WNBA player props today: Thursday's best props include Sabrina Ionescu [7/16/2026]

Dimers' WNBA props are live for July 16, 2026, with today's top prop bets led by the likes of Kiki Iriafen, Pauline Astier and Sabrina Ionescu.

Our WNBA player props model runs continuously, analyzing every matchup, including Liberty vs. Wings and Fire vs. Mystics, to surface the best WNBA player prop bets across the market.

List of WNBA prop picks for Thursday, 7/16

Below are the top 10 WNBA player props for July 16, ranked by probability.

Kiki Iriafen under 10.5 rebounds (-114)

• Edge: 7.1%
• Probability: 60.4%
• Projection: 8.7
• Game: Fire vs. Mystics (7:00PM ET)

Our model has flagged value on Washington's Kiki Iriafen under 10.5 rebounds. A probability of 60.4% gives this play an edge of 7.1% at -114 odds.

Pauline Astier over 7.5 points scored (-130)

• Edge: 0.3%
• Probability: 56.8%
• Projection: 10.8
• Game: Liberty vs. Wings (9:00PM ET)

Pauline Astier’s points scored prop shows a 0.3% edge at -130 odds, according to our model, which projects her for 10.8 points scored on the over 7.5 line.

Sabrina Ionescu over 16.5 points scored (-115)

• Edge: 2.1%
• Probability: 55.5%
• Projection: 19.1
• Game: Liberty vs. Wings (9:00PM ET)

The data highlights value on Sabrina Ionescu over 16.5 points scored, with simulations showing a 55.5% probability and a 2.1% edge at -115.

Jessica Shepard under 11.5 rebounds (-108)

• Edge: 3.5%
• Probability: 55.4%
• Projection: 10.5
• Game: Liberty vs. Wings (9:00PM ET)

Our model projects Jessica Shepard to put up 10.5 rebounds today, creating an edge of 3.5% on the under 11.5 line at -108 odds.

Sabrina Ionescu over 5.5 assists (+128)

• Edge: 10.3%
• Probability: 54.2%
• Projection: 6.3
• Game: Liberty vs. Wings (9:00PM ET)

Simulations indicate value on Sabrina Ionescu over 5.5 assists for New York, showing an edge of 10.3% at +128 odds.

Shakira Austin over 15.5 points scored (+102)

• Edge: 4.0%
• Probability: 53.5%
• Projection: 17.2
• Game: Fire vs. Mystics (7:00PM ET)

Shakira Austin’s points scored prop shows an edge of 4.0% at +102 odds, according to our model, which projects her for 17.2 today.

Pauline Astier over 3.5 assists (+120)

• Edge: 7.7%
• Probability: 53.1%
• Projection: 4.0
• Game: Liberty vs. Wings (9:00PM ET)

Our model projects Pauline Astier for 4.0 assists for New York, creating an edge of 7.7% on over 3.5 at +120 odds.

Breanna Stewart over 20.5 points scored (+100)

• Edge: 1.1%
• Probability: 51.1%
• Projection: 21.0
• Game: Liberty vs. Wings (9:00PM ET)

Our expert modelling projects Breanna Stewart for 21.0 points scored, creating value on the over 20.5 line at +100 odds and a 1.1% edge.

Paige Bueckers under 4.5 rebounds (+102)

• Edge: 1.4%
• Probability: 50.9%
• Projection: 4.3
• Game: Liberty vs. Wings (9:00PM ET)

A 1.4% edge on the under 20.5 rebounds line makes Paige Bueckers a value play in Liberty vs. Wings, with our model projecting her for 4.3 rebounds at +102 odds.

Bridget Carleton over 2.5 3-pointers made (+104)

• Edge: 1.4%
• Probability: 50.4%
• Projection: 2.5
• Game: Fire vs. Mystics (7:00PM ET)

Simulations project Bridget Carleton for 2.5 3-pointers made here, creating a 1.4% edge on the over 2.5 line at +104 odds.

WNBA player prop summary: Thursday, July 16, 2026

A quick summary of today’s top props by probability according to our model as of 6:58PM ET:

Conclusion

For July 16, 2026, our WNBA prop bets feature players such as Kiki Iriafen, Pauline Astier and Sabrina Ionescu. Each pick is grounded in real-time data and advanced simulations to help you bet with clarity and purpose.

Built using automation and human oversight, this article draws on the latest data to deliver accurate, timely insights. If using this article for betting, Dimers encourages responsible gambling.