Celta Vigo vs. Rayo Vallecano Prediction, Picks and Odds

Dimers' prediction and analysis for the Celta Vigo vs. Rayo Vallecano La Liga match on January 18, 2026 includes win probabilities and picks for the biggest betting markets. Get Dimers Pro for full access.
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LA LIGA
Rayo Vallecano
0
3
Celta Vigo
Celta VigoRCC
Score Summary
Rayo VallecanoRVC
S. Carreira (40')
Soccer ball icon
B. Zaragoza (pen.) (54')
Soccer ball icon
J. Rueda (79')
Soccer ball icon
N. Mendy (66')
Red Card icon
Live Probabilities
Win %
  • Celta Vigo
    100.0%
  • Draw
    0.0%
  • Rayo Vallecano
    0.0%
Win Probability
Match Timeline
  1. 83'
    Substitution
    Substitution for Celta Vigo: H. Burcio replaces C. Starfelt
  2. 79'
    Substitution
    Substitution for Rayo Vallecano: F. Perez replaces I. Palazon
  3. 79'
    Soccer ball icon
    Goal scored for Celta Vigo by J. Rueda
    0-3
  4. 78'
    Substitution
    Substitution for Rayo Vallecano: O. Trejo replaces J. de Frutos
  5. 71'
    Substitution
    Substitution for Celta Vigo: M. Fernandez replaces J. Rodriguez
  6. 71'
    Substitution
    Substitution for Celta Vigo: J. Rueda replaces O. Mingueza
  7. 68'
    Substitution
    Substitution for Rayo Vallecano: J. Vertrouwd replaces C. Martin
  8. 66'
    Yellow Card
    O. Mingueza (Celta Vigo) cautioned
  9. 66'
    Red Card
    N. Mendy (Rayo Vallecano) sent off with a straight red card
  10. 65'
    Yellow Card
    I. Palazon (Rayo Vallecano) cautioned
  11. 65'
    Yellow Card
    I. Aspas (Celta Vigo) cautioned
  12. 63'
    Substitution
    Substitution for Celta Vigo: W. Swedberg replaces H. Alvarez
  13. 63'
    Substitution
    Substitution for Celta Vigo: M. Roman replaces H. Sotelo
  14. 61'
    Substitution
    Substitution for Rayo Vallecano: R. Nteka replaces G. Gumbau
  15. 61'
    Substitution
    Substitution for Rayo Vallecano: Alemao replaces Pacha
  16. 59'
    Yellow Card
    C. Martin (Rayo Vallecano) cautioned
  17. 58'
    Yellow Card
    G. Gumbau (Rayo Vallecano) cautioned
  18. 58'
    Yellow Card
    H. Sotelo (Celta Vigo) cautioned
  19. 54'
    Soccer ball icon
    Goal scored for Celta Vigo by B. Zaragoza (pen.)
    0-2
  20. 44'
    Yellow Card
    H. Alvarez (Celta Vigo) cautioned
  21. 40'
    Soccer ball icon
    Goal scored for Celta Vigo by S. Carreira, assisted by H. Alvarez
    0-1

Celta Vigo vs. Rayo Vallecano: Match prediction & analysis

Match overview

  • Teams: Celta Vigo vs. Rayo Vallecano
  • Date: Sunday, January 18, 2026
  • Time: 12:30 PM ET

Current betting odds

  • Moneyline: Celta Vigo -110, Rayo Vallecano +360, draw +240
  • Total (Over/Under): 2.5 goals (+116/-140)

Dimers' win & correct score probabilities

  • Celta Vigo: 51.8%
  • Rayo Vallecano: 22.6%
  • Draw: 25.6%

These probabilities are generated using Dimers' La Liga data model, which predicts the most likely outcomes for all major betting markets.

Most likely correct score: Celta Vigo 1-0 Rayo Vallecano (13.0%)

Correct score projections are based on expected scoring patterns. A team can have a higher chance of winning overall, even if the single most likely scoreline is a draw or narrow result.

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  • Moneyline probabilities
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Who will win Celta Vigo vs. Rayo Vallecano? Prediction & correct score

Celta Vigo is the most likely winner of this match with a win probability of 51.8%.

The most likely correct score is Celta Vigo 1-0 Rayo Vallecano.

But the most likely outcomes aren't always the best betting opportunities.

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