Villareal vs. Atletico Madrid prediction, odds, La Liga picks [5/24/2026]
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Rayo Vallecano vs. Atletico Madrid Prediction, Picks and Odds
Dimers' prediction and analysis for the Rayo Vallecano vs. Atletico Madrid La Liga match on February 15, 2026 includes win probabilities and picks for the biggest betting markets. Start your free 3-day trial of Dimers Pro for full access.
FINAL
LA LIGA
FINAL
LA LIGA
0
3
Feb 15, 10:15 AM ET Campo de Futbol de Vallecas
Feb 15, 10:15 AM ET Campo de Futbol de Vallecas
In-Play ProbabilitiesIn-Play
Pre-Game PredictionsPre-Game
Pro Bets
Score Summary
F. Perez (40')
O. Valentin (45')
N. Mendy (76')
Live Probabilities
Moneyline
Over / Under
- Rayo Vallecano
- Atletico Madrid
Win Probability
Match Timeline
A. Garcia (Rayo Vallecano) cautioned
Substitution for Rayo Vallecano: U. Lopez replaces G. Gumbau
Goal scored for Rayo Vallecano by N. Mendy, assisted by A. Garcia
0-3
Substitution for Rayo Vallecano: R. Nteka replaces I. Akhomach
M. Llorente (Atl. Madrid) cautioned
Substitution for Rayo Vallecano: P. Diaz replaces I. Palazon
Substitution for Rayo Vallecano: J. Vertrouwd replaces J. de Frutos
Substitution for Rayo Vallecano: A. Garcia replaces F. Perez
Substitution for Atl. Madrid: M. Llorente replaces J. Cardoso
Substitution for Atl. Madrid: A. Lookman replaces C. Lenglet
Substitution for Atl. Madrid: R. Le Normand replaces R. Mendoza
Substitution for Atl. Madrid: O. Vargas replaces M. Ruggeri
Substitution for Atl. Madrid: J. Alvarez replaces A. Baena
R. Mendoza (Atl. Madrid) cautioned
Goal scored for Rayo Vallecano by O. Valentin
0-2
Goal scored for Rayo Vallecano by F. Perez, assisted by A. Ratiu
0-1
J. Cardoso (Atl. Madrid) cautioned
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Rayo Vallecano vs. Atletico Madrid: Match prediction & analysis
Match overview
- Teams: Rayo Vallecano vs. Atletico Madrid
- Date: Sunday, February 15, 2026
- Time: 10:15 AM ET
- Venue: Campo de Futbol de Vallecas
Current betting odds
- Moneyline: Rayo Vallecano +360, Atletico Madrid -120, draw +260
- Total (Over/Under): 2.5 goals (-105/-115)
Dimers' win & correct score probabilities
- Rayo Vallecano: 22.0%
- Atletico Madrid: 53.1%
- Draw: 24.9%
These probabilities are generated using Dimers' La Liga data model, which predicts the most likely outcomes for all major betting markets.
Most likely correct score: Rayo Vallecano 0-1 Atletico Madrid (12.6%)
Correct score projections are based on expected scoring patterns. A team can have a higher chance of winning overall, even if the single most likely scoreline is a draw or narrow result.
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The Dimers betting model calculates probabilities for all match outcomes to identify where it sees the strongest value across the betting markets, ranking every opportunity by model edge.
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- Moneyline probabilities
- Total goals probabilities
- Correct score probabilities
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Who will win Rayo Vallecano vs. Atletico Madrid? Prediction & correct score
Atletico Madrid is the most likely winner of this match with a win probability of 53.1%.
The most likely correct score is Rayo Vallecano 0-1 Atletico Madrid.
But the most likely outcomes aren't always the best betting opportunities.
Start your free 3-day trial of Dimers Pro to unlock today's best bets and complete betting analysis for this matchup.
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