Penguins vs. Golden Knights Prediction, Picks & Odds
Moneyline
- Penguins
- Golden Knights
- Sidney Crosby31.5%
- Bryan Rust31.3%
- Rickard Rakell26.8%
- Evgeni Malkin
- Ben Kindel
- Mark Stone37.9%
- Jack Eichel34.4%
- Trevor Connelly34.4%
- Tomas Hertl
- Mitch Marner
Penguins vs. Golden Knights prediction & analysis
Game overview: NHL Saturday
- Teams: Pittsburgh Penguins vs. Vegas Golden Knights
- Date: Saturday, October 17, 2026
- Puck drop: 10:00PM ET
- Venue: T-Mobile Arena
Current betting odds
- Puck line: Penguins (+1.5, -112), Golden Knights (-1.5, +106)
- Moneyline: Penguins +200, Golden Knights -203
- Total (Over/Under): 6.5 goals (-113/+106)
Dimers’ win probabilities
- Penguins: 35.9%
- Golden Knights: 64.1%
Our NHL win probabilities come from a machine learning model that assesses each team’s offensive and defensive performance, calculating multiple factors and accounting for OT and shootout chances.
It draws from these projections to forecast probabilities for the moneyline, puck line, and total goals.
Penguins vs. Golden Knights player props & projections
Our highest anytime goalscorer probabilities for this game are:
- Sidney Crosby, Penguins: 31.3%
- Bryan Rust, Penguins: 29.9%
- Mark Stone, Golden Knights: 39.0%
- Jack Eichel, Golden Knights: 34.1%
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Our Prediction: Who Wins?
After extensive simulations, our model gives the Penguins a win probability of 35.9%, while the Golden Knights have a win probability of 64.1%.
Summary
According to our analysis, the Golden Knights are more likely to beat the Penguins in the NHL game at T-Mobile Arena on Saturday.
That is the straight-up read. Whether either side is worth backing depends on the price, which is what our betting model rates.
Responsible gambling
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