Storm vs. Dream prediction: Why Atlanta is favored to win Thursday's WNBA game [7/9/2026]

WNBA action continues on Thursday at 8:00 PM ET as the Seattle Storm take on the favored Atlanta Dream at Gateway Center Arena.

Based on the latest simulations, Dimers' proven WNBA model predicts the Dream as the most likely winner of the Storm vs. Dream game.

The Dream, led by Allisha Gray, Rhyne Howard and Angel Reese, are set to take on the Storm, whose lineup includes Natisha Hiedeman, Dominique Malonga and Flau'jae Johnson.

This article offers a closer look at Thursday's matchup, including best bets and player prop picks.

Storm vs. Dream prediction: Who will win and cover?

Using powerful machine learning and statistical analysis, we have simulated the outcome of Thursday's WNBA game between the Storm and Dream, forming part of our WNBA predictions coverage.

Our independent predictive model gives the Dream an 81.4% chance of beating the Storm.

According to our model, the Storm (+12.5) have a 61.2% chance of covering the spread, while the over/under total of 170.5 points has a 61.3% chance of staying under,.

Storm vs. Dream odds

We have researched the best WNBA odds in America for this game, which are listed here:

Bet Type	Storm	Dream
Spread	+12.5 (-105)	-12.5 (-105)
Moneyline	+525	-675
Total	o170.5 (-110)	u170.5 (-113)

All odds are correct at the time of publication and are subject to change.

Storm vs. Dream picks and best bet

After matching our predictions against the best current odds, we can reveal our picks for each of the major markets. Plus, find our best bet for the game below:

Bet Type	Pick	Bet Now
Spread	Storm +12.5	bet_rivers_in-105
Moneyline	Storm	+525
Total	Under 170.5	-113

According to our WNBA best bets, the top play to make on this game is Storm +12.5 at the spread.

These picks are based on our probabilities matched against the implied probabilities from the sportsbook odds.

Storm vs. Dream player props

Looking for Storm vs. Dream WNBA prop bets? We have crunched the numbers to project how each team's leading players will perform at Gateway Center Arena.

Natisha Hiedeman is expected to lead the Storm with 14 points, 2 rebounds and 4 assists, while Allisha Gray is projected to have 18 points, 5 rebounds and 3 assists for the Dream.

When evaluating the first basket market, Dominique Malonga is our top projected player to score first, backed by a 13.7% probability.

Check out our WNBA player projections for a full range of projected box scores, including points, assists, rebounds and a deeper look at today's WNBA first basket picks.

Storm prediction

Our model's projected player stats for the Storm are:

Player	PTS	REB	AST	3PM	DFS
N. Hiedeman	14	2	4	2	28
D. Malonga	14	6	2	1	30
F. Johnson	12	4	3	1	25
Awa Fam	12	4	2	3	27
Jade Melbourne	7	2	3	0	17

Dream prediction

Projected points, rebounds, assists and three-pointers made for the Dream:

Player	PTS	REB	AST	3PM	DFS
Allisha Gray	18	5	3	2	34
Rhyne Howard	18	5	4	3	38
Angel Reese	16	13	3	0	43
Jordin Canada	12	4	8	1	36
Naz Hillmon	9	6	2	1	21

Storm vs. Dream game-day updates and essential details

Thursday's matchup between the Dream and Storm at Gateway Center Arena is scheduled to begin at 8:00 PM ET.

• Who: Seattle Storm vs. Atlanta Dream
• Date: Thursday, July 9, 2026
• Time: 8:00 PM ET/5:00PM PT
• Venue: Gateway Center Arena

Conclusion

We predict the Dream, with an 81.4% win probability, will likely beat the Storm in Thursday's WNBA matchup.

Additional tools and information for betting safely can be found in our Responsible Gambling hub.