Jazmin Ortenzi vs. Chloe Paquet prediction, odds, picks for WTA Sao Paulo 2026

Using innovative machine learning and statistical analysis, we have re-simulated the result of Monday's Ortenzi-Paquet women's singles match, forming part of our tennis predictions coverage.

Our leading predictive model gives Paquet a 58% chance of defeating Ortenzi at the WTA Sao Paulo tournament. Additionally, Paquet has a 56% chance of winning the first set. The simulations also show that the bookmakers have got it right with the +2.5 games spread, with each player projected to have a 50-50 chance of covering, while the **over/under of 21.5 games also has an equal 50-50 chance of hitting, according to our model.

Latest betting odds

We have sourced the most up-to-date betting odds in America for this match, which are listed here:

• Moneyline: Chloe Paquet -160, Jazmin Ortenzi +142
• First Set: Ortenzi +130, Paquet -164

All odds are correct at the time of publication and are subject to change.

Model picks and best bet

After matching our predictions against the best available odds, we can reveal our picks for each of the major markets in this matchup. Plus, find our best bet for the game below:

• Moneyline: Ortenzi @ +142 via DraftKings
• First Set: Paquet @ -105 via DraftKings

According to our tennis best bets, the top play to make on this match is Jazmin Ortenzi to win.

Although Ortenzi is less than likely to win, she provides the best value at the current available odds.

These picks are based on our probabilities matched against the implied probabilities from the current available odds.

Game info & first serve details

The WTA Sao Paulo match between Jazmin Ortenzi and Chloe Paquet is scheduled to begin on Monday at 2:10 PM ET.

• Who: Jazmin Ortenzi vs. Chloe Paquet
• Date: Monday, September 14, 2026
• Approx. Time: 2:10 PM ET/11:10AM PT
• Tournament: WTA Sao Paulo, Brazil Women's, Singles 2026
• Round: Round of 32

All dates and times mentioned in this article are United States Eastern Time unless otherwise stated.

Conclusion

We predict Chloe Paquet, with a 58% win probability, will likely beat Jazmin Ortenzi at the WTA Sao Paulo tournament.

Additional tools and information for betting safely can be found in our Responsible Gambling hub.

This article's predictions and probabilities are generated by Dimers' proprietary Tennis prediction model. Our editorial team reviews the resulting content for accuracy and presentation before publication.