Manchester United vs. Crystal Palace Prediction, Picks and Odds

Dimers' prediction and analysis for the Manchester United vs. Crystal Palace Premier League match on March 1, 2026 includes win probabilities and picks for the biggest betting markets. Get Dimers Pro for full access.
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PREMIER LEAGUE
Crystal Palace
1
2
Old Trafford
Manchester United
Old Trafford
Manchester UnitedMNU
Score Summary
Crystal PalacePAL
B. Fernandes (pen.) (57')
Soccer ball icon
B. Sesko (65')
Soccer ball icon
M. Lacroix (4')
Soccer ball icon
M. Lacroix (56')
Red Card icon
Live Probabilities
Win %
  • Manchester United
    100.0%
  • Draw
    0.0%
  • Crystal Palace
    0.0%
Win Probability
Match Timeline
  1. 89'
    Yellow Card
    A. Heaven (Manchester Utd) cautioned
  2. 86'
    Substitution
    Substitution for Manchester Utd: J. Zirkzee replaces B. Mbeumo
  3. 85'
    Substitution
    Substitution for Crystal Palace: Y. Pino replaces D. Kamada
  4. 85'
    Substitution
    Substitution for Manchester Utd: A. Heaven replaces H. Maguire
  5. 75'
    Substitution
    Substitution for Manchester Utd: A. Diallo replaces B. Sesko
  6. 68'
    Substitution
    Substitution for Crystal Palace: W. Hughes replaces A. Wharton
  7. 65'
    Soccer ball icon
    Goal scored for Manchester Utd by B. Sesko, assisted by B. Fernandes
    1-2
  8. 58'
    Substitution
    Substitution for Crystal Palace: C. Riad replaces J. S. Larsen
  9. 58'
    Substitution
    Substitution for Crystal Palace: E. Guessand replaces B. Johnson
  10. 57'
    Soccer ball icon
    Goal scored for Manchester Utd by B. Fernandes (pen.)
    1-1
  11. 56'
    Red Card
    M. Lacroix (Crystal Palace) sent off with a straight red card
  12. 49'
    Yellow Card
    D. Henderson (Crystal Palace) cautioned
  13. 36'
    Yellow Card
    D. Dalot (Manchester Utd) cautioned
  14. 24'
    Substitution
    Substitution for Manchester Utd: N. Mazraoui replaces L. Shaw
  15. 6'
    Yellow Card
    D. Kamada (Crystal Palace) cautioned
  16. 4'
    Soccer ball icon
    Goal scored for Crystal Palace by M. Lacroix, assisted by B. Johnson
    1-0

Manchester United vs. Crystal Palace: Match prediction & analysis

Match overview

  • Teams: Manchester United vs. Crystal Palace
  • Date: Sunday, March 1, 2026
  • Time: 9:00 AM ET
  • Venue: Old Trafford

Current betting odds

  • Moneyline: Manchester United -190, Crystal Palace +510, draw +340
  • Total (Over/Under): 2.5 goals (-140/+116)

Dimers' win & correct score probabilities

  • Manchester United: 57.8%
  • Crystal Palace: 20.7%
  • Draw: 21.4%

These probabilities are generated using Dimers' Premier League data model, which predicts the most likely outcomes for all major betting markets.

Most likely correct score: Manchester United 1-1 Crystal Palace (9.9%)

Correct score projections are based on expected scoring patterns. A team can have a higher chance of winning overall, even if the single most likely scoreline is a draw or narrow result.

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The Dimers betting model calculates probabilities for all match outcomes to identify where it sees the strongest value across the betting markets, ranking every opportunity by model edge.

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  • Moneyline probabilities
  • Total goals probabilities
  • Correct score probabilities

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Who will win Manchester United vs. Crystal Palace? Prediction & correct score

Manchester United is the most likely winner of this match with a win probability of 57.8%.

The most likely correct score is Manchester United 1-1 Crystal Palace.

But the most likely outcomes aren't always the best betting opportunities.

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