Rayo Vallecano vs. Atletico Madrid Prediction, Picks and Odds

Dimers' prediction and analysis for the Rayo Vallecano vs. Atletico Madrid La Liga match on February 15, 2026 includes win probabilities and picks for the biggest betting markets. Get Dimers Pro for full access.
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LA LIGA
Atletico Madrid
0
3
Campo de Futbol de Vallecas
Rayo Vallecano
Campo de Futbol de Vallecas
Rayo VallecanoRVC
Score Summary
Atletico MadridATM
F. Perez (40')
Soccer ball icon
O. Valentin (45')
Soccer ball icon
N. Mendy (76')
Soccer ball icon
Live Probabilities
Win %
  • Rayo Vallecano
    100.0%
  • Draw
    0.0%
  • Atletico Madrid
    0.0%
Win Probability
Match Timeline
  1. 90'
    Yellow Card
    A. Garcia (Rayo Vallecano) cautioned
  2. 83'
    Substitution
    Substitution for Rayo Vallecano: U. Lopez replaces G. Gumbau
  3. 76'
    Soccer ball icon
    Goal scored for Rayo Vallecano by N. Mendy, assisted by A. Garcia
    0-3
  4. 74'
    Substitution
    Substitution for Rayo Vallecano: R. Nteka replaces I. Akhomach
  5. 70'
    Yellow Card
    M. Llorente (Atl. Madrid) cautioned
  6. 64'
    Substitution
    Substitution for Rayo Vallecano: P. Diaz replaces I. Palazon
  7. 64'
    Substitution
    Substitution for Rayo Vallecano: J. Vertrouwd replaces J. de Frutos
  8. 64'
    Substitution
    Substitution for Rayo Vallecano: A. Garcia replaces F. Perez
  9. 63'
    Substitution
    Substitution for Atl. Madrid: M. Llorente replaces J. Cardoso
  10. 63'
    Substitution
    Substitution for Atl. Madrid: A. Lookman replaces C. Lenglet
  11. 56'
    Substitution
    Substitution for Atl. Madrid: R. Le Normand replaces R. Mendoza
  12. 56'
    Substitution
    Substitution for Atl. Madrid: O. Vargas replaces M. Ruggeri
  13. 56'
    Substitution
    Substitution for Atl. Madrid: J. Alvarez replaces A. Baena
  14. 52'
    Yellow Card
    R. Mendoza (Atl. Madrid) cautioned
  15. 45'
    Soccer ball icon
    Goal scored for Rayo Vallecano by O. Valentin
    0-2
  16. 40'
    Soccer ball icon
    Goal scored for Rayo Vallecano by F. Perez, assisted by A. Ratiu
    0-1
  17. 29'
    Yellow Card
    J. Cardoso (Atl. Madrid) cautioned

Rayo Vallecano vs. Atletico Madrid: Match prediction & analysis

Match overview

  • Teams: Rayo Vallecano vs. Atletico Madrid
  • Date: Sunday, February 15, 2026
  • Time: 10:15 AM ET
  • Venue: Campo de Futbol de Vallecas

Current betting odds

  • Moneyline: Rayo Vallecano +360, Atletico Madrid -120, draw +260
  • Total (Over/Under): 2.5 goals (-105/-115)

Dimers' win & correct score probabilities

  • Rayo Vallecano: 22.0%
  • Atletico Madrid: 53.1%
  • Draw: 24.9%

These probabilities are generated using Dimers' La Liga data model, which predicts the most likely outcomes for all major betting markets.

Most likely correct score: Rayo Vallecano 0-1 Atletico Madrid (12.6%)

Correct score projections are based on expected scoring patterns. A team can have a higher chance of winning overall, even if the single most likely scoreline is a draw or narrow result.

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  • Moneyline probabilities
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Who will win Rayo Vallecano vs. Atletico Madrid? Prediction & correct score

Atletico Madrid is the most likely winner of this match with a win probability of 53.1%.

The most likely correct score is Rayo Vallecano 0-1 Atletico Madrid.

But the most likely outcomes aren't always the best betting opportunities.

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