Alex de Minaur vs. Quentin Halys prediction, odds, picks for ATP China Open 2026

Using trusted machine learning and statistical analysis, we have re-simulated the outcome of Friday's de Minaur-Halys men's singles match, forming part of our tennis predictions coverage.

Our independent predictive model gives de Minaur a 72% chance of winning against Halys at the ATP China Open tournament. Additionally, de Minaur has a 69% chance of winning the first set. The simulations also show that the oddsmakers have got it right with the -3.5 games spread, with each player projected to have a 50-50 chance of covering, while the under 22.5 games has a 52% chance of hitting, according to our model.

Latest betting odds

We have sourced the most up-to-date betting odds in America for this match, which are listed here:

• Moneyline: Quentin Halys +244, Alex de Minaur -303
• First Set: de Minaur -250, Halys +200

All odds are correct at the time of publication and are subject to change.

Model picks and best bet

After matching our predictions against the best current odds, we can reveal our picks for each of the major markets in this matchup. Plus, find our best bet for the game below:

• Moneyline: Halys @ +244 via DraftKings
• First Set: Halys @ -125 via DraftKings

According to our best tennis bets, the top play to make on this match is over 22.5 total games.

These picks are based on our probabilities matched against the implied probabilities from the current available odds.

Game info & first serve details

The ATP China Open match between Alex de Minaur and Quentin Halys is scheduled to begin on Friday at 11:00 PM ET.

• Who: Alex de Minaur vs. Quentin Halys
• Date: Friday, October 2, 2026
• Approx. Time: 11:00 PM ET/8:00PM PT
• Tournament: ATP Beijing, China Men's Singles 2026
• Round: Round of 16

All dates and times mentioned in this article are United States Eastern Time unless otherwise noted.

Conclusion

We predict Alex de Minaur, with a 72% win probability, will likely beat Quentin Halys at the ATP China Open tournament.

Additional tools and information for betting safely can be found in our Responsible Gambling hub.

This article's predictions and probabilities are generated by Dimers' proprietary Tennis prediction model. Our editorial team reviews the resulting content for accuracy and presentation before publication.