Canadiens vs. Lightning Prediction, Picks and Odds

Our detailed prediction and analysis for the Canadiens vs. Lightning NHL game on December 28, 2025 is featured below. Drawing from 10,000 game simulations, we provide expert picks, betting odds, and insights.
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FINAL
NHL
FINAL
NHL sport icon
NHL
Canadiens
4
5
Benchmark International Arena
Lightning
Benchmark International Arena
TEAM123OTT
Canadiens
0 0 4 0 4
Lightning
0 3 1 0 5
Live Probabilities
Win %
  • Canadiens
    0%
  • Lightning
    100%
Win Probability
TEAM123OTT
Canadiens
0 0 4 0 4
Lightning
0 3 1 0 5
OT1 04:04 Shot missed by Anthony Cirelli
OT1 03:45 Shot missed by Cole Caufield
OT1 03:38 Shot missed by Cole Caufield
OT1 02:55 Shot on goal by Cole Caufield saved by Jonas Johansson
OT1 02:00 Shot on goal by Nikita Kucherov saved by Jacob Fowler
OT1 01:12 Shot on goal by Juraj Slafkovský saved by Jonas Johansson
P3 19:54 Shot missed by Juraj Slafkovský
P3 19:52 Lane Hutson shot blocked by Anthony Cirelli
P3 19:25 Noah Dobson shot blocked by Brandon Hagel
P3 19:11 Shot missed by Nikita Kucherov
P3 19:04 Shot missed by Nikita Kucherov
P3 18:43 Shot on goal by Ivan Demidov saved by Jonas Johansson
P3 18:05 Shot missed by Pontus Holmberg
P3 17:19 Shot missed by Nick Paul
P3 16:27 Juraj Slafkovský shot blocked by Anthony Cirelli
P3 16:21 Shot missed by Mike Matheson
P3 16:12 Shot missed by Oliver Kapanen
P3 14:35 Shot on goal by Noah Dobson saved by Jonas Johansson
P3 13:31 Shot missed by Phillip Danault
P3 13:20 Shot on goal by Lane Hutson saved by Jonas Johansson
Play by Play
  1. SO
    Shootout attempt by Cole Caufield saved by Jonas Johansson
  2. SO
    End of Shootout period.
  3. SO
    Shootout Goal scored by Brayden Point on Jacob Fowler
  4. SO
    Shootout attempt missed by Ivan Demidov
  5. SO
    Shootout Goal scored by Gage Goncalves on Jacob Fowler
  6. OT1 05:00
    End of 1st OT.
  7. OT1 04:04
    SHOT
    Shot missed by Anthony Cirelli
  8. OT1 03:45
    SHOT
    Shot missed by Cole Caufield
  9. OT1 03:38
    SHOT
    Shot missed by Cole Caufield
  10. OT1 03:03
    Nick Suzuki won faceoff against Brayden Point in offensive zone
  11. OT1 03:03
    Stoppage - Icing
  12. OT1 02:55
    SHOT
    Shot on goal by Cole Caufield saved by Jonas Johansson
  13. OT1 02:00
    SHOT
    Shot on goal by Nikita Kucherov saved by Jacob Fowler
  14. OT1 01:12
    SHOT
    Shot on goal by Juraj Slafkovský saved by Jonas Johansson
  15. OT1 00:00
    Phillip Danault won faceoff against Nick Paul in neutral zone
  16. P3 20:00
    End of 3rd Period.
  17. P3 19:56
    Yanni Gourde won faceoff against Josh Anderson in neutral zone
  18. P3 19:54
    SHOT
    Shot missed by Juraj Slafkovský
  19. P3 19:52
    SHOT
    Lane Hutson shot blocked by Anthony Cirelli
  20. P3 19:49
    Phillip Danault won faceoff against Anthony Cirelli in offensive zone
  21. P3 19:49
    Stoppage - Icing
  22. P3 19:25
    SHOT
    Noah Dobson shot blocked by Brandon Hagel
  23. P3 19:11
    SHOT
    Shot missed by Nikita Kucherov
  24. P3 19:04
    SHOT
    Shot missed by Nikita Kucherov
  25. P3 18:44
    Nick Suzuki won faceoff against Anthony Cirelli in offensive zone
  26. P3 18:44
    Stoppage - Goalie Stopped (after SOG)
  27. P3 18:43
    SHOT
    Shot on goal by Ivan Demidov saved by Jonas Johansson
  28. P3 18:39
    Nick Suzuki won faceoff against Yanni Gourde in offensive zone
  29. P3 18:39
    Stoppage
  30. P3 18:05
    SHOT
    Shot missed by Pontus Holmberg
  31. P3 17:42
    Josh Anderson credited with hit on J.J. Moser in offensive zone
  32. P3 17:30
    Brendan Gallagher credited with hit on J.J. Moser in offensive zone
  33. P3 17:19
    SHOT
    Shot missed by Nick Paul
  34. P3 16:27
    SHOT
    Juraj Slafkovský shot blocked by Anthony Cirelli
  35. P3 16:21
    SHOT
    Shot missed by Mike Matheson
  36. P3 16:14
    Anthony Cirelli won faceoff against Oliver Kapanen in defensive zone
  37. P3 16:14
    Stoppage - Goalie Stopped (after SOG)
  38. P3 16:12
    SHOT
    Shot missed by Oliver Kapanen
  39. P3 15:34
    Giveaway by Cole Caufield in offensive zone
  40. P3 15:27
    Giveaway by Cole Caufield in offensive zone
  41. P3 14:59
    Cole Caufield won faceoff against Yanni Gourde in offensive zone
  42. P3 14:59
    Stoppage - Goalie Stopped (after SOG) - TV timeout
  43. P3 14:44
    Giveaway by Maxim Groshev in defensive zone
  44. P3 14:35
    SHOT
    Shot on goal by Noah Dobson saved by Jonas Johansson
  45. P3 13:35
    Giveaway by Jake Guentzel in defensive zone
  46. P3 13:31
    SHOT
    Shot missed by Phillip Danault
  47. P3 13:24
    Declan Carlile credited with hit on Ivan Demidov in defensive zone
  48. P3 13:20
    SHOT
    Shot on goal by Lane Hutson saved by Jonas Johansson
  49. P3 12:17
    Brayden Point won faceoff against Oliver Kapanen in neutral zone
  50. P3 12:16
    SHOT
    Noah Dobson shot blocked by teammate
  51. P3 11:34
    SHOT
    Shot on goal by Lane Hutson saved by Jonas Johansson
  52. P3 10:58
    SHOT
    Mike Matheson shot blocked by Gage Goncalves
  53. P3 10:36
    Phillip Danault won faceoff against Nick Paul in defensive zone
  54. P3 10:32
    SHOT
    Shot on goal by Nikita Kucherov saved by Jacob Fowler
  55. P3 10:10
    SHOT
    Shot missed by Lane Hutson
  56. P3 10:00
    SHOT
    Lane Hutson shot blocked by Max Crozier
  57. P3 09:50
    SHOT
    Phillip Danault shot blocked by Declan Carlile
  58. P3 09:34
    SHOT
    Lane Hutson shot blocked by Declan Carlile
  59. P3 09:20
    SHOT
    Shot missed by Zachary Bolduc
  60. P3 09:16
    Phillip Danault won faceoff against Nick Paul in neutral zone
  61. P3 09:15
    SHOT
    Shot missed by Juraj Slafkovský
  62. P3 08:56
    SHOT
    Shot on goal by Oliver Kapanen saved by Jonas Johansson
  63. P3 08:49
    Brayden Point won faceoff against Oliver Kapanen in offensive zone
  64. P3 08:49
    Stoppage - Goalie Stopped (after SOG)
  65. P3 08:48
    SHOT
    Shot on goal by Yanni Gourde saved by Jacob Fowler
  66. P3 08:26
    Nick Suzuki won faceoff against Zemgus Girgensons in defensive zone
  67. P3 08:26
    Stoppage - Goalie Stopped (after SOG)
  68. P3 08:24
    SHOT
    Brandon Hagel shot blocked by Cole Caufield
  69. P3 08:09
    SHOT
    Cole Caufield shot blocked by J.J. Moser
  70. P3 07:28
    SHOT
    Charle-Edouard D'Astous shot blocked by Samuel Blais
  71. P3 07:20
    Takeaway by Noah Dobson in defensive zone
  72. P3 07:11
    SHOT
    Shot on goal by Charle-Edouard D'Astous saved by Jacob Fowler
  73. P3 07:06
    SHOT
    Shot on goal by Maxim Groshev saved by Jacob Fowler
  74. P3 06:43
    Joseph Veleno won faceoff against Nick Paul in defensive zone
  75. P3 06:43
    Stoppage - Goalie Stopped (after SOG) - TV timeout
  76. P3 06:42
    SHOT
    Shot on goal by Charle-Edouard D'Astous saved by Jacob Fowler
  77. P3 06:02
    SHOT
    Shot missed by Alexandre Carrier
  78. P3 05:47
    Jake Guentzel won faceoff against Phillip Danault in offensive zone
  79. P3 05:47
    Stoppage - Goalie Stopped (after SOG)
  80. P3 05:41
    SHOT
    Declan Carlile shot blocked by Oliver Kapanen
  81. P3 04:11
    SHOT
    Yanni Gourde shot blocked by Lane Hutson
  82. P3 04:03
    Yanni Gourde won faceoff against Nick Suzuki in defensive zone
  83. P3 04:03
    Stoppage - Goalie Stopped (after SOG)
  84. P3 04:01
    SHOT
    Shot on goal by Oliver Kapanen saved by Jonas Johansson
  85. P3 03:32
    Oliver Kapanen won faceoff against Brayden Point in offensive zone
  86. P3 03:32
    Stoppage - Puck in Netting
  87. P3 03:30
    SHOT
    Brendan Gallagher shot blocked by Maxim Groshev
  88. P3 03:11
    SHOT
    Shot missed by Arber Xhekaj
  89. P3 03:09
    Joseph Veleno won faceoff against Anthony Cirelli in offensive zone
  90. P3 03:09
    Stoppage - Puck in Benches
  91. P3 02:38
    SHOT
    Noah Dobson shot blocked by Max Crozier
  92. P3 01:56
    Brayden Point won faceoff against Josh Anderson in neutral zone
  93. P3 01:56
    Stoppage - Offside
  94. P3 01:40
    Phillip Danault won faceoff against Brayden Point in neutral zone
  95. P3 01:39
    SHOT
    Oliver Bjorkstrand shot blocked by Alexandre Carrier
  96. P3 01:29
    Nick Paul won faceoff against Nick Suzuki in defensive zone
  97. P3 01:29
    Stoppage - Icing
  98. P3 01:06
    Nick Paul won faceoff against Phillip Danault in neutral zone
  99. P3 01:04
    SHOT
    Shot missed by Ivan Demidov
  100. P3 00:46
    SHOT
    Shot missed by Juraj Slafkovský
  101. P3 00:41
    SHOT
    Shot on goal by Oliver Kapanen saved by Jonas Johansson
  102. P3 00:38
    SHOT
    Shot missed by Noah Dobson
  103. P3 00:33
    Oliver Kapanen won faceoff against Anthony Cirelli in offensive zone
  104. P3 00:33
    Stoppage - Goalie Stopped (after SOG)
  105. P3 00:00
    Nick Suzuki won faceoff against Yanni Gourde in neutral zone
  106. P2 20:00
    End of 2nd Period.
  107. P2 19:12
    SHOT
    Noah Dobson shot blocked by teammate
  108. P2 18:52
    Nick Paul won faceoff against Oliver Kapanen in defensive zone
  109. P2 18:52
    Stoppage - Icing
  110. P2 18:21
    SHOT
    Shot missed by Brayden Point
  111. P2 18:09
    SHOT
    Shot on goal by Samuel Blais saved by Jonas Johansson
  112. P2 17:42
    Joseph Veleno credited with hit on Darren Raddysh in offensive zone
  113. P2 17:15
    SHOT
    Shot on goal by Zemgus Girgensons saved by Jacob Fowler
  114. P2 17:06
    Zachary Bolduc credited with hit on Darren Raddysh in offensive zone
  115. P2 16:49
    Zachary Bolduc credited with hit on J.J. Moser in offensive zone
  116. P2 16:38
    SHOT
    J.J. Moser shot blocked by Zachary Bolduc
  117. P2 16:25
    Yanni Gourde won faceoff against Nick Suzuki in defensive zone
  118. P2 16:25
    Stoppage - Goalie Stopped (after SOG)
  119. P2 16:09
    SHOT
    Max Crozier shot blocked by Lane Hutson
  120. P2 15:45
    Max Crozier credited with hit on Oliver Kapanen in defensive zone
  121. P2 15:28
    Oliver Kapanen won faceoff against Anthony Cirelli in offensive zone
  122. P2 15:28
    Stoppage
  123. P2 14:49
    Phillip Danault won faceoff against Nick Paul in neutral zone
  124. P2 14:49
    GOAL
    Goal scored by Nick Paul assisted by Oliver Bjorkstrand and Maxim Groshev
    0-3
  125. P2 14:48
    SHOT
    Shot on goal by Oliver Bjorkstrand saved by Jacob Fowler
  126. P2 14:26
    SHOT
    Shot on goal by Brandon Hagel saved by Jacob Fowler
  127. P2 14:18
    SHOT
    Power play - Noah Dobson shot blocked by Declan Carlile
  128. P2 14:10
    SHOT
    Power play - Shot on goal by Noah Dobson saved by Jonas Johansson
  129. P2 13:58
    SHOT
    Power play - Brendan Gallagher shot blocked by Max Crozier
  130. P2 13:49
    SHOT
    Power play - Shot missed by Oliver Kapanen
  131. P2 12:19
    Power play - Nick Suzuki won faceoff against Anthony Cirelli in offensive zone
  132. P2 12:11
    Phillip Danault won faceoff against Brayden Point in neutral zone
  133. P2 12:09
    SHOT
    Shot missed by Nikita Kucherov
  134. P2 12:07
    SHOT
    Shot on goal by Gage Goncalves saved by Jacob Fowler
  135. P2 11:30
    SHOT
    Shot missed by Juraj Slafkovský
  136. P2 11:30
    Giveaway by Max Crozier in defensive zone
  137. P2 11:11
    Jayden Struble credited with hit on Anthony Cirelli in defensive zone
  138. P2 11:08
    Arber Xhekaj credited with hit on Declan Carlile in defensive zone
  139. P2 10:58
    Oliver Kapanen won faceoff against Jake Guentzel in offensive zone
  140. P2 10:58
    Stoppage - Puck in Netting - TV timeout
  141. P2 10:56
    SHOT
    Shot missed by Ivan Demidov
  142. P2 10:33
    Nick Suzuki credited with hit on Maxim Groshev in defensive zone
  143. P2 10:03
    Anthony Cirelli won faceoff against Nick Suzuki in defensive zone
  144. P2 10:03
    Stoppage - Icing
  145. P2 09:56
    SHOT
    Mike Matheson shot blocked by teammate
  146. P2 09:28
    Phillip Danault won faceoff against Nick Paul in offensive zone
  147. P2 09:28
    Stoppage - Icing
  148. P2 09:20
    SHOT
    Shot on goal by Alexandre Texier saved by Jonas Johansson
  149. P2 08:45
    SHOT
    Shot on goal by Brendan Gallagher saved by Jonas Johansson
  150. P2 08:38
    Joseph Veleno won faceoff against Nick Paul in offensive zone
  151. P2 08:38
    Stoppage - Goalie Stopped (after SOG) - TV timeout
  152. P2 08:32
    SHOT
    Oliver Kapanen shot blocked by teammate
  153. P2 08:30
    SHOT
    Shot missed by Ivan Demidov
  154. P2 07:47
    Takeaway by Zachary Bolduc in defensive zone
  155. P2 07:32
    SHOT
    Shot missed by Brandon Hagel
  156. P2 07:27
    SHOT
    Shot on goal by Anthony Cirelli saved by Jacob Fowler
  157. P2 07:21
    SHOT
    Shot on goal by Max Crozier saved by Jacob Fowler
  158. P2 07:11
    Giveaway by Arber Xhekaj in defensive zone
  159. P2 06:32
    Pontus Holmberg credited with hit on Mike Matheson in offensive zone
  160. P2 06:28
    SHOT
    Shot missed by J.J. Moser
  161. P2 06:10
    J.J. Moser credited with hit on Noah Dobson in defensive zone
  162. P2 05:53
    Power play - Yanni Gourde won faceoff against Joseph Veleno in offensive zone
  163. P2 05:53
    Stoppage - Goalie Stopped (after SOG)
  164. P2 05:50
    SHOT
    Power play - Shot on goal by Gage Goncalves saved by Jacob Fowler
  165. P2 05:22
    Power play - Giveaway by Brandon Hagel in neutral zone
  166. P2 05:01
    SHOT
    Power play - Nikita Kucherov shot blocked by teammate
  167. P2 04:57
    SHOT
    Power play - Nikita Kucherov shot blocked by Oliver Kapanen
  168. P2 04:18
    SHOT
    Power play - Jake Guentzel shot blocked by Alexandre Carrier
  169. P2 03:54
    Shorthanded - Phillip Danault won faceoff against Jake Guentzel in defensive zone
  170. P2 03:54
    Penalty to Alexandre Texier 2 minutes for Hooking (Drawn by Declan Carlile)
  171. P2 03:39
    Giveaway by Jayden Struble in defensive zone
  172. P2 03:21
    Phillip Danault won faceoff against Nick Paul in neutral zone
  173. P2 03:21
    Stoppage - Offside
  174. P2 03:15
    SHOT
    Charle-Edouard D'Astous shot blocked by Lane Hutson
  175. P2 03:10
    SHOT
    Shot missed by Anthony Cirelli
  176. P2 03:04
    SHOT
    Brandon Hagel shot blocked by Alexandre Carrier
  177. P2 02:28
    Anthony Cirelli won faceoff against Joseph Veleno in neutral zone
  178. P2 02:28
    GOAL
    Goal scored by Nikita Kucherov
    0-1
  179. P2 02:02
    SHOT
    Shot missed by Ivan Demidov
  180. P2 02:00
    SHOT
    Shot on goal by Mike Matheson saved by Jonas Johansson
  181. P2 01:46
    SHOT
    Shot on goal by Gage Goncalves saved by Jacob Fowler
  182. P2 01:17
    Giveaway by J.J. Moser in offensive zone
  183. P2 01:11
    SHOT
    Shot missed by Yanni Gourde
  184. P2 01:05
    SHOT
    J.J. Moser shot blocked by Alexandre Carrier
  185. P2 00:46
    SHOT
    Shot missed by Yanni Gourde
  186. P2 00:35
    Nick Suzuki won faceoff against Lightning in offensive zone
  187. P2 00:34
    Nick Paul won faceoff against Nick Suzuki in defensive zone
  188. P2 00:34
    Nick Suzuki won faceoff against Nick Paul in offensive zone
  189. P2 00:34
    Stoppage - Icing
  190. P2 00:00
    Shorthanded - Nick Paul won faceoff against Phillip Danault in neutral zone
  191. P1 20:00
    End of 1st Period.
  192. P1 19:49
    Shorthanded - Brandon Hagel won faceoff against Phillip Danault in offensive zone
  193. P1 19:49
    Stoppage - Puck in Netting
  194. P1 19:39
    SHOT
    Shorthanded - Jake Guentzel shot blocked by Noah Dobson
  195. P1 19:30
    Shorthanded - Jake Guentzel won faceoff against Oliver Kapanen in offensive zone
  196. P1 19:30
    Stoppage - Puck in Netting
  197. P1 19:27
    SHOT
    Shorthanded - Shot missed by Yanni Gourde
  198. P1 19:18
    SHOT
    Power play - Brendan Gallagher shot blocked by teammate
  199. P1 18:46
    SHOT
    Shorthanded - Shot on goal by Anthony Cirelli saved by Jacob Fowler
  200. P1 18:12
    Power play - Giveaway by Nick Suzuki in offensive zone
  201. P1 18:07
    Power play - Nick Suzuki won faceoff against Anthony Cirelli in offensive zone
  202. P1 18:07
    Penalty to Charle-Edouard D'Astous 2 minutes for Holding (Drawn by Phillip Danault)
  203. P1 17:48
    SHOT
    Alexandre Texier shot blocked by Declan Carlile
  204. P1 17:12
    SHOT
    Shot on goal by Joseph Veleno saved by Jonas Johansson
  205. P1 17:08
    Joseph Veleno credited with hit on Maxim Groshev in offensive zone
  206. P1 16:51
    Gage Goncalves won faceoff against Joseph Veleno in defensive zone
  207. P1 16:51
    Stoppage - Goalie Stopped (after SOG)
  208. P1 16:49
    SHOT
    Shot on goal by Lane Hutson saved by Jonas Johansson
  209. P1 16:46
    Joseph Veleno won faceoff against Brayden Point in offensive zone
  210. P1 16:46
    Penalty to Scott Sabourin 5 minutes for Fighting (Drawn by Arber Xhekaj)
  211. P1 16:17
    SHOT
    Nick Suzuki shot blocked by Zemgus Girgensons
  212. P1 15:11
    Giveaway by Phillip Danault in offensive zone
  213. P1 15:08
    Charle-Edouard D'Astous credited with hit on Samuel Blais in defensive zone
  214. P1 15:02
    SHOT
    Shot on goal by Josh Anderson saved by Jonas Johansson
  215. P1 14:26
    Zachary Bolduc credited with hit on Maxim Groshev in offensive zone
  216. P1 14:22
    SHOT
    Shot on goal by Zachary Bolduc saved by Jonas Johansson
  217. P1 14:13
    Power play - Takeaway by Noah Dobson in defensive zone
  218. P1 12:33
    Shorthanded - Anthony Cirelli won faceoff against Nick Suzuki in defensive zone
  219. P1 12:33
    Stoppage - Goalie Stopped (after SOG)
  220. P1 12:31
    SHOT
    Power play - Shot on goal by Juraj Slafkovský saved by Jonas Johansson
  221. P1 12:28
    SHOT
    Power play - Shot on goal by Cole Caufield saved by Jonas Johansson
  222. P1 12:15
    Power play - Nick Suzuki won faceoff against Anthony Cirelli in offensive zone
  223. P1 12:15
    Penalty to Nick Paul 2 minutes for Delay of Game
  224. P1 11:26
    SHOT
    Shot missed by Arber Xhekaj
  225. P1 11:09
    SHOT
    Joseph Veleno shot blocked by Max Crozier
  226. P1 10:06
    Takeaway by Cole Caufield in offensive zone
  227. P1 08:58
    Oliver Kapanen won faceoff against Brayden Point in offensive zone
  228. P1 08:58
    Stoppage - Goalie Stopped (after SOG)
  229. P1 08:55
    SHOT
    Mike Matheson shot blocked by Max Crozier
  230. P1 07:50
    SHOT
    Shot on goal by Phillip Danault saved by Jonas Johansson
  231. P1 07:42
    Phillip Danault won faceoff against Scott Sabourin in defensive zone
  232. P1 07:42
    Stoppage - Goalie Stopped (after SOG)
  233. P1 07:40
    SHOT
    Shot on goal by Zemgus Girgensons saved by Jacob Fowler
  234. P1 07:39
    SHOT
    Shot on goal by Pontus Holmberg saved by Jacob Fowler
  235. P1 07:29
    SHOT
    Shot missed by Yanni Gourde
  236. P1 07:08
    Giveaway by Jayden Struble in defensive zone
  237. P1 06:56
    SHOT
    Shot missed by Canadiens
  238. P1 06:18
    SHOT
    Brayden Point shot blocked by Noah Dobson
  239. P1 06:02
    Jake Guentzel won faceoff against Oliver Kapanen in defensive zone
  240. P1 06:02
    Stoppage - Puck Frozen - TV timeout
  241. P1 05:58
    SHOT
    Shot missed by Alexandre Carrier
  242. P1 05:56
    Phillip Danault won faceoff against Anthony Cirelli in offensive zone
  243. P1 05:56
    Stoppage - Icing
  244. P1 05:48
    SHOT
    Power play - Mike Matheson shot blocked by teammate
  245. P1 04:54
    Power play - Takeaway by Noah Dobson in offensive zone
  246. P1 04:51
    Power play - Zachary Bolduc credited with hit on Zemgus Girgensons in offensive zone
  247. P1 04:45
    Shorthanded - Yanni Gourde won faceoff against Oliver Kapanen in defensive zone
  248. P1 04:45
    Stoppage - Puck in Benches
  249. P1 04:32
    Power play - Nick Suzuki won faceoff against Yanni Gourde in offensive zone
  250. P1 04:32
    Stoppage - Goalie Stopped (after SOG)
  251. P1 04:24
    SHOT
    Power play - Ivan Demidov shot blocked by teammate
  252. P1 04:11
    SHOT
    Power play - Shot missed by Ivan Demidov
  253. P1 03:50
    Power play - Nick Suzuki won faceoff against Anthony Cirelli in offensive zone
  254. P1 03:50
    Penalty to Max Crozier 2 minutes for Misconduct (Drawn by Josh Anderson)
  255. P1 03:47
    SHOT
    Shot on goal by Josh Anderson saved by Jonas Johansson
  256. P1 03:26
    Brayden Point won faceoff against Phillip Danault in neutral zone
  257. P1 03:26
    Stoppage - Offside
  258. P1 02:34
    Scott Sabourin credited with hit on Jayden Struble in offensive zone
  259. P1 02:17
    Giveaway by Charle-Edouard D'Astous in defensive zone
  260. P1 02:13
    Nick Paul won faceoff against Joseph Veleno in defensive zone
  261. P1 02:13
    Stoppage - Goalie Stopped (after SOG)
  262. P1 02:11
    SHOT
    Shot missed by Ivan Demidov
  263. P1 01:56
    SHOT
    Nikita Kucherov shot blocked by Noah Dobson
  264. P1 01:50
    Brayden Point won faceoff against Oliver Kapanen in offensive zone
  265. P1 01:50
    Stoppage - Icing
  266. P1 01:43
    Oliver Kapanen won faceoff against Nick Paul in offensive zone
  267. P1 01:43
    Stoppage - Goalie Stopped (after SOG)
  268. P1 01:41
    SHOT
    Shot on goal by Juraj Slafkovský saved by Jonas Johansson
  269. P1 01:17
    Nick Suzuki credited with hit on Darren Raddysh in offensive zone
  270. P1 00:40
    Takeaway by Anthony Cirelli in defensive zone
  271. P1 00:34
    SHOT
    Alexandre Texier shot blocked by teammate
  272. P1 00:20
    Phillip Danault credited with hit on Jake Guentzel in offensive zone
  273. P1 00:16
    SHOT
    Shot on goal by Noah Dobson saved by Jonas Johansson
  274. P1 00:12
    Josh Anderson credited with hit on Max Crozier in offensive zone
  275. P1 00:07
    Phillip Danault credited with hit on Jake Guentzel in offensive zone
  276. P1 00:00
    Anthony Cirelli won faceoff against Phillip Danault in neutral zone
  277. P1 00:00
    Game Setup.
Stats
Canadiens
STATS
Lightning
36Shots on Goal22
63% Faceoff Win % 37%
4/0 PP Opportunities/PP Goals 1/0
7Penalty Infraction Mins13
26Hits17
11 Shots Blocked 23
13Giveaways18
CanadiensMTL
LightningTB
36Shots on Goal22
63% Faceoff Win % 37%
4/0 PP Opportunities/PP Goals 1/0
7Penalty Infraction Mins13
26Hits17
11 Shots Blocked 23
13Giveaways18

Canadiens vs. Lightning: Detailed Breakdown

Matchup Overview

  • Teams: Canadiens vs. Lightning
  • Date: Sunday, December 28, 2025
  • Time: 5:00 PM ET
  • Venue: Benchmark International Arena

Current Betting Odds

  • Spread: Lightning favored at -1.5
  • Total (Over/Under): 6.5
  • Moneyline Odds: Canadiens +124, Lightning -134

Dimers' Win Probabilities

  • Canadiens: 42%
  • Lightning: 58%

Dimers' predictive model, renowned for its accuracy, assesses each team's chances by simulating the outcome of the game 10,000 times. This method provides a precise and unbiased view.

Our Prediction: Who Wins?

After extensive simulations, our model gives the Canadiens a win probability of 42%, while the Lightning have a win probability of 58%. Discover the best spread, over/under, and moneyline odds for the game on this page.

Summary

According to our analysis, the Lightning are more likely to beat the Canadiens in the NHL game at Benchmark International Arena on Sunday. Discover the best spread, over/under and moneyline odds, picks and probabilities for the game on this page.

Our Canadiens vs. Lightning predictions, based on sophisticated simulations and current data, guide you in making informed decisions. Remember to bet responsibly and within your financial limits.

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