Atletico Madrid vs. Espanyol Prediction, Picks and Odds

Dimers' prediction and analysis for the Atletico Madrid vs. Espanyol La Liga match on February 21, 2026 includes win probabilities and picks for the biggest betting markets. Get Dimers Pro for full access.
Get 6 months of Dimers Pro for just $119.99
FINAL
LA LIGA
Add this game to My Favorites
FINAL
Add this game to My Favorites
ESP sport icon
LA LIGA
Espanyol
2
4
Metropolitano Stadium
Atletico Madrid
Metropolitano Stadium
Atletico MadridATM
Score Summary
EspanyolESP
A. Sorloth (21')
Soccer ball icon
G. Simeone (49')
Soccer ball icon
A. Lookman (58')
Soccer ball icon
A. Sorloth (72')
Soccer ball icon
Jofre (6')
Soccer ball icon
Exposito (80')
Soccer ball icon
Live Probabilities
Win %
  • Atletico Madrid
    100.0%
  • Draw
    0.0%
  • Espanyol
    0.0%
Win Probability
Match Timeline
  1. 84'
    Substitution
    Substitution for Atl. Madrid: R. Le Normand replaces G. Simeone
  2. 83'
    Yellow Card
    C. Ngonge (Espanyol) cautioned
  3. 80'
    Soccer ball icon
    Goal scored for Espanyol by Exposito
    2-4
  4. 77'
    Substitution
    Substitution for Espanyol: P. Milla replaces Jofre
  5. 74'
    Substitution
    Substitution for Atl. Madrid: N. Molina replaces M. Llorente
  6. 74'
    Substitution
    Substitution for Atl. Madrid: T. Almada replaces A. Griezmann
  7. 72'
    Soccer ball icon
    Goal scored for Atl. Madrid by A. Sorloth, assisted by M. Ruggeri
    1-4
  8. 70'
    Substitution
    Substitution for Espanyol: Exposito replaces P. Lozano
  9. 70'
    Substitution
    Substitution for Espanyol: R. Fernandez Jaen replaces K. Garcia
  10. 70'
    Substitution
    Substitution for Espanyol: C. Ngonge replaces T. Dolan
  11. 61'
    Substitution
    Substitution for Atl. Madrid: Koke replaces A. Baena
  12. 61'
    Substitution
    Substitution for Atl. Madrid: J. Alvarez replaces A. Lookman
  13. 58'
    Soccer ball icon
    Goal scored for Atl. Madrid by A. Lookman, assisted by M. Ruggeri
    1-3
  14. 57'
    Substitution
    Substitution for Espanyol: R. Terrats replaces C. Riedel
  15. 49'
    Soccer ball icon
    Goal scored for Atl. Madrid by G. Simeone, assisted by A. Baena
    1-2
  16. 21'
    Soccer ball icon
    Goal scored for Atl. Madrid by A. Sorloth, assisted by M. Llorente
    1-1
  17. 6'
    Soccer ball icon
    Goal scored for Espanyol by Jofre
    1-0

Atletico Madrid vs. Espanyol: Match prediction & analysis

Match overview

  • Teams: Atletico Madrid vs. Espanyol
  • Date: Saturday, February 21, 2026
  • Time: 3:00 PM ET
  • Venue: Metropolitano Stadium

Current betting odds

  • Moneyline: Atletico Madrid -260, Espanyol +700, draw +370
  • Total (Over/Under): 2.5 goals (-137/+112)

Dimers' win & correct score probabilities

  • Atletico Madrid: 63.2%
  • Espanyol: 15.3%
  • Draw: 21.5%

These probabilities are generated using Dimers' La Liga data model, which predicts the most likely outcomes for all major betting markets.

Most likely correct score: Atletico Madrid 1-0 Espanyol (12.5%)

Correct score projections are based on expected scoring patterns. A team can have a higher chance of winning overall, even if the single most likely scoreline is a draw or narrow result.

Want Dimers' best bets for this matchup?

The most probable outcome isn't always the wisest wager.

The Dimers betting model calculates probabilities for all match outcomes to identify where it sees the strongest value across the betting markets, ranking every opportunity by model edge.

Join Dimers Pro to unlock complete betting analysis for this matchup across every major market, including:

  • Today's best bets
  • Moneyline probabilities
  • Total goals probabilities
  • Correct score probabilities

Unlock today's best bets for this match with Dimers Pro—cancel anytime.

Who will win Atletico Madrid vs. Espanyol? Prediction & correct score

Atletico Madrid is the most likely winner of this match with a win probability of 63.2%.

The most likely correct score is Atletico Madrid 1-0 Espanyol.

But the most likely outcomes aren't always the best betting opportunities.

Get Dimers Pro to unlock today's best bets and complete betting analysis for this matchup.

Responsible gambling

Dimers' predictions and betting insights are designed to help inform your betting decisions. If you're betting on Atletico Madrid vs. Espanyol, always gamble responsibly and within your means. For support, you can visit our responsible gambling resources.