Devils vs. Capitals Prediction, Picks & Odds

Dimers' prediction and analysis for Devils vs. Capitals in the NHL on Saturday, October 17, 2026 including our projected final score and probabilities for the moneyline, puck line, game total, and player props.
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LIVE
3rd 3:03
NHL
Updating LIVE
LIVE
3rd 3:03
Updating LIVE
NHL sport icon
NHL
Devils
1
:
4
Capital One Arena
Capitals
Capital One Arena
TEAM123T
Devils
1 0 0 1
Capitals
1 3 0 4
Live Probabilities
Win %
  • Devils
    <1%
  • Capitals
    >99%
Win Probability
TEAM123T
Devils
1 0 0 1
Capitals
1 3 0 4
P3 16:57 Ryan Leonard shot blocked by Dougie Hamilton
P3 16:05 Shot on goal by Jordan Kyrou saved by Jake Allen
P3 15:24 Shot missed by Jack Hughes
P3 14:24 Shot on goal by Devils saved by Logan Thompson
P3 13:50 Shot on goal by Cody Glass saved by Logan Thompson
P3 13:40 Shot on goal by Amadeus Lombardi saved by Logan Thompson
P3 13:06 Power play - Shot missed by Jack Hughes
P3 12:56 Power play - Shot on goal by Jesper Bratt saved by Logan Thompson
P3 08:18 Dawson Mercer shot blocked by Timothy Liljegren
P3 08:16 Shot on goal by Nico Hischier saved by Logan Thompson
P3 08:02 Shot missed by Stefan Noesen
P3 06:42 Johnathan Kovacevic shot blocked by teammate
P3 06:09 Shot on goal by Jack Hughes saved by Logan Thompson
P3 05:58 Shot missed by Jack Hughes
P3 05:33 Shot on goal by Jack Hughes saved by Logan Thompson
P3 05:18 Shot on goal by Arseny Gritsyuk saved by Logan Thompson
P3 04:50 Shot missed by Devils
P3 03:34 Evan Rodrigues shot blocked by Dylan Strome
P3 03:18 Shot missed by Luke Hughes
P3 03:01 Stefan Noesen shot blocked by Justin Holl
Play by Play
  1. P3 16:57
    SHOT
    Ryan Leonard shot blocked by Dougie Hamilton
  2. P3 16:18
    Cody Glass credited with hit on Jordan Kyrou in defensive zone
  3. P3 16:07
    Stoppage - Goalie Stopped (after SOG)
  4. P3 16:05
    SHOT
    Shot on goal by Jordan Kyrou saved by Jake Allen
  5. P3 16:03
    Stoppage - Icing
  6. P3 15:39
    Dylan Strome won faceoff against Nico Hischier in defensive zone
  7. P3 15:39
    Stoppage - TV timeout
  8. P3 15:24
    SHOT
    Shot missed by Jack Hughes
  9. P3 15:05
    Arseny Gritsyuk credited with hit on Jakob Chychrun in offensive zone
  10. P3 14:24
    SHOT
    Shot on goal by Devils saved by Logan Thompson
  11. P3 13:53
    Dylan Strome won faceoff against Timo Meier in defensive zone
  12. P3 13:50
    SHOT
    Shot on goal by Cody Glass saved by Logan Thompson
  13. P3 13:40
    SHOT
    Shot on goal by Amadeus Lombardi saved by Logan Thompson
  14. P3 13:06
    SHOT
    Power play - Shot missed by Jack Hughes
  15. P3 12:56
    SHOT
    Power play - Shot on goal by Jesper Bratt saved by Logan Thompson
  16. P3 12:00
    Shorthanded - Alex Tuch won faceoff against Nico Hischier in defensive zone
  17. P3 11:38
    Power play - Nico Hischier won faceoff against Boone Jenner in offensive zone
  18. P3 11:12
    Nico Hischier won faceoff against Jonny Brodzinski in defensive zone
  19. P3 10:52
    Nico Hischier won faceoff against Anthony Beauvillier in defensive zone
  20. P3 10:52
    Stoppage - TV timeout
  21. P3 10:52
    Stoppage - Goalie Stopped (after SOG)
  22. P3 09:22
    Dylan Strome won faceoff against Cody Glass in neutral zone
  23. P3 08:35
    Ilya Protas won faceoff against Evan Rodrigues in defensive zone
  24. P3 08:18
    SHOT
    Dawson Mercer shot blocked by Timothy Liljegren
  25. P3 08:16
    SHOT
    Shot on goal by Nico Hischier saved by Logan Thompson
  26. P3 08:09
    Nico Hischier won faceoff against Jonny Brodzinski in neutral zone
  27. P3 08:09
    Stoppage - Offside
  28. P3 08:02
    SHOT
    Shot missed by Stefan Noesen
  29. P3 07:10
    Nico Hischier won faceoff against Ilya Protas in offensive zone
  30. P3 07:10
    Stoppage - Icing
  31. P3 06:42
    SHOT
    Johnathan Kovacevic shot blocked by teammate
  32. P3 06:39
    Cody Glass won faceoff against Ilya Protas in offensive zone
  33. P3 06:09
    SHOT
    Shot on goal by Jack Hughes saved by Logan Thompson
  34. P3 05:58
    SHOT
    Shot missed by Jack Hughes
  35. P3 05:33
    SHOT
    Shot on goal by Jack Hughes saved by Logan Thompson
  36. P3 05:20
    Boone Jenner won faceoff against Jack Hughes in defensive zone
  37. P3 05:18
    SHOT
    Shot on goal by Arseny Gritsyuk saved by Logan Thompson
  38. P3 04:50
    SHOT
    Shot missed by Devils
  39. P3 04:15
    Devils won faceoff against Capitals in neutral zone
  40. P3 04:06
    Nico Hischier won faceoff against Jonny Brodzinski in defensive zone
  41. P3 03:34
    SHOT
    Evan Rodrigues shot blocked by Dylan Strome
  42. P3 03:18
    SHOT
    Shot missed by Luke Hughes
  43. P3 03:03
    Devils won faceoff against Capitals in neutral zone
  44. P3 03:03
    Stoppage - Puck in Netting
  45. P3 03:01
    SHOT
    Stefan Noesen shot blocked by Justin Holl
  46. P3 02:35
    SHOT
    Shot on goal by Cole Hutson saved by Jake Allen
  47. P3 02:33
    SHOT
    Shot missed by Ilya Protas
  48. P3 02:20
    Stoppage - Goalie Stopped (after SOG)
  49. P3 02:18
    SHOT
    Shot on goal by Arseny Gritsyuk saved by Logan Thompson
  50. P3 01:12
    Boone Jenner won faceoff against Jack Hughes in defensive zone
  51. P3 00:28
    SHOT
    Brett Pesce shot blocked by Jakob Chychrun
  52. P2 20:00
    End of 2nd Period.
  53. P2 19:42
    Nico Hischier won faceoff against Dylan Strome in defensive zone
  54. P2 19:42
    Stoppage - Goalie Stopped (after SOG)
  55. P2 19:26
    Nico Hischier won faceoff against Dylan Strome in defensive zone
  56. P2 18:34
    SHOT
    Arseny Gritsyuk shot blocked by Tom Wilson
  57. P2 18:28
    SHOT
    Jack Hughes shot blocked by Timothy Liljegren
  58. P2 17:38
    SHOT
    Shot on goal by Dylan Strome saved by Jake Allen
  59. P2 17:15
    SHOT
    Shot missed by Timo Meier
  60. P2 16:46
    Nico Hischier won faceoff against Jonny Brodzinski in offensive zone
  61. P2 16:30
    Devils won faceoff against Capitals in neutral zone
  62. P2 15:09
    Ivan Miroshnichenko credited with hit on Johnathan Kovacevic in neutral zone
  63. P2 14:44
    SHOT
    Shot on goal by Dougie Hamilton saved by Logan Thompson
  64. P2 14:12
    SHOT
    Shot on goal by Jakob Chychrun saved by Jake Allen
  65. P2 13:59
    Nico Hischier won faceoff against Dylan Strome in neutral zone
  66. P2 13:40
    SHOT
    Shot missed by Jakob Chychrun
  67. P2 12:44
    Ilya Protas won faceoff against Jack Hughes in offensive zone
  68. P2 12:10
    SHOT
    Shot missed by Brett Pesce
  69. P2 11:23
    Anthony Beauvillier credited with hit on Jonas Siegenthaler in offensive zone
  70. P2 11:14
    GOAL
    Goal scored by Boone Jenner assisted by Vincent Desharnais and Martin Fehervary
    1-4
  71. P2 11:11
    SHOT
    Vincent Desharnais shot blocked by Johnathan Kovacevic
  72. P2 11:08
    Stoppage - Icing
  73. P2 10:44
    Power play - Ilya Protas won faceoff against Cody Glass in neutral zone
  74. P2 09:06
    SHOT
    Power play - Shot on goal by Alex Tuch saved by Jake Allen
  75. P2 09:03
    Penalty to Luke Hughes 2 minutes for Misconduct
  76. P2 08:41
    Aliaksei Protas credited with hit on Brett Pesce in defensive zone
  77. P2 08:25
    SHOT
    Shot on goal by Jesper Boqvist saved by Logan Thompson
  78. P2 08:24
    SHOT
    Luke Hughes shot blocked by Aliaksei Protas
  79. P2 08:10
    Boone Jenner won faceoff against Cody Glass in defensive zone
  80. P2 08:10
    Stoppage - Icing
  81. P2 07:47
    Cody Glass won faceoff against Boone Jenner in offensive zone
  82. P2 07:47
    Stoppage - Puck in Crowd
  83. P2 07:17
    SHOT
    Shot missed by Anthony Mantha
  84. P2 07:09
    SHOT
    Shot missed by Cole Hutson
  85. P2 06:41
    Devils won faceoff against Capitals in neutral zone
  86. P2 06:41
    SHOT
    Shot missed by Devils
  87. P2 06:16
    Dylan Strome won faceoff against Nico Hischier in offensive zone
  88. P2 06:16
    Stoppage - Puck Frozen
  89. P2 05:38
    SHOT
    Martin Fehervary shot blocked by Brett Pesce
  90. P2 04:36
    Ilya Protas won faceoff against Evan Rodrigues in neutral zone
  91. P2 04:06
    SHOT
    Jack Hughes shot blocked by Dylan Strome
  92. P2 03:10
    Dawson Mercer credited with hit on Ryan Leonard in offensive zone
  93. P2 02:55
    Nico Hischier won faceoff against Jonny Brodzinski in offensive zone
  94. P2 02:55
    Stoppage - Puck in Netting
  95. P2 02:53
    SHOT
    Shot missed by Luke Hughes
  96. P2 02:09
    SHOT
    Shot on goal by Jack Hughes saved by Logan Thompson
  97. P2 01:27
    SHOT
    Shot on goal by Boone Jenner saved by Jake Allen
  98. P2 01:16
    Devils won faceoff against Capitals in neutral zone
  99. P2 01:16
    SHOT
    Shot on goal by Ilya Protas saved by Jake Allen
  100. P2 00:10
    Nico Hischier won faceoff against Dylan Strome in offensive zone
  101. P2 00:10
    Stoppage - Goalie Stopped (after SOG)
  102. P2 00:00
    Nico Hischier won faceoff against Dylan Strome in neutral zone
  103. P1 20:00
    End of 1st Period.
  104. P1 19:37
    SHOT
    Brett Pesce shot blocked by Ivan Miroshnichenko
  105. P1 19:25
    Nico Hischier won faceoff against Ilya Protas in offensive zone
  106. P1 18:58
    SHOT
    Shot on goal by Ilya Protas saved by Jake Allen
  107. P1 17:26
    Martin Fehervary credited with hit on Dawson Mercer in defensive zone
  108. P1 17:07
    SHOT
    Shot missed by Dawson Mercer
  109. P1 16:42
    Nico Hischier won faceoff against Boone Jenner in neutral zone
  110. P1 16:18
    SHOT
    Power play - Shot missed by Dylan Strome
  111. P1 15:19
    Stoppage - Puck in Crowd
  112. P1 15:10
    Power play - Ilya Protas won faceoff against Cody Glass in offensive zone
  113. P1 15:10
    Stoppage - TV timeout
  114. P1 12:56
    SHOT
    Shot on goal by Jesper Bratt saved by Logan Thompson
  115. P1 12:46
    SHOT
    Jack Hughes shot blocked by Justin Holl
  116. P1 11:40
    Nico Hischier won faceoff against Jonny Brodzinski in offensive zone
  117. P1 02:13
    SHOT
    Shot on goal by Devils saved by Logan Thompson
  118. P1 01:18
    SHOT
    Shot on goal by Capitals saved by Jake Allen
Stats
Devils
STATS
Capitals
29Shots on Goal25
50% Faceoff Win % 50%
3/0 PP Opportunities/PP Goals 2/1
4Penalty Infraction Mins6
16Hits19
8 Shots Blocked 22
11Giveaways20
DevilsNJ
CapitalsWSH
29Shots on Goal25
50% Faceoff Win % 50%
3/0 PP Opportunities/PP Goals 2/1
4Penalty Infraction Mins6
16Hits19
8 Shots Blocked 22
11Giveaways20

Devils vs. Capitals prediction & analysis

Game overview: NHL Saturday

  • Teams: New Jersey Devils vs. Washington Capitals
  • Date: Saturday, October 17, 2026
  • Puck drop: 1:00PM ET
  • Venue: Capital One Arena

Current betting odds

  • Puck line: Devils (+1.5, -250), Capitals (-1.5, +245)
  • Moneyline: Devils +108, Capitals -111
  • Total (Over/Under): 6.5 goals (+117/-122)

Dimers’ win probabilities

  • Devils: 45.7%
  • Capitals: 54.2%

Our NHL win probabilities come from a machine learning model that assesses each team’s offensive and defensive performance, calculating multiple factors and accounting for OT and shootout chances.

It draws from these projections to forecast probabilities for the moneyline, puck line, and total goals.

Devils vs. Capitals player props & projections

Our highest anytime goalscorer probabilities for this game are:

  • Jack Hughes, Devils: 31.9%
  • Nico Hischier, Devils: 28.0%
  • Alex Tuch, Capitals: 32.1%
  • Tom Wilson, Capitals: 31.1%

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Our Prediction: Who Wins?

After extensive simulations, our model gives the Devils a win probability of 45.7%, while the Capitals have a win probability of 54.2%.

Summary

According to our analysis, the Capitals are more likely to beat the Devils in the NHL game at Capital One Arena on Saturday.

That is the straight-up read. Whether either side is worth backing depends on the price, which is what our betting model rates.

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