Nevada vs. Fresno State Prediction, Picks and Odds

Nevada vs. Fresno State: Detailed Breakdown

Matchup Overview

• Teams: Nevada vs. Fresno State
• Date: Saturday, October 4, 2025
• Time: 10:30 PM ET
• Venue: Valley Children's Stadium

Current Betting Odds

• Spread: Fresno State favored at -12
• Total (Over/Under): 45.5
• Moneyline Odds: Nevada +400, Fresno State -480

Dimers' Win Probabilities

• Nevada: 18%
• Fresno State: 82%

Dimers' predictive model estimates win probabilities after simulating the outcome of the game 10,000 times. This method provides a precise and unbiased view of each team's chances.

Projected Final Score

Our predicted final score for this college football matchup is Nevada 17-29 Fresno State.

This prediction is based on each team's average score following 10,000 game simulations.

Our Prediction: Who Wins?

After extensive simulations, our model gives Nevada a win probability of 18%, while Fresno State has a win probability of 82%.

Summary

According to our analysis, Fresno State is more likely to beat Nevada in CFB action at Valley Children's Stadium on Sunday. Discover the best spread, over/under and moneyline odds, picks and probabilities for the game on this page.

Our Nevada vs. Fresno State predictions, based on sophisticated simulations and current data, guide you in making informed decisions. Remember to bet responsibly and within your financial limits.

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