Dimers' upgraded WNBA props model returns 7-1 result from best bets

Earlier this week, Dimers unveiled a fully rebuilt WNBA props model, designed to give Dimers Pro members deeper context and sharper edges in WNBA betting.

On the first multi-game WNBA schedule since the launch of the new model, Dimers' top props went 7-1 on Wednesday, August 5th, including a 5-0 result from our highest probabilities from over 20 available props.

Dimers Pros had the edge as soon as our new model launched, instantly reaping the benefits of our powerful WNBA betting tools, which you can try out FREE for three days.

Top probability WNBA props: a perfect 5-0

These are the five plays the model was most confident in — the bets where its calculated hit probability was highest.

Jessica Shepard Under 11.5 Total Rebounds (Wings vs. Mystics) ✅

Projection: 10.1 | Probability: 65.4% | Edge: 8.0% | Odds: -135

Fading the league's top rebounder may be a tall ask, but it was our model's top overall probability on the slate, with Shepard finishing just under at 11 boards.

Kamilla Cardoso Under 9.5 Total Rebounds (Sparks vs. Sky) ✅

Projection: 8.4 | Probability: 64.4% | Edge: 6.1% | Odds: -140

Cardoso led her team in rebounds on Wednesday night, but it was with 7 rebounds, comfortably going under her 9.5 line identified by our model.

Dimers' top five probability props on Wednesday, August 5th.

Nneka Ogwumike Under 9.5 Total Rebounds (Sparks vs. Sky) ✅

Projection: 8.0 | Probability: 64.0% | Edge: 10.3% | Odds: -116

Despite 7 double doubles over the past month, we had our best edge of these five on taking the under on Ogwumike against the Sky, finishing with just 7 rebounds.

Alyssa Thomas Under 8.5 Total Rebounds (Mercury vs. Dream) ✅

Projection: 7.5 | Probability: 63.5% | Edge: 5.7% | Odds: -137

Fresh off one of her best games of the season with 15 rebounds, our model said Thomas was due for a regression game, finishing with just 5 boards vs. the Dream.

Brionna Jones Under 6.5 Total Rebounds (Mercury vs. Dream) ✅

Projection: 5.5 | Probability: 63.2% | Edge: 5.5% | Odds: -136

The Dimers model loves Brionna Jones but saw value in fading her rebounds as she continues to come off the bench, finishing with just 4 rebounds.

Top edges on WNBA player props go 4-1

These are the five bets where the model found the largest gap between its own probability and what the sportsbook's price implied, meaning these best held the most value.

Naz Hillmon Over 3.5 Total Rebounds (Mercury vs. Dream) ✅

Projection: 4.8 | Probability: 56.2% | Edge: 10.8% | Odds: +120

The single largest edge on the board cashed with ease as Hillmon tallied 5 rebounds, just as projected by our model.

Nneka Ogwumike Under 9.5 Total Rebounds (Sparks vs. Sky) ✅

Projection: 8.0 | Probability: 64.0% | Edge: 10.3% | Odds: -116 

The highest edge of our top five probabilities above.

Dimers' top five prop edges on Wednesday, August 5th.

Ezi Magbegor Under 4.5 Total Rebounds (Storm vs. Liberty) ❌

Projection: 3.8 | Probability: 56.7% | Edge: 9.0% | Odds: +110

The lone miss of the slate, a reminder that even well-supported edges don't hit 100% of the time, but it was as close as it comes with Magbegor turning in 5 rebounds.

Jessica Shepard Under 11.5 Total Rebounds (Wings vs. Mystics) ✅

Projection: 10.1 | Probability: 65.4% | Edge: 8.0% | Odds: -135

Our top probability bet was also a top five edge.

Flau'jae Johnson Under 15.5 Points Scored (Storm vs. Liberty) ✅

Projection: 12.6 | Probability: 55.6% | Edge: 7.5% | Odds: +108

Only the second time in her past eight games that Johnson has gone under this mark, identified with plus-money value by our model.

How much you would have won betting on Dimers' top props

Because Shepard's and Ogwumike's props appeared on both lists, a bettor following the top five recommendations by both edge and probability would have placed 8 unique wagers.

Here's how a flat $100-per-bet approach would have played out:

Record: 7-1 | Total staked: $800 | Total profit: $506.23 | ROI: 63.3%

A $100 bettor who followed these recommended plays from the Dimers Pro model would have turned $800 in wagers into more than $500 in profit, with the model's only miss coming by 1 rebound.

What's in Dimers' new WNBA model?

Dimers' new WNBA model blends projected minutes, recent form, positional matchups, expected starting lineups, schedule and venue factors, team-level scoring context and more datapoints into a single cohesive projection for every player on the slate.

It's built to be more adaptive than ever before, adjusting to season, team and player-level trends throughout the season.

Dimers' new WNBA props model is now live.

A Dimers "best bet" only shows up if it clears our 2.0% edge threshold, meaning at least a 2% discrepancy between our prediction and that implied by the sportsbook odds.

As you can see above, all of Wednesday's plays cleared that 2.0% threshold with plenty of room to spare.

Find the best WNBA player props today with Dimers Pro

No model, no matter how well-built, is going to hit at 87.5% every week, and Dimers isn't in the business of promising that it will. However, we do promise that we will continuously refine our models to give you the biggest edge over the sportsbooks, no matter the market.

That's the case for using a tool like Dimers Pro in the first place. The value isn't in any single day's results but in having a prediction engine working in the background on every player in every slate.

Our upgraded WNBA player props model's debut slate is an encouraging early sign that the deeper context built into this version, from recalibrated team totals and smarter rookie projections to real-time updates as news breaks, is translating into sharper, more reliable numbers for our bettors.

And it's not just player props, either. Our WNBA Totals are currently returning our highest ROI in game markets this season, despite a league-wide scoring surge.

Dimers Pro members get full access to these daily player props, player projections, WNBA predictions, and best bets across the WNBA, along with coverage across the NBA, NFL, MLB, and more.

If you're looking to bring some real analytical firepower to your prop betting, Dimers Pro is your answer.

Try out Dimers Pro on us for 3 days with our free trial, or explore our three subscription tiers below:

• Weekly pass: $14.99/week
• Monthly subscription: $29.99/month
• Annual pass (best value): $199.99/year (breaks down to approximately $16.66/month)

Dimers and responsible gambling

Please remember to enjoy gambling responsibly. Responsible gambling means setting limits, staying in control, and understanding that luck is just part of the game. Make informed choices, set a budget, and know when to take a break. If you or someone you know has a gambling problem, crisis counseling and referral services can be accessed by calling 1-800-MY-RESET.