Sevilla vs. Alaves Prediction, Picks and Odds

Dimers' prediction and analysis for Sevilla vs. Alaves in the World Cup on February 14, 2026 includes win probabilities and picks for the biggest betting markets.
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Alaves
1
:
1
Feb 14, 5:30PM
Sevilla
Feb 14, 5:30PM
In-Play ProbabilitiesIn-Play
Pre-Game PredictionsPre-Game
Bets
SevillaSEV
Score Summary
AlavesALA
J. Sanchez (16')
Red Card icon
D. Sow (42')
Soccer ball icon
M. Almeyda (85')
Red Card icon
Joan Jordan (90')
Red Card icon
T. Martinez (60')
Soccer ball icon
Live Probabilities
Moneyline
Over / Under
Win %
SEV
0.0%
Draw
100.0%
ALA
0.0%
Win Probability
Match Timeline
90'
Yellow Card
N. Gudelj (Sevilla) cautioned
90'
Red Card
Joan Jordan (Sevilla) sent off with a straight red card
90'
Yellow Card
Peque (Sevilla) cautioned
90'
Yellow Card
B. Mendy (Sevilla) cautioned
85'
Red Card
M. Almeyda (Sevilla) sent off with a straight red card
84'
Substitution
Substitution for Alaves: J. Guridi replaces C. Alena
81'
Substitution
Substitution for Sevilla: F. Gattoni replaces L. Agoume
81'
Substitution
Substitution for Sevilla: Peque replaces A. Adams
70'
Substitution
Substitution for Sevilla: C. Ejuke replaces T. Nianzou
70'
Substitution
Substitution for Sevilla: I. Romero replaces N. Maupay
65'
VAR: Goal Disallowed - offside
61'
Substitution
Substitution for Sevilla: B. Mendy replaces D. Sow
60'
Soccer ball icon
Goal scored for Alaves by T. Martinez, assisted by C. Alena
1-1
55'
Substitution
Substitution for Sevilla: J. A. Carmona replaces C. Azpilicueta
46'
Substitution
Substitution for Alaves: P. Ibanez replaces A. Blanco
46'
Substitution
Substitution for Alaves: A. Guevara replaces D. Suarez
46'
Substitution
Substitution for Alaves: A. Perez replaces Calebe
42'
Soccer ball icon
Goal scored for Sevilla by D. Sow
0-1
16'
Red Card
J. Sanchez (Sevilla) sent off for a second yellow card
2'
Yellow Card
J. Sanchez (Sevilla) cautioned

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Sevilla vs. Alaves: World Cup prediction & analysis

Dimers' Sevilla vs. Alaves prediction is powered by a data-driven model built specifically for World Cup matches. The model projects how many goals each team is expected to score, then converts those projections into probabilities and picks across major betting markets.

Our coverage includes predictions, bets and odds for moneyline, over/under, double chance, both teams to score (BTTS), win to nil, and correct score.

The model factors in team attacking and defensive performance, recent form, opponent strength, tournament history, match location and expected player involvement to deliver consistent insights across every World Cup match.

Match overview

  • Teams: Sevilla vs. Alaves
  • Date: Saturday, February 14, 2026
  • Time: 12:30 PM ET
  • Tournament: FIFA World Cup

Current betting odds

  • Moneyline: Sevilla +115, Alaves +310, draw +210
  • Total (Over/Under): 2.5 goals (+148/-184)

Dimers' win probabilities

  • Sevilla: 46.7%
  • Alaves: 26.0%
  • Draw: 27.3%

These probabilities are generated using Dimers' international soccer ratings system, designed to help bettors navigate World Cup predictions with greater confidence and clarity.

Correct score

The most likely correct score for this match is Sevilla 1-0 Alaves.

Correct score projections reflect expected scoring distributions. In some cases, a team can carry a higher overall win probability while the most likely specific outcome is a narrow result or a draw.

Our prediction

Sevilla is the most likely winner of this match with a win probability of 46.7%.

For full access to Dimers' World Cup best bets and to find out who will win the World Cup, unlock the complete experience with Dimers Pro.

Summary

Dimers' Sevilla vs. Alaves prediction aims to turn World Cup chaos into clarity. Our coverage is grounded in repeatable logic, data-driven analysis, and consistent tournament-wide modeling—not headlines or hunches.

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