Sevilla vs. Alaves Prediction, Picks and Odds

Dimers' prediction and analysis for the Sevilla vs. Alaves La Liga match on February 14, 2026 includes win probabilities and picks for the biggest betting markets. Start your free 3-day trial of Dimers Pro for full access.
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LA LIGA
Alaves
1
:
1
Feb 14, 12:30 PM ET
Sevilla
Feb 14, 12:30 PM ET
SevillaSEV
Score Summary
AlavesALA
J. Sanchez (16')
Red Card icon
D. Sow (42')
Soccer ball icon
M. Almeyda (85')
Red Card icon
Joan Jordan (90')
Red Card icon
T. Martinez (60')
Soccer ball icon
Live Probabilities
Win %
  • Sevilla
    0.0%
  • Draw
    100.0%
  • Alaves
    0.0%
Win Probability
Match Timeline
90'
Yellow Card
N. Gudelj (Sevilla) cautioned
90'
Red Card
Joan Jordan (Sevilla) sent off with a straight red card
90'
Yellow Card
Peque (Sevilla) cautioned
90'
Yellow Card
B. Mendy (Sevilla) cautioned
85'
Red Card
M. Almeyda (Sevilla) sent off with a straight red card
84'
Substitution
Substitution for Alaves: J. Guridi replaces C. Alena
81'
Substitution
Substitution for Sevilla: F. Gattoni replaces L. Agoume
81'
Substitution
Substitution for Sevilla: Peque replaces A. Adams
70'
Substitution
Substitution for Sevilla: C. Ejuke replaces T. Nianzou
70'
Substitution
Substitution for Sevilla: I. Romero replaces N. Maupay
65'
VAR: Goal Disallowed - offside
61'
Substitution
Substitution for Sevilla: B. Mendy replaces D. Sow
60'
Soccer ball icon
Goal scored for Alaves by T. Martinez, assisted by C. Alena
1-1
55'
Substitution
Substitution for Sevilla: J. A. Carmona replaces C. Azpilicueta
46'
Substitution
Substitution for Alaves: P. Ibanez replaces A. Blanco
46'
Substitution
Substitution for Alaves: A. Guevara replaces D. Suarez
46'
Substitution
Substitution for Alaves: A. Perez replaces Calebe
42'
Soccer ball icon
Goal scored for Sevilla by D. Sow
0-1
16'
Red Card
J. Sanchez (Sevilla) sent off for a second yellow card
2'
Yellow Card
J. Sanchez (Sevilla) cautioned

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Sevilla vs. Alaves: Match prediction & analysis

Match overview

  • Teams: Sevilla vs. Alaves
  • Date: Saturday, February 14, 2026
  • Time: 12:30 PM ET

Current betting odds

  • Moneyline: Sevilla +115, Alaves +310, draw +210
  • Total (Over/Under): 2.5 goals (+148/-184)

Dimers' win & correct score probabilities

  • Sevilla: 46.7%
  • Alaves: 26.0%
  • Draw: 27.3%

These probabilities are generated using Dimers' La Liga data model, which predicts the most likely outcomes for all major betting markets.

Most likely correct score: Sevilla 1-0 Alaves (13.3%)

Correct score projections are based on expected scoring patterns. A team can have a higher chance of winning overall, even if the single most likely scoreline is a draw or narrow result.

Want Dimers' best bets for this matchup?

The most probable outcome isn't always the wisest wager.

The Dimers betting model calculates probabilities for all match outcomes to identify where it sees the strongest value across the betting markets, ranking every opportunity by model edge.

Join Dimers Pro to unlock complete betting analysis for this matchup across every major market, including:

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  • Moneyline probabilities
  • Total goals probabilities
  • Correct score probabilities

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Who will win Sevilla vs. Alaves? Prediction & correct score

Sevilla is the most likely winner of this match with a win probability of 46.7%.

The most likely correct score is Sevilla 1-0 Alaves.

But the most likely outcomes aren't always the best betting opportunities.

Start your free 3-day trial of Dimers Pro to unlock today's best bets and complete betting analysis for this matchup.

Responsible gambling

Dimers' predictions and betting insights are designed to help inform your betting decisions. If you're betting on Sevilla vs. Alaves, always gamble responsibly and within your means. For support, you can visit our responsible gambling resources.