Aces vs. Dream prediction: Why Atlanta is favored to win Monday's WNBA game [8/3/2026]
Get Las Vegas Aces vs Atlanta Dream predictions for WNBA Monday.
The Atlanta Dream will square off with the Las Vegas Aces in WNBA action at State Farm Arena on Monday, beginning at 7:00 PM ET.
Dimers' advanced WNBA model projects the Dream as the most likely winner in this Aces vs. Dream prediction.
The Dream, led by Allisha Gray, Rhyne Howard and Angel Reese, are set to take on the Aces, whose lineup includes A'ja Wilson, Jackie Young and Chelsea Gray.
This article offers an expanded analysis of Monday's matchup, including best bets and player prop picks.
Aces vs. Dream prediction: Who will win and cover?
Our famous predictive model currently gives the Dream a 65.3% chance of defeating the Aces.
According to our model, the Dream (-2) have a 57.0% chance of covering the spread, while the over/under total of 184.5 points has a 70.2% chance of staying under,.
Aces vs. Dream odds
We have sourced the best WNBA odds in America for this game, which are listed here:
| Bet Type | Aces | Dream |
|---|---|---|
| Spread | +2 (-110) | -2 (-110) |
| Moneyline | +127 | -133 |
| Total | o184.5 (-104) | u184.5 (+100) |
All odds are correct at the time of publication and are subject to change.
Aces vs. Dream picks and best bet
After matching our predictions against the best current odds, we can reveal our picks for each of the major markets in this matchup. Plus, find our best bet for the game below:
| Bet Type | Pick | Bet Now |
|---|---|---|
| Spread | Dream -2 | -110 |
| Moneyline | Dream | -133 |
| Total | Under 184.5 | +100 |
According to our WNBA best bets, the top play to make on this game is Under 184.5 total points.
These picks are based on our probabilities matched against the implied probabilities from the sportsbook odds.
Aces vs. Dream player props
Looking for Las Vegas vs. Atlanta WNBA prop bets? We use the best information available to project how each team's leading players will perform at State Farm Arena.
A'ja Wilson is expected to lead the Aces with 29 points, 8 rebounds and 4 assists, while Allisha Gray is projected to have 19 points, 4 rebounds and 2 assists for the Dream.
For early game action, the data identifies A'ja Wilson as the most probable player to secure the first basket.
Check out our WNBA player projections for a full range of projected box scores, including points, assists, rebounds and a deeper look at today's WNBA first basket picks.
Aces prediction
Our model's projected player stats for the Aces are:
| Player | PTS | REB | AST | 3PM | DFS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| A'ja Wilson | 29 | 8 | 4 | 2 | 55 |
| Jackie Young | 17 | 4 | 6 | 2 | 37 |
| Chelsea Gray | 11 | 3 | 7 | 1 | 31 |
| NaLyssa Smith | 10 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 20 |
| Jewell Loyd | 8 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 17 |
Dream prediction
Projected points, rebounds, assists and three-pointers made for the Dream:
| Player | PTS | REB | AST | 3PM | DFS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Allisha Gray | 19 | 4 | 2 | 2 | 32 |
| Rhyne Howard | 17 | 4 | 3 | 3 | 34 |
| Angel Reese | 16 | 13 | 3 | 0 | 43 |
| Jordin Canada | 13 | 3 | 7 | 1 | 33 |
| Brionna Jones | 10 | 6 | 2 | 0 | 23 |
Aces vs. Dream game-day updates and essential details
Monday's action between the Dream and Aces at State Farm Arena is scheduled to start at 7:00 PM ET.
- Who: Las Vegas Aces vs. Atlanta Dream
- Date: Monday, August 3, 2026
- Time: 7:00 PM ET/4:00PM PT
- Venue: State Farm Arena
Conclusion
We predict the Dream, with a 65.3% win probability, will likely beat the Aces in Monday's WNBA matchup.
Additional tools and information for betting safely can be found in our Responsible Gambling hub.
Continue reading with Dimers Pro
Join now to unlock this article and get full access to our predictions and betting tools. Cancel anytime.
Dave Garofolo uses sophisticated AI-driven analytics to make predictions and evaluate player performances in the NBA, MLB, NFL, NHL, NCAAM, and PGA TOUR tournaments, crafting insightful game and prop previews.
