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Real Madrid vs. Real Sociedad Prediction, Picks and Odds
Dimers' prediction and analysis for Real Madrid vs. Real Sociedad in the World Cup on February 14, 2026 includes win probabilities and picks for the biggest betting markets.
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FINAL
LA LIGA
FINAL
LA LIGA
1
4
Feb 14, 8PM
Feb 14, 8PM
In-Play ProbabilitiesIn-Play
Pre-Game PredictionsPre-Game
Bets
Score Summary
G. Garcia (5')
Vinicius Junior (pen.) (25')
F. Valverde (31')
Vinicius Junior (pen.) (48')
M. Oyarzabal (pen.) (21')
Live Probabilities
Moneyline
Over / Under
Win %
100.0%
Draw
0.0%
0.0%
Win Probability
Match Timeline
B. Turrientes (Real Sociedad) cautioned
Substitution for Real Madrid: J. Cestero Sancho replaces A. Tchouameni
Substitution for Real Madrid: D. Ceballos replaces E. Camavinga
Substitution for Real Madrid: B. Diaz replaces F. Valverde
Substitution for Real Sociedad: D. Diaz replaces P. Marin
Substitution for Real Madrid: D. Carvajal replaces T. Alexander-Arnold
Substitution for Real Madrid: D. Alaba replaces A. Rudiger
Substitution for Real Sociedad: O. Oskarsson replaces M. Oyarzabal
Substitution for Real Sociedad: B. Turrientes replaces Y. Herrera
Goal scored for Real Madrid by Vinicius Junior (pen.)
1-4
Substitution for Real Sociedad: G. Guedes replaces Wesley
Goal scored for Real Madrid by F. Valverde, assisted by A. Carreras
1-3
Goal scored for Real Madrid by Vinicius Junior (pen.)
1-2
Goal scored for Real Sociedad by M. Oyarzabal (pen.)
1-1
D. Huijsen (Real Madrid) cautioned
Goal scored for Real Madrid by G. Garcia, assisted by T. Alexander-Arnold
0-1
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Real Madrid vs. Real Sociedad: World Cup prediction & analysis
Dimers' Real Madrid vs. Real Sociedad prediction is powered by a data-driven model built specifically for World Cup matches. The model projects how many goals each team is expected to score, then converts those projections into probabilities and picks across major betting markets.
Our coverage includes predictions, bets and odds for moneyline, over/under, double chance, both teams to score (BTTS), win to nil, and correct score.
The model factors in team attacking and defensive performance, recent form, opponent strength, tournament history, match location and expected player involvement to deliver consistent insights across every World Cup match.
Match overview
- Teams: Real Madrid vs. Real Sociedad
- Date: Saturday, February 14, 2026
- Time: 3:00 PM ET
- Tournament: FIFA World Cup
Current betting odds
- Moneyline: Real Madrid -250, Real Sociedad +750, draw +460
- Total (Over/Under): 2.5 goals (-185/+130)
Dimers' win probabilities
- Real Madrid: 66.5%
- Real Sociedad: 14.5%
- Draw: 18.9%
These probabilities are generated using Dimers' international soccer ratings system, designed to help bettors navigate World Cup predictions with greater confidence and clarity.
Correct score
The most likely correct score for this match is Real Madrid 2-0 Real Sociedad.
Correct score projections reflect expected scoring distributions. In some cases, a team can carry a higher overall win probability while the most likely specific outcome is a narrow result or a draw.
Our prediction
Real Madrid is the most likely winner of this match with a win probability of 66.5%.
For full access to Dimers' World Cup best bets and to find out who will win the World Cup, unlock the complete experience with Dimers Pro.
Summary
Dimers' Real Madrid vs. Real Sociedad prediction aims to turn World Cup chaos into clarity. Our coverage is grounded in repeatable logic, data-driven analysis, and consistent tournament-wide modeling—not headlines or hunches.
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