Knights vs. Roosters Prediction, Picks and Odds

Our detailed prediction and analysis for the Knights vs. Roosters NRL game on October 4, 2026 is featured below. Drawing from 10,000 game simulations, we provide expert picks, betting odds, and insights.
NRL
NRL sport icon
NRL
Knights
Predicted score
16
:
27
Allianz Stadium
Roosters
Allianz Stadium
Pre-Game Probabilities Last Update:

Moneyline

Moneyline
Win %
  • Knights
    23.1%
    BetRiversBetRivers
  • Roosters
    76.9%
    BetRiversBetRivers
Player Props
Knights
Probability
  • Dominic Young
    43.3%
  • Greg Marzhew
    39.6%
  • Fletcher Sharpe
    28.9%
  • Bradman Best
  • Kalyn Ponga
Roosters
Probability
  • Mark Nawaqanitawase
    51.5%
  • Daniel Tupou
    50.9%
  • James Tedesco
    37.4%
  • Robert Toia
  • Billy Smith

Knights vs. Roosters: Detailed Breakdown

Matchup Overview

  • Teams: Knights vs. Roosters
  • Date: Sunday, October 4, 2026
  • Time: 4:30 AM ET
  • Venue: Allianz Stadium

Current Betting Odds

  • Spread: Roosters favored at -7.5
  • Total (Over/Under): 42.5
  • Moneyline Odds: Knights +175, Roosters -227

Dimers' Win Probabilities

  • Knights: 23%
  • Roosters: 77%

Dimers' predictive model, renowned for its accuracy, assesses each team's chances by simulating the outcome of the game 10,000 times. This method provides a precise and unbiased view.

Projected Final Score

Our predicted final score for this NRL matchup is Knights 16-27 Roosters.

This prediction is based on each team's average score following 10,000 game simulations.

Our Prediction: Who Wins?

After extensive simulations, our model gives the Knights a win probability of 23%, while the Roosters have a win probability of 77%. Discover the best spread, over/under, and moneyline odds for the game on this page.

Summary

According to our analysis, the Roosters are more likely to beat the Knights in the NRL game at Allianz Stadium on Sunday. Discover the best spread, over/under and moneyline odds, picks and probabilities for the game on this page.

Our Knights vs. Roosters predictions, based on sophisticated simulations and current data, guide you in making informed decisions. Remember to bet responsibly and within your financial limits.

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For further insights, explore our expert NRL predictions, the best NRL bets today, and the latest NRL news.