James Duckworth vs. Lorenzo Sonego prediction, odds, picks for ATP Chengdu Open 2026

James Duckworth and Lorenzo Sonego are scheduled to meet in the round of 32 of the ATP Chengdu Open event on Thursday.

Dimers' proven tennis model projects Lorenzo Sonego as the most likely winner in this Duckworth vs. Sonego prediction.

This article offers further insights into Thursday's match, including best bets and picks.

Duckworth vs. Sonego prediction and odds

Using innovative machine learning and data analysis, we have re-simulated the outcome of Thursday's Duckworth-Sonego men's singles match, forming part of our tennis predictions coverage.

Our leading predictive model gives Sonego a 54% chance of defeating Duckworth at the ATP Chengdu Open tournament. Additionally, Sonego has a 52% chance of winning the first set. The simulations also show Duckworth (+1.5) has a 53% chance of covering the games spread, while the under 25.5 games has a 58% chance of hitting, according to our model.

Latest betting odds

We have sourced the most up-to-date betting odds in America for this match, which are listed here:

• Moneyline: Lorenzo Sonego -139, James Duckworth +120
• First Set: Duckworth +110, Sonego -139

All odds are correct at the time of publication and are subject to change.

Model picks and best bet

After matching our predictions against the best current odds, we can reveal our picks for each of the major markets in this matchup. Plus, find our best bet for the game below:

• Moneyline: Duckworth @ +120 via DraftKings
• First Set: Sonego @ -135 via DraftKings

According to our tennis best bets, the top play to make on this match is James Duckworth to win the first set.

These picks are based on our probabilities matched against the implied probabilities from the current available odds.

Game info & first serve details

The ATP Chengdu Open match between James Duckworth and Lorenzo Sonego is scheduled to commence on Thursday at 3:30 AM ET.

• Who: James Duckworth vs. Lorenzo Sonego
• Date: Thursday, September 24, 2026
• Approx. Time: 3:30 AM ET/12:30AM PT
• Tournament: ATP Chengdu, China Men's Singles 2026
• Round: Round of 32

All dates and times mentioned in this article are United States Eastern Time unless otherwise noted.

Conclusion

We predict Lorenzo Sonego, with a 54% win probability, will likely beat James Duckworth at the ATP Chengdu Open tournament.

Additional tools and information for betting safely can be found in our Responsible Gambling hub.

This article's predictions and probabilities are generated by Dimers' proprietary Tennis prediction model. Our editorial team reviews the resulting content for accuracy and presentation before publication.