Lightning vs. Golden Knights Prediction, Picks & Odds

Dimers' prediction and analysis for Lightning vs. Golden Knights in the NHL on Tuesday, October 20, 2026 including our projected final score and probabilities for the moneyline, puck line, game total, and player props.
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NHL
NHL sport icon
NHL
Lightning
vs.
T-Mobile Arena
Golden Knights
T-Mobile Arena
Pre-Game Probabilities Last Update:

Moneyline

Moneyline
Win %
  • Lightning
    47.9%
    CaesarsCaesars
  • Golden Knights
    52.0%
    NovigNovig
Player Props
Lightning
Probability
  • Brandon Hagel
    37.0%
  • Nikita Kucherov
    36.6%
  • Jake Guentzel
    31.6%
  • Brayden Point
  • Anthony Cirelli
Golden Knights
Probability
  • Trevor Connelly
    33.9%
  • Mark Stone
    33.6%
  • Jack Eichel
    29.7%
  • Tomas Hertl
  • Mitch Marner

Lightning vs. Golden Knights prediction & analysis

Game overview: NHL Tuesday

  • Teams: Tampa Bay Lightning vs. Vegas Golden Knights
  • Date: Tuesday, October 20, 2026
  • Puck drop: 10:30PM ET
  • Venue: T-Mobile Arena

Current betting odds

  • Puck line: Lightning (+1.5, -250), Golden Knights (-1.5, +239)
  • Moneyline: Lightning -102, Golden Knights +100
  • Total (Over/Under): 6.5 goals (+108/-113)

Dimers’ win probabilities

  • Lightning: 47.9%
  • Golden Knights: 52.0%

Our NHL win probabilities come from a machine learning model that assesses each team’s offensive and defensive performance, calculating multiple factors and accounting for OT and shootout chances.

It draws from these projections to forecast probabilities for the moneyline, puck line, and total goals.

Lightning vs. Golden Knights player props & projections

Our highest anytime goalscorer probabilities for this game are:

  • Nikita Kucherov, Lightning: 37.7%
  • Brandon Hagel, Lightning: 37.6%
  • Mark Stone, Golden Knights: 34.5%
  • Trevor Connelly, Golden Knights: 33.9%

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Our Prediction: Who Wins?

After extensive simulations, our model gives the Lightning a win probability of 47.9%, while the Golden Knights have a win probability of 52.0%.

Summary

According to our analysis, the Golden Knights are more likely to beat the Lightning in the NHL game at T-Mobile Arena on Tuesday.

That is the straight-up read. Whether either side is worth backing depends on the price, which is what our betting model rates.

Responsible gambling

Dimers’ predictions and betting insights are here to inform your decisions, not to make them for you. If you are betting on Lightning vs. Golden Knights, set your limits in advance and stay within them. For support, visit our responsible gambling resources.

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