Devils vs. Capitals Prediction, Picks & Odds

Dimers' prediction and analysis for Devils vs. Capitals in the NHL on Saturday, October 17, 2026 including our projected final score and probabilities for the moneyline, puck line, game total, and player props.
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FINAL
NHL
FINAL
NHL sport icon
NHL
Devils
2
4
Capital One Arena
Capitals
Capital One Arena
TEAM123T
Devils
1 0 1 2
Capitals
1 3 0 4
Live Probabilities
Win %
  • Devils
    0%
  • Capitals
    100%
Win Probability
TEAM123T
Devils
1 0 1 2
Capitals
1 3 0 4
P3 18:49 Power play - Shot missed by Timo Meier
P3 18:24 Shot on goal by Evan Rodrigues saved by Logan Thompson
P3 17:11 Shot missed by Jesper Bratt
P3 16:57 Ryan Leonard shot blocked by Dougie Hamilton
P3 16:05 Shot on goal by Jordan Kyrou saved by Jake Allen
P3 15:24 Shot missed by Jack Hughes
P3 14:24 Shot on goal by Devils saved by Logan Thompson
P3 13:50 Shot on goal by Cody Glass saved by Logan Thompson
P3 13:40 Shot on goal by Amadeus Lombardi saved by Logan Thompson
P3 13:06 Power play - Shot missed by Jack Hughes
P3 12:56 Power play - Shot on goal by Jesper Bratt saved by Logan Thompson
P3 08:18 Dawson Mercer shot blocked by Timothy Liljegren
P3 08:16 Shot on goal by Nico Hischier saved by Logan Thompson
P3 08:02 Shot missed by Stefan Noesen
P3 06:42 Johnathan Kovacevic shot blocked by teammate
P3 06:09 Shot on goal by Jack Hughes saved by Logan Thompson
P3 05:58 Shot missed by Jack Hughes
P3 05:33 Shot on goal by Jack Hughes saved by Logan Thompson
P3 05:18 Shot on goal by Arseny Gritsyuk saved by Logan Thompson
P3 04:50 Shot missed by Devils
Play by Play
  1. P3 20:00
    End of 3rd Period.
  2. P3 19:41
    Cody Glass won faceoff against Jonny Brodzinski in neutral zone
  3. P3 18:49
    SHOT
    Power play - Shot missed by Timo Meier
  4. P3 18:26
    Devils won faceoff against Capitals in neutral zone
  5. P3 18:24
    SHOT
    Shot on goal by Evan Rodrigues saved by Logan Thompson
  6. P3 17:11
    SHOT
    Shot missed by Jesper Bratt
  7. P3 16:59
    Boone Jenner won faceoff against Jack Hughes in offensive zone
  8. P3 16:57
    SHOT
    Ryan Leonard shot blocked by Dougie Hamilton
  9. P3 16:18
    Cody Glass credited with hit on Jordan Kyrou in defensive zone
  10. P3 16:07
    Stoppage - Goalie Stopped (after SOG)
  11. P3 16:05
    SHOT
    Shot on goal by Jordan Kyrou saved by Jake Allen
  12. P3 16:03
    Stoppage - Icing
  13. P3 15:39
    Dylan Strome won faceoff against Nico Hischier in defensive zone
  14. P3 15:39
    Stoppage - TV timeout
  15. P3 15:24
    SHOT
    Shot missed by Jack Hughes
  16. P3 15:05
    Arseny Gritsyuk credited with hit on Jakob Chychrun in offensive zone
  17. P3 14:24
    SHOT
    Shot on goal by Devils saved by Logan Thompson
  18. P3 13:53
    Dylan Strome won faceoff against Timo Meier in defensive zone
  19. P3 13:50
    SHOT
    Shot on goal by Cody Glass saved by Logan Thompson
  20. P3 13:40
    SHOT
    Shot on goal by Amadeus Lombardi saved by Logan Thompson
  21. P3 13:06
    SHOT
    Power play - Shot missed by Jack Hughes
  22. P3 12:56
    SHOT
    Power play - Shot on goal by Jesper Bratt saved by Logan Thompson
  23. P3 12:00
    Shorthanded - Alex Tuch won faceoff against Nico Hischier in defensive zone
  24. P3 11:38
    Power play - Nico Hischier won faceoff against Boone Jenner in offensive zone
  25. P3 11:12
    Nico Hischier won faceoff against Jonny Brodzinski in defensive zone
  26. P3 10:52
    Nico Hischier won faceoff against Anthony Beauvillier in defensive zone
  27. P3 10:52
    Stoppage - TV timeout
  28. P3 10:52
    Stoppage - Goalie Stopped (after SOG)
  29. P3 09:22
    Dylan Strome won faceoff against Cody Glass in neutral zone
  30. P3 08:35
    Ilya Protas won faceoff against Evan Rodrigues in defensive zone
  31. P3 08:18
    SHOT
    Dawson Mercer shot blocked by Timothy Liljegren
  32. P3 08:16
    SHOT
    Shot on goal by Nico Hischier saved by Logan Thompson
  33. P3 08:09
    Nico Hischier won faceoff against Jonny Brodzinski in neutral zone
  34. P3 08:09
    Stoppage - Offside
  35. P3 08:02
    SHOT
    Shot missed by Stefan Noesen
  36. P3 07:10
    Nico Hischier won faceoff against Ilya Protas in offensive zone
  37. P3 07:10
    Stoppage - Icing
  38. P3 06:42
    SHOT
    Johnathan Kovacevic shot blocked by teammate
  39. P3 06:39
    Cody Glass won faceoff against Ilya Protas in offensive zone
  40. P3 06:09
    SHOT
    Shot on goal by Jack Hughes saved by Logan Thompson
  41. P3 05:58
    SHOT
    Shot missed by Jack Hughes
  42. P3 05:33
    SHOT
    Shot on goal by Jack Hughes saved by Logan Thompson
  43. P3 05:20
    Boone Jenner won faceoff against Jack Hughes in defensive zone
  44. P3 05:18
    SHOT
    Shot on goal by Arseny Gritsyuk saved by Logan Thompson
  45. P3 04:50
    SHOT
    Shot missed by Devils
  46. P3 04:15
    Devils won faceoff against Capitals in neutral zone
  47. P3 04:06
    Nico Hischier won faceoff against Jonny Brodzinski in defensive zone
  48. P3 03:34
    SHOT
    Evan Rodrigues shot blocked by Dylan Strome
  49. P3 03:18
    SHOT
    Shot missed by Luke Hughes
  50. P3 03:03
    Devils won faceoff against Capitals in neutral zone
  51. P3 03:03
    Stoppage - Puck in Netting
  52. P3 03:01
    SHOT
    Stefan Noesen shot blocked by Justin Holl
  53. P3 02:35
    SHOT
    Shot on goal by Cole Hutson saved by Jake Allen
  54. P3 02:33
    SHOT
    Shot missed by Ilya Protas
  55. P3 02:20
    Stoppage - Goalie Stopped (after SOG)
  56. P3 02:18
    SHOT
    Shot on goal by Arseny Gritsyuk saved by Logan Thompson
  57. P3 01:12
    Boone Jenner won faceoff against Jack Hughes in defensive zone
  58. P3 00:28
    SHOT
    Brett Pesce shot blocked by Jakob Chychrun
  59. P2 20:00
    End of 2nd Period.
  60. P2 19:42
    Nico Hischier won faceoff against Dylan Strome in defensive zone
  61. P2 19:42
    Stoppage - Goalie Stopped (after SOG)
  62. P2 19:26
    Nico Hischier won faceoff against Dylan Strome in defensive zone
  63. P2 18:34
    SHOT
    Arseny Gritsyuk shot blocked by Tom Wilson
  64. P2 18:28
    SHOT
    Jack Hughes shot blocked by Timothy Liljegren
  65. P2 17:38
    SHOT
    Shot on goal by Dylan Strome saved by Jake Allen
  66. P2 17:15
    SHOT
    Shot missed by Timo Meier
  67. P2 16:46
    Nico Hischier won faceoff against Jonny Brodzinski in offensive zone
  68. P2 16:30
    Devils won faceoff against Capitals in neutral zone
  69. P2 15:09
    Ivan Miroshnichenko credited with hit on Johnathan Kovacevic in neutral zone
  70. P2 14:44
    SHOT
    Shot on goal by Dougie Hamilton saved by Logan Thompson
  71. P2 14:12
    SHOT
    Shot on goal by Jakob Chychrun saved by Jake Allen
  72. P2 13:59
    Nico Hischier won faceoff against Dylan Strome in neutral zone
  73. P2 13:40
    SHOT
    Shot missed by Jakob Chychrun
  74. P2 12:44
    Ilya Protas won faceoff against Jack Hughes in offensive zone
  75. P2 12:10
    SHOT
    Shot missed by Brett Pesce
  76. P2 11:23
    Anthony Beauvillier credited with hit on Jonas Siegenthaler in offensive zone
  77. P2 11:14
    GOAL
    Goal scored by Boone Jenner assisted by Vincent Desharnais and Martin Fehervary
    1-4
  78. P2 11:11
    SHOT
    Vincent Desharnais shot blocked by Johnathan Kovacevic
  79. P2 11:08
    Stoppage - Icing
  80. P2 10:44
    Power play - Ilya Protas won faceoff against Cody Glass in neutral zone
  81. P2 09:06
    SHOT
    Power play - Shot on goal by Alex Tuch saved by Jake Allen
  82. P2 09:03
    Penalty to Luke Hughes 2 minutes for Misconduct
  83. P2 08:41
    Aliaksei Protas credited with hit on Brett Pesce in defensive zone
  84. P2 08:25
    SHOT
    Shot on goal by Jesper Boqvist saved by Logan Thompson
  85. P2 08:24
    SHOT
    Luke Hughes shot blocked by Aliaksei Protas
  86. P2 08:10
    Boone Jenner won faceoff against Cody Glass in defensive zone
  87. P2 08:10
    Stoppage - Icing
  88. P2 07:47
    Cody Glass won faceoff against Boone Jenner in offensive zone
  89. P2 07:47
    Stoppage - Puck in Crowd
  90. P2 07:17
    SHOT
    Shot missed by Anthony Mantha
  91. P2 07:09
    SHOT
    Shot missed by Cole Hutson
  92. P2 06:41
    Devils won faceoff against Capitals in neutral zone
  93. P2 06:41
    SHOT
    Shot missed by Devils
  94. P2 06:16
    Dylan Strome won faceoff against Nico Hischier in offensive zone
  95. P2 06:16
    Stoppage - Puck Frozen
  96. P2 05:38
    SHOT
    Martin Fehervary shot blocked by Brett Pesce
  97. P2 04:36
    Ilya Protas won faceoff against Evan Rodrigues in neutral zone
  98. P2 04:06
    SHOT
    Jack Hughes shot blocked by Dylan Strome
  99. P2 03:10
    Dawson Mercer credited with hit on Ryan Leonard in offensive zone
  100. P2 02:55
    Nico Hischier won faceoff against Jonny Brodzinski in offensive zone
  101. P2 02:55
    Stoppage - Puck in Netting
  102. P2 02:53
    SHOT
    Shot missed by Luke Hughes
  103. P2 02:09
    SHOT
    Shot on goal by Jack Hughes saved by Logan Thompson
  104. P2 01:27
    SHOT
    Shot on goal by Boone Jenner saved by Jake Allen
  105. P2 01:16
    Devils won faceoff against Capitals in neutral zone
  106. P2 01:16
    SHOT
    Shot on goal by Ilya Protas saved by Jake Allen
  107. P2 00:10
    Nico Hischier won faceoff against Dylan Strome in offensive zone
  108. P2 00:10
    Stoppage - Goalie Stopped (after SOG)
  109. P2 00:00
    Nico Hischier won faceoff against Dylan Strome in neutral zone
  110. P1 20:00
    End of 1st Period.
  111. P1 19:37
    SHOT
    Brett Pesce shot blocked by Ivan Miroshnichenko
  112. P1 19:25
    Nico Hischier won faceoff against Ilya Protas in offensive zone
  113. P1 18:58
    SHOT
    Shot on goal by Ilya Protas saved by Jake Allen
  114. P1 17:26
    Martin Fehervary credited with hit on Dawson Mercer in defensive zone
  115. P1 17:07
    SHOT
    Shot missed by Dawson Mercer
  116. P1 16:42
    Nico Hischier won faceoff against Boone Jenner in neutral zone
  117. P1 16:18
    SHOT
    Power play - Shot missed by Dylan Strome
  118. P1 15:19
    Stoppage - Puck in Crowd
  119. P1 15:10
    Power play - Ilya Protas won faceoff against Cody Glass in offensive zone
  120. P1 15:10
    Stoppage - TV timeout
  121. P1 12:56
    SHOT
    Shot on goal by Jesper Bratt saved by Logan Thompson
  122. P1 12:46
    SHOT
    Jack Hughes shot blocked by Justin Holl
  123. P1 11:40
    Nico Hischier won faceoff against Jonny Brodzinski in offensive zone
  124. P1 02:13
    SHOT
    Shot on goal by Devils saved by Logan Thompson
  125. P1 01:18
    SHOT
    Shot on goal by Capitals saved by Jake Allen
Stats
Devils
STATS
Capitals
31Shots on Goal25
53% Faceoff Win % 47%
4/1 PP Opportunities/PP Goals 2/1
4Penalty Infraction Mins8
16Hits19
8 Shots Blocked 22
12Giveaways20
DevilsNJ
CapitalsWSH
31Shots on Goal25
53% Faceoff Win % 47%
4/1 PP Opportunities/PP Goals 2/1
4Penalty Infraction Mins8
16Hits19
8 Shots Blocked 22
12Giveaways20

Devils vs. Capitals prediction & analysis

Game overview: NHL Saturday

  • Teams: New Jersey Devils vs. Washington Capitals
  • Date: Saturday, October 17, 2026
  • Puck drop: 1:00PM ET
  • Venue: Capital One Arena

Current betting odds

  • Puck line: Devils (+1.5, -250), Capitals (-1.5, +245)
  • Moneyline: Devils +108, Capitals -111
  • Total (Over/Under): 6.5 goals (+117/-122)

Dimers’ win probabilities

  • Devils: 45.7%
  • Capitals: 54.2%

Our NHL win probabilities come from a machine learning model that assesses each team’s offensive and defensive performance, calculating multiple factors and accounting for OT and shootout chances.

It draws from these projections to forecast probabilities for the moneyline, puck line, and total goals.

Devils vs. Capitals player props & projections

Our highest anytime goalscorer probabilities for this game are:

  • Jack Hughes, Devils: 32.1%
  • Nico Hischier, Devils: 28.2%
  • Alex Tuch, Capitals: 32.2%
  • Tom Wilson, Capitals: 30.3%

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Our Prediction: Who Wins?

After extensive simulations, our model gives the Devils a win probability of 45.7%, while the Capitals have a win probability of 54.2%.

Summary

According to our analysis, the Capitals are more likely to beat the Devils in the NHL game at Capital One Arena on Saturday.

That is the straight-up read. Whether either side is worth backing depends on the price, which is what our betting model rates.

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