely winner of this match with a win probability of 53.1%.

For full access to Dimers' World Cup best bets and to find out who will win the World Cup, unlock the complete experience with Dimers Pro.

Summary

Dimers' Osasuna vs. Real Madrid prediction aims to turn World Cup chaos into clarity. Our coverage is grounded in repeatable logic, data-driven analysis, and consistent tournament-wide modeling—not headlines or hunches.

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