Kyrian Jacquet vs. Luciano Darderi prediction, odds, picks for ATP Japan Open 2026

Using innovative machine learning and statistical analysis, we have re-simulated the result of Friday's Jacquet-Darderi men's singles match, forming part of our tennis predictions coverage.

Our leading predictive model gives Darderi a 54% chance of defeating Jacquet at the ATP Japan Open tournament. Additionally, Darderi has a 52% chance of winning the first set. The simulations also show Jacquet (+1.5) has a 53% chance of covering the games spread, while the under 24.5 games has a 59% chance of hitting, according to our model.

Latest betting odds

We have sourced the most up-to-date betting odds in America for this match, which are listed here:

• Moneyline: Luciano Darderi -134, Kyrian Jacquet +120
• First Set: Jacquet +110, Darderi -139

All odds are correct at the time of publication and are subject to change.

Model picks and best bet

After matching our predictions against the best current odds, we can reveal our picks for each of the major markets in this matchup. Plus, find our best bet for the game below:

• Moneyline: Jacquet @ +120 via DraftKings
• First Set: Darderi @ -130 via DraftKings

According to our tennis best bets, the top play to make on this match is Kyrian Jacquet to win the first set.

These picks are based on our probabilities matched against the implied probabilities from the current available odds.

Game info & first serve details

The ATP Japan Open match between Kyrian Jacquet and Luciano Darderi is scheduled to begin on Friday at 3:00 AM ET.

• Who: Kyrian Jacquet vs. Luciano Darderi
• Date: Friday, October 2, 2026
• Approx. Time: 3:00 AM ET/12:00AM PT
• Tournament: ATP Tokyo, Japan Men's Singles 2026
• Round: Round of 16

All dates and times mentioned in this article are United States Eastern Time unless otherwise noted.

Conclusion

We predict Luciano Darderi, with a 54% win probability, will likely beat Kyrian Jacquet at the ATP Japan Open tournament.

Additional tools and information for betting safely can be found in our Responsible Gambling hub.

This article's predictions and probabilities are generated by Dimers' proprietary Tennis prediction model. Our editorial team reviews the resulting content for accuracy and presentation before publication.