Tennis bets today: Six picks for Friday ft. Fritz vs. Alcaraz [11/6/2026]

ATP Paris Masters: Carlos Alcaraz -3.5 (+100)

• Edge: 4.4%
• Probability: 54.4%
• Matchup: Taylor Fritz vs. Carlos Alcaraz (1:00PM ET)

Our model has identified value on Carlos Alcaraz -3.5 at +100 odds in their matchup at ATP Paris Masters. A 54.4% probability produces an edge of 4.4%, making this the strongest play for today's tennis slate.

ATP Paris Masters: Carlos Alcaraz vs. Taylor Fritz Under 24.5 total games (-135)

• Edge: 4.1%
• Probability: 61.6%
• Matchup: Taylor Fritz vs. Carlos Alcaraz (1:00PM ET)

At ATP Paris Masters, Taylor Fritz vs. Carlos Alcaraz under 24.5 total games carries a 4.1% edge and a probability of 61.6% at -135 odds, according to our model.

WTA Chennai Open: Polina Kudermetova ML (+164)

• Edge: 3.1%
• Probability: 41%
• Matchup: Janice Tjen vs. Polina Kudermetova (4:30AM ET)

Polina Kudermetova ML at +164 odds shows a 3.1% edge, supported by a 41% probability in simulations of the WTA Chennai Open match.

ATP Paris Masters: Rinky Hijikata vs. Luca Van Assche under 24.5 total games (-130)

• Edge: 2.7%
• Probability: 59.2%
• Matchup: Luca Van Assche vs. Rinky Hijikata (9:10AM ET)

A 2.7% edge and 59.2% probability make Rinky Hijikata vs. Luca Van Assche under 24.5 total games a value play in the Luca Van Assche vs. Rinky Hijikata matchup, per our model.

ATP Paris Masters: Nuno Borges ML (+187)

• Edge: 2.4%
• Probability: 37.2%
• Matchup: Casper Ruud vs. Nuno Borges (2:30PM ET)

Nuno Borges ML at +187 presents a 2.4% edge, with simulations resulting in a probability of 37.2%.

ATP Paris Masters: Tommy Paul vs. Ben Shelton Under 25.5 total games (-125)

• Edge: 2.4%
• Probability: 57.9%
• Matchup: Ben Shelton vs. Tommy Paul (8:00AM ET)

Our model finds value on Under 25.5 total games in Ben Shelton vs. Tommy Paul at -125 at ATP Brisbane, supported by an edge of 2.4%.

Tennis best bets summary: Friday, 11/6/2026

As of 2:33AM ET, here are our top tennis bets by edge recommended by our model:

List of upcoming tennis matches to bet on now

• WTA Chennai: Polina Kudermetova vs. Janice Tjen (4:30AM ET, Friday)
• WTA Hong Kong: Alexandra Eala vs. Antonia Ruzic (6:40AM ET, Friday)
• WTA Chennai: Magda Linette vs. Mai Hontama (6:50AM ET, Friday)
• ATP Paris: Tommy Paul vs. Ben Shelton (8:00AM ET, Friday)
• ATP Paris: Rinky Hijikata vs. Luca Van Assche (9:10AM ET, Friday)
• ATP Paris: Carlos Alcaraz vs. Taylor Fritz (1:00PM ET, Friday)
• ATP Paris: Nuno Borges vs. Casper Ruud (2:30PM ET, Friday)

Conclusion

Our tennis best bets are locked and loaded for November 6, 2026, featuring plays such as Carlos Alcaraz -3.5 vs. Taylor Fritz and under 24.5 total games also in the Taylor Fritz vs. Carlos Alcaraz matchup. Powered by advanced simulations, these picks are here to boost your betting game.

Our predictions are drawn from current data to help you make informed decisions. For additional resources and advice, head to our Responsible Gambling hub.

All odds and probabilities in this article are correct and accurate at the time of publication.