WNBA first basket picks and predictions for Playoffs today, Friday, October 9, 2026

WNBA Playoffs first basket predictions tonight (October 9, 2026)

• A'ja Wilson (Aces): 18.5% probability
• Gabby Williams (Valkyries): 18.3% probability
• Breanna Stewart (Liberty): 14.8% probability
• Cecilia Zandalasini (Valkyries): 13.3% probability
• Jonquel Jones (Liberty): 12.8% probability
• Angel Reese (Dream): 12.5% probability
• Jackie Young (Aces): 11.6% probability
• Allisha Gray (Dream): 11.6% probability
• Jordin Canada (Dream): 10.1% probability
• Rhyne Howard (Dream): 9.5% probability
• Chelsea Gray (Aces): 9.4% probability
• Pauline Astier (Liberty): 9.4% probability
• Stephanie Talbot (Aces): 8.8% probability
• Sabrina Ionescu (Liberty): 8.7% probability
• Kayla Thornton (Valkyries): 8.1% probability
• Veronica Burton (Valkyries): 7.5% probability
• Naz Hillmon (Dream): 6.3% probability
• Leonie Fiebich (Liberty): 4.4% probability
• Kiah Stokes (Valkyries): 2.8% probability
• Brianna Turner (Aces): 1.8% probability

WNBA first basket picks today (October 9, 2026)

• Gabby Williams (Valkyries): 4.3% edge at +610
• Jordin Canada (Dream): 2.4% edge at +1200
• Chelsea Gray (Aces): 1.9% edge at +1240
• Stephanie Talbot (Aces): 1.7% edge at +1300
• Pauline Astier (Liberty): 1.5% edge at +1180
• Jackie Young (Aces): 0.5% edge at +800
• Allisha Gray (Dream): 0.3% edge at +790
• Naz Hillmon (Dream): 0.0% edge at +1500

Edges represent the difference between model probability and implied odds.

For more insights on prop markets and value plays across the league, explore our full list of WNBA prop bets for 10/9.

Conclusion: Betting on today's WNBA first basket

For the Playoffs action on Friday, October 9, 2026, A'ja Wilson, Gabby Williams and Breanna Stewart lead our first basket projections, with Williams shaping as the strongest value play at +610. All picks and predictions are derived from Dimers’ WNBA first basket model.

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