Sep 20, 2026
Best WNBA bets today: Sunday's picks include Lynx vs. Sun play [9/20/2026]
Read Article WNBA first basket picks and predictions for Wednesday, July 29, 2026
Updated: | First published:
Add Dimers on Google 
Written by Damien Souness, Chief Experience Officer
Get first basket predictions today backed by expert analysis of WNBA slate on 7/29.
Our WNBA first basket picks and predictions for today—Wednesday, July 29, 2026—are live with the Mercury's Kahleah Copper projected as the most likely player to score first.
Dimers’ first basket projections make use of detailed first basket stats, including player efficiency, shot frequency, and expected starting lineups, forming part of our daily WNBA player projections.
Copper, Gabby Williams and Paige Bueckers lead Wednesday’s most likely first basket scorers, while we also highlight tonight's top first basket value picks by comparing real-time odds to model-generated probabilities.
WNBA first basket predictions tonight (July 29, 2026)
| Player (Team) | FB Probability |
|---|---|
| Kahleah Copper (Mercury) | 16.0% |
| Gabby Williams (Valkyries) | 14.9% |
| Paige Bueckers (Wings) | 13.9% |
| Allisha Gray (Dream) | 13.9% |
| Janelle Salaun (Valkyries) | 13.4% |
| Alyssa Thomas (Mercury) | 11.5% |
| Angel Reese (Dream) | 11.1% |
| Rhyne Howard (Dream) | 9.9% |
| Jessica Shepard (Wings) | 9.8% |
| Maddy Siegrist (Wings) | 9.7% |
| Veronica Burton (Valkyries) | 9.2% |
| Monique Akoa-Makani (Mercury) | 9.2% |
| DeWanna Bonner (Mercury) | 8.7% |
| Arike Ogunbowale (Wings) | 8.7% |
| Jordin Canada (Dream) | 8.3% |
| Kayla Thornton (Valkyries) | 7.9% |
| Azzi Fudd (Wings) | 7.8% |
| Naz Hillmon (Dream) | 6.8% |
| Noemie Brochant (Mercury) | 4.7% |
| Kiah Stokes (Valkyries) | 4.6% |
WNBA first basket picks today (July 29, 2026)
| Player | Team | Edge | Odds | Probability |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Arike Ogunbowale | Wings | 2.8% | +1600 | 8.7% |
| Gabby Williams | Valkyries | 1.7% | +660 | 14.9% |
| Monique Akoa-Makani | Mercury | 1.5% | +1200 | 9.2% |
| Allisha Gray | Dream | 1.1% | +680 | 13.9% |
| Paige Bueckers | Wings | 0.6% | +650 | 13.9% |
Edges represent the difference between model probability and implied odds.
For more insights on prop markets and value plays across the league, explore our full list of WNBA prop bets for 7/29.
Conclusion: Betting on today's WNBA first basket
For Wednesday, July 29, 2026, Kahleah Copper, Gabby Williams and Paige Bueckers lead our first basket projections, while Arike Ogunbowale shapes as the strongest value play at +1600. All picks and predictions are derived from Dimers’ WNBA first basket model.
Additional tools and information for betting safely can be found in our Responsible Gambling hub.
Damien Souness is Chief Experience Officer at Cipher Sports Technology Group, helping lead sports media brands such as Dimers. He specializes in creating trustworthy and data-driven content for sports fans, with experience working for globally recognized sports and media organizations.
Advertiser disclosure
