Arthur Fils vs. Pavel Kotov prediction, odds, picks for ATP Shanghai Masters 2026

Using trusted machine learning and data, we have re-simulated the outcome of Saturday's Fils-Kotov men's singles match, forming part of our tennis predictions coverage.

Our leading predictive model currently gives Fils an 84% chance of defeating Kotov at the ATP Shanghai Masters tournament.

Latest betting odds

We have sourced the most up-to-date betting odds in America for this match, which are listed here:

• Moneyline: Pavel Kotov +740, Arthur Fils -1205

All odds are correct at the time of publication and are subject to change.

Model picks and best bet

After matching our predictions against the best available odds, we can reveal our picks for each of the major markets in this matchup. Plus, find our best bet for the game below:

• Moneyline: Kotov @ +740 via DraftKings
• First Set: Kotov @ -125 via DraftKings

According to our tennis best bets, the top play to make on this match is Pavel Kotov to win.

Although Kotov is less than likely to win, he provides the best value at the current available odds.

These picks are based on our probabilities matched against the implied probabilities from the current available odds.

Game info & first serve details

The ATP Shanghai Masters match between Arthur Fils and Pavel Kotov is scheduled to start on Saturday at 12:00 AM ET.

• Who: Arthur Fils vs. Pavel Kotov
• Date: Saturday, October 10, 2026
• Approx. Time: 12:00 AM ET/9:00PM PT
• Tournament: ATP Shanghai, China Men's Singles 2026
• Round: Round of 64

All dates and times in this article are United States Eastern Time unless otherwise stated.

Conclusion

We predict Arthur Fils, with an 84% win probability, will likely beat Pavel Kotov at the ATP Shanghai Masters tournament.

Additional tools and information for betting safely can be found in our Responsible Gambling hub.

This article's predictions and probabilities are generated by Dimers' proprietary Tennis prediction model. Our editorial team reviews the resulting content for accuracy and presentation before publication.