James Duckworth vs. Lorenzo Sonego prediction, odds, picks for ATP Chengdu Open 2026

Using trusted machine learning and data, we have re-simulated the outcome of Wednesday's Duckworth-Sonego men's singles match, forming part of our tennis predictions coverage.

Our independent predictive model gives Sonego a 55% chance of defeating Duckworth at the ATP Chengdu Open tournament.

Latest betting odds

We have sourced the most up-to-date betting odds in America for this match, which are listed here:

• Moneyline: Lorenzo Sonego -148, James Duckworth +122

All odds are correct at the time of publication and are subject to change.

Model picks and best bet

After matching our probabilities against the best current odds, we can reveal our picks for each of the major markets in this matchup. Plus, find our best bet for the game below:

• Moneyline: Duckworth @ +122 via DraftKings
• First Set: Sonego @ -140 via DraftKings

According to our best tennis bets, the top play to make on this match is James Duckworth to win the first set.

These picks are based on our probabilities matched against the implied probabilities from the current available odds.

Game info & first serve details

The ATP Chengdu Open match between James Duckworth and Lorenzo Sonego is scheduled to begin on Wednesday at 1:00 AM ET.

• Who: James Duckworth vs. Lorenzo Sonego
• Date: Wednesday, September 23, 2026
• Approx. Time: 1:00 AM ET/10:00PM PT
• Tournament: ATP Chengdu, China Men's Singles 2026
• Round: Round of 32

All dates and times mentioned in this article are United States Eastern Time unless otherwise noted.

Conclusion

We predict Lorenzo Sonego, with a 55% win probability, will likely beat James Duckworth at the ATP Chengdu Open tournament.

Additional tools and information for betting safely can be found in our Responsible Gambling hub.

This article's predictions and probabilities are generated by Dimers' proprietary Tennis prediction model. Our editorial team reviews the resulting content for accuracy and presentation before publication.