Lloyd Harris vs. Hubert Hurkacz prediction, odds, picks for ATP Chengdu Open 2026

Using powerful machine learning and data, we have re-simulated the outcome of Sunday's Harris-Hurkacz men's singles match, forming part of our tennis predictions coverage.

Our leading predictive model currently gives Hurkacz a 63% chance of winning against Harris at the ATP Chengdu Open tournament. Additionally, Hurkacz has a 59% chance of winning the first set. The simulations also show that the oddsmakers have got it right with the -2.5 games spread, with each player projected to have a 50-50 chance of covering, while the under 25.5 games has a 60% chance of hitting, according to our model.

Latest betting odds

We have researched the most up-to-date betting odds in America for this match, which are listed here:

• Moneyline: Hubert Hurkacz -189, Lloyd Harris +170
• First Set: Harris +130, Hurkacz -164

All odds are correct at the time of publication and are subject to change.

Model picks and best bet

After matching our predictions against the best available odds, we can reveal our picks for each of the major markets in this matchup. Plus, find our best bet for the game below:

• Moneyline: Harris @ +170 via DraftKings
• First Set: Hurkacz @ -111 via DraftKings

According to our tennis best bets, the top play to make on this match is Lloyd Harris to win the first set.

These picks are based on our probabilities matched against the implied probabilities from the current available odds.

Game info & first serve details

The ATP Chengdu Open match between Lloyd Harris and Hubert Hurkacz is scheduled to begin on Sunday at 4:30 AM ET.

• Who: Lloyd Harris vs. Hubert Hurkacz
• Date: Sunday, September 27, 2026
• Approx. Time: 4:30 AM ET/1:30AM PT
• Tournament: ATP Chengdu, China Men's Singles 2026
• Round: Quarterfinals

All dates and times in this article are United States Eastern Time unless otherwise stated.

Conclusion

We predict Hubert Hurkacz, with a 63% win probability, will likely beat Lloyd Harris at the ATP Chengdu Open tournament.

Additional tools and information for betting safely can be found in our Responsible Gambling hub.

This article's predictions and probabilities are generated by Dimers' proprietary Tennis prediction model. Our editorial team reviews the resulting content for accuracy and presentation before publication.