Sep 24, 2026
Aces vs. Mercury prediction: Why Las Vegas is favored to win Thursday's WNBA matchup [9/24/2026]
Read Article WNBA player props today: Thursday's best props include Caitlin Clark [9/24/2026]
Updated: | First published:
Written by Dave Garofolo, Content Producer
Get WNBA player props today with projections for Thursday's games.
Dimers' WNBA player props are live for September 24, 2026, with today's top prop bets led by the likes of Alyssa Thomas, Nneka Ogwumike and Caitlin Clark.
Our WNBA player props model runs continuously to analyze every matchup—including Valkyries vs. Sparks and Fever vs. Lynx—and surface the best WNBA player prop bets across the market.
List of WNBA prop picks for Thursday, 9/24
Sourced from 20+ total WNBA props on site today, below are the top 10 WNBA player props for September 24, ranked by probability.
Alyssa Thomas under 9.5 rebounds (-120)
- Edge: 11.7%
- Probability: 66.3%
- Projection: 7.6
- Game: Aces vs. Mercury (10:00PM ET)
Our model has found value on Mercury's Alyssa Thomas under 9.5 rebounds. A probability of 66.3% gives this play an edge of 11.7% at -120 odds.
Nneka Ogwumike under 9.5 rebounds (-150)
- Edge: 5.1%
- Probability: 65.1%
- Projection: 8.4
- Game: Valkyries vs. Sparks (10:00PM ET)
Nneka Ogwumike’s rebounds prop shows a 5.1% edge at -150 odds, according to our model, which projects her for 8.4 rebounds on the under 9.5 line.
Caitlin Clark over 8.5 assists (-127)
- Edge: 8.9%
- Probability: 64.8%
- Projection: 9.7
- Game: Fever vs. Lynx (8:00PM ET)
The data highlights value on Caitlin Clark over 8.5 assists, with simulations showing a 64.8% probability and an 8.9% edge at -127.
Kiki Iriafen under 9.5 rebounds (+102)
- Edge: 11.3%
- Probability: 60.8%
- Projection: 8.2
- Game: Sky vs. Mystics (7:30PM ET)
Our model projects Kiki Iriafen to record 8.2 rebounds today, creating an edge of 11.3% on the under 9.5 line at +102 odds.
Caitlin Clark over 20.5 points scored (-115)
- Edge: 6.8%
- Probability: 60.3%
- Projection: 24.2
- Game: Fever vs. Lynx (8:00PM ET)
Simulations indicate value on Caitlin Clark over 20.5 points scored for Fever, showing an edge of 6.8% at -115 odds.
Chelsea Gray over 5.5 assists (-103)
- Edge: 5.6%
- Probability: 56.3%
- Projection: 6.2
- Game: Aces vs. Mercury (10:00PM ET)
Chelsea Gray’s assists prop shows an edge of 5.6% at -103 odds, according to our model, which projects her for 6.2 today.
Jackie Young to score first basket (+750)
- Edge: 4.1%
- Probability: 15.9%
- Game: Aces vs. Mercury (10:00PM ET)
Our model highlights value on Jackie Young to score first basket for Aces, with a 15.9% probability and a 4.1% edge at +750 odds.
Kiki Iriafen to score first basket (+650)
- Edge: 0.2%
- Probability: 13.6%
- Game: Sky vs. Mystics (7:30PM ET)
The data shows value on Kiki Iriafen to score first basket, supported by a 13.6% probability at +650 odds and an edge of 0.2%.
Sydney Taylor to score first basket (+800)
- Edge: 1.2%
- Probability: 12.3%
- Game: Sky vs. Mystics (7:30PM ET)
A 1.2% edge on the to score first basket line makes Sydney Taylor a value play in Sky vs. Mystics, supported by a 12.3% probability at +800 odds.
Natasha Howard to score first basket (+800)
- Edge: 1.1%
- Probability: 12.2%
- Game: Fever vs. Lynx (8:00PM ET)
Simulations show value on Natasha Howard to score first basket here, with a 12.2% probability and 1.1% edge at +800 odds.
WNBA player prop summary: Thursday, September 24, 2026
A quick summary of today’s top props by probability according to our model as of 11:56AM ET:
| Matchup | Prop | Odds | Edge | Prob. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Aces vs. Mercury | Alyssa Thomas u9.5 rebounds | -120 @ novig | 11.7% | 66.3% |
| Valkyries vs. Sparks | Nneka Ogwumike u9.5 rebounds | -150 @ novig | 5.1% | 65.1% |
| Fever vs. Lynx | Caitlin Clark o8.5 assists | -127 @ polymarket | 11.3% | 60.8% |
| Sky vs. Mystics | Kiki Iriafen u9.5 rebounds | +102 @ novig | 11.3% | 60.8% |
| Fever vs. Lynx | Caitlin Clark o20.5 points scored | -115 @ novig | 6.8% | 60.3% |
| Aces vs. Mercury | Chelsea Gray o5.5 assists | -103 @ kalshi | 5.6% | 56.3% |
| Aces vs. Mercury | Jackie Young to score first basket | +750 @ FanDuel | 4.1% | 15.9% |
| Sky vs. Mystics | Kiki Iriafen to score first basket | +650 @ FanDuel | 0.2% | 13.6% |
| Sky vs. Mystics | Sydney Taylor to score first basket | +800 @ FanDuel | 1.2% | 12.3% |
| Fever vs. Lynx | Natasha Howard to score first basket | +800 @ FanDuel | 1.1% | 12.2% |
Conclusion
For September 24, 2026, our WNBA prop bets feature players such as Alyssa Thomas, Nneka Ogwumike and Caitlin Clark. Each pick is grounded in real-time data and advanced simulations to help you bet with clarity and purpose.
Built using automation and human oversight, this article draws on the latest data to deliver accurate, timely insights. If using this article for betting, Dimers promotes responsible gambling.
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Dave Garofolo uses sophisticated AI-driven analytics to make predictions and evaluate player performances in the NBA, MLB, NFL, NHL, NCAAM, and PGA TOUR tournaments, crafting insightful game and prop previews.
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