Tempo vs. Sun prediction: Why Connecticut is favored to win Thursday's WNBA matchup [9/24/2026]

The Connecticut Sun will take on the Toronto Tempo in WNBA action at Mohegan Sun Arena on Thursday, commencing at 7:00 PM ET.

Dimers' advanced WNBA model projects the Sun as the most likely winner in this Tempo vs. Sun prediction.

The Sun, led by Aaliyah Edwards, Diamond Miller and Leila Lacan, will face off against the Tempo, featuring Laura Juskaite, Isabelle Harrison and Kiki Rice.

This article offers a closer look at Thursday's matchup, including best bets and player prop picks.

Tempo vs. Sun prediction and odds

Using innovative machine learning and data, we have re-simulated the result of Thursday's WNBA game between the Tempo and Sun, forming part of our WNBA predictions coverage.

Our leading predictive model currently gives the Sun a 56.4% chance of defeating the Tempo. According to our model, the Tempo (+2.5) have a 52.7% chance of covering the spread, while the 170.5-point over/under has a 53.3% chance of going over.

Latest betting odds

We have sourced the best WNBA odds in America for this game, which are listed here:

• Spread: Tempo +2.5 (+104) / Sun -2.5 (-110)
• Moneyline: Tempo +138, Sun -142
• Total: Over/Under 170.5 (+100/-106)

All odds are correct at the time of publication and are subject to change.

Model picks and best bet

After matching our predictions against the best available odds, we can reveal our picks for each of the major markets in this matchup. Plus, find our best bet for the game below:

• Spread: Tempo +2.5 @ 49¢ via Polymarket
• Moneyline: Tempo @ 42¢ via Novig
• Total: Over 170.5 @ 50¢ via Novig

According to our WNBA best bets, the top play to make on this game is Tempo +2.5 at the spread.

These picks are based on our probabilities matched against the implied probabilities from the current available odds.

Top player props

Looking for Tempo vs. Sun WNBA player props? We have crunched the numbers to project how each team's leading players will perform at Mohegan Sun Arena.

Laura Juskaite is expected to lead the Tempo with 17 points, 5 rebounds and 2 assists, while Aaliyah Edwards is projected to have 13 points, 6 rebounds and 2 assists for the Sun.

When evaluating the first basket market, Aaliyah Edwards is our top projected player to score first, backed by a 13.7% probability.

Check out our WNBA player projections for a full range of projected box scores, including points, assists, rebounds and a deeper look at today's WNBA first basket picks.

Tempo player props

Our model's projected player stats for the Tempo are:

Player	PTS	REB	AST	3PM	DFS
Laura Juskaite	17	5	2	1	31
I. Harrison	13	8	2	1	31
Kiki Rice	11	4	5	1	27
Kia Nurse	9	2	2	2	18
Julie Allemand	6	3	5	1	21

Sun player props

Projected points, rebounds, assists and three-pointers made for the Sun:

Player	PTS	REB	AST	3PM	DFS
Aaliyah Edwards	13	6	2	1	28
Diamond Miller	12	4	2	2	24
Leila Lacan	12	3	5	2	29
C. Leger-Walker	9	3	5	2	26
Raegan Beers	8	6	2	0	22

Game info & tip-off details

Thursday's game between the Sun and Tempo at Mohegan Sun Arena is scheduled to start at 7:00 PM ET.

• Who: Toronto Tempo vs. Connecticut Sun
• Date: Thursday, September 24, 2026
• Time: 7:00 PM ET/4:00PM PT
• Venue: Mohegan Sun Arena

Conclusion

We predict the Sun, with a 56.4% win probability, will likely beat the Tempo in Thursday's WNBA matchup.

Additional tools and information for betting safely can be found in our Responsible Gambling hub.

This article's predictions and probabilities are generated by Dimers' proprietary WNBA prediction model. Our editorial team reviews the resulting content for accuracy and presentation before publication.