Nikoloz Basilashvili vs. Alejandro Davidovich Fokina prediction, odds, picks for ATP Chengdu Open 2026

Using powerful machine learning and data, we have re-simulated the result of Monday's Basilashvili-Davidovich Fokina men's singles match, forming part of our tennis predictions coverage.

Our leading predictive model currently gives Davidovich Fokina a 73% chance of beating Basilashvili at the ATP Chengdu Open tournament. Additionally, Davidovich Fokina has a 67% chance of winning the first set, while the under 22.5 games has a 56% chance of hitting, according to our model.

Latest betting odds

We have researched the most up-to-date betting odds in America for this match, which are listed here:

• Moneyline: Alejandro Davidovich Fokina -314, Nikoloz Basilashvili +250
• First Set: Basilashvili +200, Davidovich Fokina -250

All odds are correct at the time of publication and are subject to change.

Model picks and best bet

After matching our predictions against the best available odds, we can reveal our picks for each of the major markets in this matchup. Plus, find our best bet for the game below:

• Moneyline: Basilashvili @ +250 via DraftKings
• First Set: Davidovich Fokina @ -135 via DraftKings

According to our tennis best bets, the top play to make on this match is over 22.5 total games.

These picks are based on our probabilities matched against the implied probabilities from the current available odds.

Game info & first serve details

The ATP Chengdu Open match between Nikoloz Basilashvili and Alejandro Davidovich Fokina is scheduled to start on Monday at 5:00 AM ET.

• Who: Nikoloz Basilashvili vs. Alejandro Davidovich Fokina
• Date: Monday, September 28, 2026
• Approx. Time: 5:00 AM ET/2:00AM PT
• Tournament: ATP Chengdu, China Men's Singles 2026
• Round: Semifinals

All dates and times mentioned in this article are United States Eastern Time unless otherwise stated.

Conclusion

We predict Alejandro Davidovich Fokina, with a 73% win probability, will likely beat Nikoloz Basilashvili at the ATP Chengdu Open tournament.

Additional tools and information for betting safely can be found in our Responsible Gambling hub.

This article's predictions and probabilities are generated by Dimers' proprietary Tennis prediction model. Our editorial team reviews the resulting content for accuracy and presentation before publication.