Villareal vs. Atletico Madrid prediction, odds, La Liga picks [5/24/2026]
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Real Madrid vs. Real Sociedad Prediction, Picks and Odds
Dimers' prediction and analysis for the Real Madrid vs. Real Sociedad La Liga match on February 14, 2026 includes win probabilities and picks for the biggest betting markets. Start your free 3-day trial of Dimers Pro for full access.
FINAL
LA LIGA
FINAL
LA LIGA
1
4
Feb 14, 3:00 PM ET
Feb 14, 3:00 PM ET
In-Play ProbabilitiesIn-Play
Pre-Game PredictionsPre-Game
Pro Bets
Score Summary
G. Garcia (5')
Vinicius Junior (pen.) (25')
F. Valverde (31')
Vinicius Junior (pen.) (48')
M. Oyarzabal (pen.) (21')
Live Probabilities
Moneyline
Over / Under
- Real Madrid
- Real Sociedad
Win Probability
Match Timeline
B. Turrientes (Real Sociedad) cautioned
Substitution for Real Madrid: J. Cestero Sancho replaces A. Tchouameni
Substitution for Real Madrid: D. Ceballos replaces E. Camavinga
Substitution for Real Madrid: B. Diaz replaces F. Valverde
Substitution for Real Sociedad: D. Diaz replaces P. Marin
Substitution for Real Madrid: D. Carvajal replaces T. Alexander-Arnold
Substitution for Real Madrid: D. Alaba replaces A. Rudiger
Substitution for Real Sociedad: O. Oskarsson replaces M. Oyarzabal
Substitution for Real Sociedad: B. Turrientes replaces Y. Herrera
Goal scored for Real Madrid by Vinicius Junior (pen.)
1-4
Substitution for Real Sociedad: G. Guedes replaces Wesley
Goal scored for Real Madrid by F. Valverde, assisted by A. Carreras
1-3
Goal scored for Real Madrid by Vinicius Junior (pen.)
1-2
Goal scored for Real Sociedad by M. Oyarzabal (pen.)
1-1
D. Huijsen (Real Madrid) cautioned
Goal scored for Real Madrid by G. Garcia, assisted by T. Alexander-Arnold
0-1
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Real Madrid vs. Real Sociedad: Match prediction & analysis
Match overview
- Teams: Real Madrid vs. Real Sociedad
- Date: Saturday, February 14, 2026
- Time: 3:00 PM ET
Current betting odds
- Moneyline: Real Madrid -250, Real Sociedad +750, draw +460
- Total (Over/Under): 2.5 goals (-185/+130)
Dimers' win & correct score probabilities
- Real Madrid: 66.5%
- Real Sociedad: 14.5%
- Draw: 18.9%
These probabilities are generated using Dimers' La Liga data model, which predicts the most likely outcomes for all major betting markets.
Most likely correct score: Real Madrid 2-0 Real Sociedad (10.5%)
Correct score projections are based on expected scoring patterns. A team can have a higher chance of winning overall, even if the single most likely scoreline is a draw or narrow result.
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The Dimers betting model calculates probabilities for all match outcomes to identify where it sees the strongest value across the betting markets, ranking every opportunity by model edge.
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- Moneyline probabilities
- Total goals probabilities
- Correct score probabilities
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Who will win Real Madrid vs. Real Sociedad? Prediction & correct score
Real Madrid is the most likely winner of this match with a win probability of 66.5%.
The most likely correct score is Real Madrid 2-0 Real Sociedad.
But the most likely outcomes aren't always the best betting opportunities.
Start your free 3-day trial of Dimers Pro to unlock today's best bets and complete betting analysis for this matchup.
Responsible gambling
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