Mystics vs. Dream prediction: Why Atlanta is favored to win Sunday's WNBA game [9/27/2026]

Using innovative machine learning and statistical analysis, we have re-simulated the outcome of Sunday's WNBA game between the Mystics and Dream, forming part of our WNBA predictions coverage.

Our leading predictive model gives the Dream a 72.4% chance of beating the Mystics. According to our model, the Mystics (+7.5) have a 52.8% chance of covering the spread, while the over/under total of 163.5 points has a 60.5% chance of going over.

Latest betting odds

We have sourced the best WNBA odds in America for this game, which are listed here:

• Spread: Mystics +7.5 (+100) / Dream -7.5 (-104)
• Moneyline: Mystics +280, Dream -270
• Total: Over/Under 163.5 (-104/+100)

All odds are correct at the time of publication and are subject to change.

Model picks and best bet

After matching our probabilities against the best current odds, we can reveal our picks for each of the major markets in this matchup. Plus, find our best bet for the game below:

• Spread: Mystics +7.5 @ 50¢ via Polymarket
• Moneyline: Mystics @ 26¢ via Kalshi
• Total: Over 163.5 @ 51¢ via Polymarket

According to our best WNBA bets, the top play to make on this game is Over 163.5 total points.

These picks are based on our probabilities matched against the implied probabilities from the current available odds.

Top player props

WNBA prop bets are an enjoyable way to wager on the Washington vs. Atlanta matchup without necessarily betting on the outcome. We have crunched the numbers to project how each team's leading players will perform at State Farm Arena.

Shakira Austin is expected to lead the Mystics with 16 points, 9 rebounds and 3 assists, while Allisha Gray is projected to have 18 points, 6 rebounds and 3 assists for the Dream.

For early game action, the data identifies Angel Reese as the most probable player to secure the first basket.

Check out our WNBA player projections for a full range of projected box scores, including points, assists, rebounds and a deeper look at today's WNBA first basket picks.

Mystics player props

Our model's projected player stats for the Mystics are:

Player	PTS	REB	AST	3PM	DFS
Shakira Austin	16	9	3	0	36
Sonia Citron	15	3	4	1	31
Kiki Iriafen	15	9	1	0	31
Georgia Amoore	10	1	3	3	19
M. Onyenwere	8	3	1	1	16

Dream player props

Projected points, rebounds, assists and three-pointers made for the Dream:

Player	PTS	REB	AST	3PM	DFS
Allisha Gray	18	6	3	2	35
Angel Reese	16	11	3	0	42
Rhyne Howard	16	3	4	3	34
Jordin Canada	11	3	7	1	32
Naz Hillmon	8	4	2	2	19

Game info & tip-off details

Sunday's matchup between the Dream and Mystics at State Farm Arena is scheduled to start at 7:00 PM ET.

• Who: Washington Mystics vs. Atlanta Dream
• Date: Sunday, September 27, 2026
• Time: 7:00 PM ET/4:00PM PT
• Venue: State Farm Arena

Conclusion

We predict the Dream, with a 72.4% win probability, will likely beat the Mystics in Sunday's WNBA matchup.

Additional tools and information for betting safely can be found in our Responsible Gambling hub.

This article's predictions and probabilities are generated by Dimers' proprietary WNBA prediction model. Our editorial team reviews the resulting content for accuracy and presentation before publication.