Senators vs. Penguins Prediction, Picks & Odds

Dimers' prediction and analysis for Senators vs. Penguins in the NHL on Saturday, November 14, 2026 including our projected final score and probabilities for the moneyline, puck line, and game total.
NHL
NHL sport icon
NHL
Senators
vs.
PPG Paints Arena
Penguins
PPG Paints Arena
Pre-Game Probabilities Last updated:

Moneyline

Moneyline
Win %
  • Senators
    52.4%
    NovigNovig
  • Penguins
    47.6%
    NovigNovig

Senators vs. Penguins prediction & analysis

Game overview: NHL Saturday

  • Teams: Ottawa Senators vs. Pittsburgh Penguins
  • Date: Saturday, November 14, 2026
  • Puck drop: 7:00PM ET
  • Venue: PPG Paints Arena

Current betting odds

  • Total (Over/Under): 6.5 goals (-108/+100)
  • Moneyline: Senators -108, Penguins +100

Dimers’ win probabilities

  • Senators: 51.9%
  • Penguins: 48.1%

Our NHL win probabilities come from a machine learning model that assesses each team’s offensive and defensive performance, calculating multiple factors and accounting for OT and shootout chances.

It draws from these projections to forecast probabilities for the moneyline, puck line, and total goals.

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Our Prediction: Who Wins?

After extensive simulations, our model gives the Senators a win probability of 51.9%, while the Penguins have a win probability of 48.1%.

Summary

According to our analysis, the Senators are more likely to beat the Penguins in the NHL game at PPG Paints Arena on Saturday.

That is the straight-up read. Whether either side is worth backing depends on the price, which is what our betting model rates.

Responsible gambling

Dimers’ predictions and betting insights are here to inform your decisions, not to make them for you. If you are betting on Senators vs. Penguins, set your limits in advance and stay within them. For support, visit our responsible gambling resources.

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