Celta Vigo vs. Rayo Vallecano Prediction, Picks and Odds

Dimers' prediction and analysis for the Celta Vigo vs. Rayo Vallecano La Liga match on January 18, 2026 includes win probabilities and picks for the biggest betting markets. Start your free 3-day trial of Dimers Pro for full access.
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LA LIGA
Rayo Vallecano
0
3
Jan 18, 12:30 PM ET
Celta Vigo
Jan 18, 12:30 PM ET
Celta VigoRCC
Score Summary
Rayo VallecanoRVC
S. Carreira (40')
Soccer ball icon
B. Zaragoza (pen.) (54')
Soccer ball icon
J. Rueda (79')
Soccer ball icon
N. Mendy (66')
Red Card icon
Live Probabilities
Win %
  • Celta Vigo
    100.0%
  • Draw
    0.0%
  • Rayo Vallecano
    0.0%
Win Probability
Match Timeline
83'
Substitution
Substitution for Celta Vigo: H. Burcio replaces C. Starfelt
79'
Substitution
Substitution for Rayo Vallecano: F. Perez replaces I. Palazon
79'
Soccer ball icon
Goal scored for Celta Vigo by J. Rueda
0-3
78'
Substitution
Substitution for Rayo Vallecano: O. Trejo replaces J. de Frutos
71'
Substitution
Substitution for Celta Vigo: M. Fernandez replaces J. Rodriguez
71'
Substitution
Substitution for Celta Vigo: J. Rueda replaces O. Mingueza
68'
Substitution
Substitution for Rayo Vallecano: J. Vertrouwd replaces C. Martin
66'
Yellow Card
O. Mingueza (Celta Vigo) cautioned
66'
Red Card
N. Mendy (Rayo Vallecano) sent off with a straight red card
65'
Yellow Card
I. Palazon (Rayo Vallecano) cautioned
65'
Yellow Card
I. Aspas (Celta Vigo) cautioned
63'
Substitution
Substitution for Celta Vigo: W. Swedberg replaces H. Alvarez
63'
Substitution
Substitution for Celta Vigo: M. Roman replaces H. Sotelo
61'
Substitution
Substitution for Rayo Vallecano: R. Nteka replaces G. Gumbau
61'
Substitution
Substitution for Rayo Vallecano: Alemao replaces Pacha
59'
Yellow Card
C. Martin (Rayo Vallecano) cautioned
58'
Yellow Card
G. Gumbau (Rayo Vallecano) cautioned
58'
Yellow Card
H. Sotelo (Celta Vigo) cautioned
54'
Soccer ball icon
Goal scored for Celta Vigo by B. Zaragoza (pen.)
0-2
44'
Yellow Card
H. Alvarez (Celta Vigo) cautioned
40'
Soccer ball icon
Goal scored for Celta Vigo by S. Carreira, assisted by H. Alvarez
0-1

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Celta Vigo vs. Rayo Vallecano: Match prediction & analysis

Match overview

  • Teams: Celta Vigo vs. Rayo Vallecano
  • Date: Sunday, January 18, 2026
  • Time: 12:30 PM ET

Current betting odds

  • Moneyline: Celta Vigo -110, Rayo Vallecano +360, draw +240
  • Total (Over/Under): 2.5 goals (+116/-140)

Dimers' win & correct score probabilities

  • Celta Vigo: 51.8%
  • Rayo Vallecano: 22.6%
  • Draw: 25.6%

These probabilities are generated using Dimers' La Liga data model, which predicts the most likely outcomes for all major betting markets.

Most likely correct score: Celta Vigo 1-0 Rayo Vallecano (13.0%)

Correct score projections are based on expected scoring patterns. A team can have a higher chance of winning overall, even if the single most likely scoreline is a draw or narrow result.

Want Dimers' best bets for this matchup?

The most probable outcome isn't always the wisest wager.

The Dimers betting model calculates probabilities for all match outcomes to identify where it sees the strongest value across the betting markets, ranking every opportunity by model edge.

Join Dimers Pro to unlock complete betting analysis for this matchup across every major market, including:

  • Today's best bets
  • Moneyline probabilities
  • Total goals probabilities
  • Correct score probabilities

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Who will win Celta Vigo vs. Rayo Vallecano? Prediction & correct score

Celta Vigo is the most likely winner of this match with a win probability of 51.8%.

The most likely correct score is Celta Vigo 1-0 Rayo Vallecano.

But the most likely outcomes aren't always the best betting opportunities.

Start your free 3-day trial of Dimers Pro to unlock today's best bets and complete betting analysis for this matchup.

Responsible gambling

Dimers' predictions and betting insights are designed to help inform your betting decisions. If you're betting on Celta Vigo vs. Rayo Vallecano, always gamble responsibly and within your means. For support, you can visit our responsible gambling resources.