Maple Leafs vs. Red Wings Prediction, Picks and Odds

Our detailed prediction and analysis for the Maple Leafs vs. Red Wings NHL game on December 28, 2025 is featured below. Drawing from 10,000 game simulations, we provide expert picks, betting odds, and insights.
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FINAL
NHL
FINAL
NHL sport icon
NHL
Maple Leafs
2
3
Little Caesars Arena
Red Wings
Little Caesars Arena
TEAM123OTT
Maple Leafs
0 1 1 0 2
Red Wings
0 1 1 1 3
Live Probabilities
Win %
  • Maple Leafs
    0%
  • Red Wings
    100%
Win Probability
TEAM123OTT
Maple Leafs
0 1 1 0 2
Red Wings
0 1 1 1 3
OT1 01:45 Shot missed by Simon Edvinsson
OT1 01:37 Shot on goal by Patrick Kane saved by Dennis Hildeby
OT1 01:27 Shot missed by Auston Matthews
OT1 00:59 Shot on goal by Matthew Knies saved by Cam Talbot
OT1 00:37 Shot on goal by Moritz Seider saved by Dennis Hildeby
P3 18:46 Shot missed by Dylan Larkin
P3 18:32 Shot missed by Alex DeBrincat
P3 18:31 Shot missed by Andrew Copp
P3 18:30 Shot missed by Andrew Copp
P3 18:12 Oliver Ekman-Larsson shot blocked by Alex DeBrincat
P3 17:05 Shot missed by Philippe Myers
P3 16:48 Mason Appleton shot blocked by Chris Tanev
P3 14:51 Power play - Shot missed by Marco Kasper
P3 14:50 Power play - Nate Danielson shot blocked by Chris Tanev
P3 14:41 Power play - Shot on goal by Dylan Larkin saved by Dennis Hildeby
P3 13:06 Shorthanded - Shot missed by Jake McCabe
P3 13:00 Shorthanded - Jake McCabe shot blocked by Mason Appleton
P3 12:24 Shorthanded - Shot missed by Easton Cowan
P3 12:15 Power play - Shot on goal by Andrew Copp saved by Dennis Hildeby
P3 12:14 Power play - John Leonard shot blocked by teammate
Play by Play
  1. OT1 05:00
    End of 1st OT.
  2. OT1 01:45
    SHOT
    Shot missed by Simon Edvinsson
  3. OT1 01:37
    SHOT
    Shot on goal by Patrick Kane saved by Dennis Hildeby
  4. OT1 01:27
    SHOT
    Shot missed by Auston Matthews
  5. OT1 01:02
    Auston Matthews won faceoff against Dylan Larkin in offensive zone
  6. OT1 01:02
    Stoppage - Goalie Stopped (after SOG)
  7. OT1 00:59
    SHOT
    Shot on goal by Matthew Knies saved by Cam Talbot
  8. OT1 00:37
    SHOT
    Shot on goal by Moritz Seider saved by Dennis Hildeby
  9. OT1 00:00
    Dylan Larkin won faceoff against Auston Matthews in neutral zone
  10. P3 20:00
    End of 3rd Period.
  11. P3 18:46
    SHOT
    Shot missed by Dylan Larkin
  12. P3 18:40
    Dylan Larkin won faceoff against Scott Laughton in offensive zone
  13. P3 18:40
    Stoppage - Icing
  14. P3 18:32
    SHOT
    Shot missed by Alex DeBrincat
  15. P3 18:31
    SHOT
    Shot missed by Andrew Copp
  16. P3 18:30
    SHOT
    Shot missed by Andrew Copp
  17. P3 18:12
    SHOT
    Oliver Ekman-Larsson shot blocked by Alex DeBrincat
  18. P3 17:27
    Dakota Joshua credited with hit on Moritz Seider in offensive zone
  19. P3 17:05
    SHOT
    Shot missed by Philippe Myers
  20. P3 16:48
    SHOT
    Mason Appleton shot blocked by Chris Tanev
  21. P3 16:06
    Power play - Giveaway by Andrew Copp in defensive zone
  22. P3 15:55
    Power play - Giveaway by Andrew Copp in neutral zone
  23. P3 14:51
    SHOT
    Power play - Shot missed by Marco Kasper
  24. P3 14:50
    SHOT
    Power play - Nate Danielson shot blocked by Chris Tanev
  25. P3 14:43
    Power play - Marco Kasper won faceoff against Nicolas Roy in offensive zone
  26. P3 14:43
    Stoppage - Goalie Stopped (after SOG) - TV timeout
  27. P3 14:41
    SHOT
    Power play - Shot on goal by Dylan Larkin saved by Dennis Hildeby
  28. P3 13:21
    Shorthanded - Scott Laughton won faceoff against Andrew Copp in defensive zone
  29. P3 13:06
    SHOT
    Shorthanded - Shot missed by Jake McCabe
  30. P3 13:00
    SHOT
    Shorthanded - Jake McCabe shot blocked by Mason Appleton
  31. P3 12:24
    SHOT
    Shorthanded - Shot missed by Easton Cowan
  32. P3 12:15
    SHOT
    Power play - Shot on goal by Andrew Copp saved by Dennis Hildeby
  33. P3 12:14
    SHOT
    Power play - John Leonard shot blocked by teammate
  34. P3 12:10
    SHOT
    Power play - Shot missed by Nate Danielson
  35. P3 11:15
    Shorthanded - Giveaway by Chris Tanev in defensive zone
  36. P3 11:13
    Shorthanded - Nicolas Roy won faceoff against Dylan Larkin in defensive zone
  37. P3 11:13
    Stoppage - Puck in Netting
  38. P3 11:11
    SHOT
    Power play - Shot on goal by Lucas Raymond saved by Dennis Hildeby
  39. P3 10:56
    Power play - Alex DeBrincat won faceoff against Nicolas Roy in offensive zone
  40. P3 10:56
    Stoppage - Puck in Netting
  41. P3 10:54
    SHOT
    Power play - Shot on goal by Alex DeBrincat saved by Dennis Hildeby
  42. P3 10:40
    SHOT
    Power play - Shot missed by Axel Sandin-Pellikka
  43. P3 10:14
    Shorthanded - Scott Laughton won faceoff against Dylan Larkin in defensive zone
  44. P3 10:14
    Penalty to Simon Edvinsson 2 minutes for Misconduct
  45. P3 10:14
    Penalty to Moritz Seider 2 minutes for Roughing
  46. P3 10:14
    Penalty to Bobby McMann 2 minutes for Holding Stick
  47. P3 10:14
    Penalty to Bobby McMann 2 minutes for Roughing
  48. P3 10:14
    Stoppage - Goalie Stopped (after SOG)
  49. P3 10:12
    SHOT
    Shot on goal by Oliver Ekman-Larsson saved by Cam Talbot
  50. P3 09:45
    SHOT
    Shot missed by Dylan Larkin
  51. P3 09:42
    Dylan Larkin won faceoff against Auston Matthews in offensive zone
  52. P3 09:42
    Stoppage - Icing
  53. P3 08:17
    Nicolas Roy won faceoff against J.T. Compher in neutral zone
  54. P3 08:17
    Stoppage - Hand Pass - TV timeout
  55. P3 07:54
    SHOT
    Shot missed by Alex DeBrincat
  56. P3 07:35
    SHOT
    Shot on goal by John Tavares saved by Cam Talbot
  57. P3 07:34
    SHOT
    Shot missed by Troy Stecher
  58. P3 06:08
    SHOT
    Simon Edvinsson shot blocked by Chris Tanev
  59. P3 05:45
    SHOT
    Shot on goal by Marco Kasper saved by Dennis Hildeby
  60. P3 05:28
    SHOT
    Shot on goal by Steven Lorentz saved by Cam Talbot
  61. P3 05:16
    Scott Laughton won faceoff against Nate Danielson in neutral zone
  62. P3 05:14
    SHOT
    Shot on goal by Mason Appleton saved by Dennis Hildeby
  63. P3 05:06
    SHOT
    Shot on goal by Dakota Joshua saved by Cam Talbot
  64. P3 04:53
    J.T. Compher won faceoff against Nicolas Roy in neutral zone
  65. P3 04:51
    SHOT
    Shot on goal by Nicholas Robertson saved by Cam Talbot
  66. P3 04:24
    SHOT
    Shot on goal by Patrick Kane saved by Dennis Hildeby
  67. P3 04:17
    SHOT
    Shot on goal by Ben Chiarot saved by Dennis Hildeby
  68. P3 04:15
    SHOT
    Shot on goal by Patrick Kane saved by Dennis Hildeby
  69. P3 03:33
    SHOT
    Shot missed by Bobby McMann
  70. P3 03:23
    SHOT
    Shot on goal by Bobby McMann saved by Cam Talbot
  71. P3 03:02
    Dylan Larkin won faceoff against Auston Matthews in defensive zone
  72. P3 03:02
    Stoppage - Goalie Stopped (after SOG)
  73. P3 03:00
    SHOT
    Shot missed by Bobby McMann
  74. P3 02:55
    Dylan Larkin won faceoff against Auston Matthews in offensive zone
  75. P3 02:55
    Stoppage - Goalie Stopped (after SOG)
  76. P3 02:53
    SHOT
    Shot on goal by Simon Edvinsson saved by Dennis Hildeby
  77. P3 02:16
    SHOT
    Marco Kasper shot blocked by Chris Tanev
  78. P3 02:13
    SHOT
    Nate Danielson shot blocked by teammate
  79. P3 02:02
    SHOT
    Albert Johansson shot blocked by Scott Laughton
  80. P3 01:45
    SHOT
    Shot on goal by Nicolas Roy saved by Cam Talbot
  81. P3 01:39
    SHOT
    Shot on goal by Dakota Joshua saved by Cam Talbot
  82. P3 01:15
    J.T. Compher won faceoff against Scott Laughton in offensive zone
  83. P3 01:15
    Stoppage - Goalie Stopped (after SOG)
  84. P3 01:13
    SHOT
    Shot on goal by Andrew Copp saved by Dennis Hildeby
  85. P3 01:12
    SHOT
    Andrew Copp shot blocked by Troy Stecher
  86. P3 00:22
    Giveaway by Jake McCabe in defensive zone
  87. P3 00:15
    Giveaway by Chris Tanev in neutral zone
  88. P3 00:00
    Auston Matthews won faceoff against Dylan Larkin in neutral zone
  89. P2 20:00
    End of 2nd Period.
  90. P2 19:56
    SHOT
    Shot on goal by Nicholas Robertson saved by Cam Talbot
  91. P2 19:38
    SHOT
    Oliver Ekman-Larsson shot blocked by teammate
  92. P2 19:35
    SHOT
    Oliver Ekman-Larsson shot blocked by teammate
  93. P2 19:11
    Nicolas Roy won faceoff against J.T. Compher in defensive zone
  94. P2 19:11
    Stoppage - Icing
  95. P2 19:01
    J.T. Compher won faceoff against Nicolas Roy in neutral zone
  96. P2 19:00
    GOAL
    Goal scored by Moritz Seider assisted by Lucas Raymond
    1-1
  97. P2 18:50
    SHOT
    Lucas Raymond shot blocked by teammate
  98. P2 18:42
    SHOT
    Dylan Larkin shot blocked by Auston Matthews
  99. P2 18:19
    SHOT
    Shot missed by Moritz Seider
  100. P2 17:59
    SHOT
    Shot on goal by Alex DeBrincat saved by Dennis Hildeby
  101. P2 17:26
    SHOT
    Shot on goal by Matias Maccelli saved by Cam Talbot
  102. P2 17:14
    Andrew Copp won faceoff against John Tavares in offensive zone
  103. P2 17:14
    Stoppage - Goalie Stopped (after SOG)
  104. P2 17:12
    SHOT
    Shot on goal by Ben Chiarot saved by Dennis Hildeby
  105. P2 16:32
    SHOT
    Shot on goal by Mason Appleton saved by Dennis Hildeby
  106. P2 16:16
    Nicolas Roy won faceoff against J.T. Compher in defensive zone
  107. P2 16:16
    Stoppage - Goalie Stopped (after SOG)
  108. P2 16:14
    SHOT
    Shot on goal by Simon Edvinsson saved by Dennis Hildeby
  109. P2 15:50
    SHOT
    Shot missed by Lucas Raymond
  110. P2 15:32
    Dylan Larkin won faceoff against Auston Matthews in offensive zone
  111. P2 15:32
    Stoppage - Puck in Netting
  112. P2 15:04
    Marco Kasper won faceoff against Nicolas Roy in neutral zone
  113. P2 15:04
    Stoppage - Puck in Netting
  114. P2 14:54
    Scott Laughton won faceoff against Nate Danielson in defensive zone
  115. P2 14:54
    Stoppage - Goalie Stopped (after SOG)
  116. P2 14:51
    SHOT
    Shot missed by Jacob Bernard-Docker
  117. P2 14:43
    SHOT
    Shot on goal by Albert Johansson saved by Dennis Hildeby
  118. P2 14:36
    SHOT
    Shot on goal by Andrew Copp saved by Dennis Hildeby
  119. P2 14:26
    SHOT
    Shot on goal by Albert Johansson saved by Dennis Hildeby
  120. P2 14:12
    Andrew Copp won faceoff against John Tavares in neutral zone
  121. P2 14:12
    Stoppage - Objects on Ice
  122. P2 13:40
    SHOT
    Shot on goal by Auston Matthews saved by Cam Talbot
  123. P2 13:28
    Giveaway by Bobby McMann in offensive zone
  124. P2 13:25
    SHOT
    Shot missed by Bobby McMann
  125. P2 12:58
    Bobby McMann credited with hit on Simon Edvinsson in offensive zone
  126. P2 12:37
    Nicolas Roy won faceoff against Dylan Larkin in neutral zone
  127. P2 12:37
    Stoppage - Puck in Benches
  128. P2 12:13
    Scott Laughton won faceoff against Andrew Copp in neutral zone
  129. P2 12:13
    Stoppage - Offside
  130. P2 11:34
    SHOT
    Bobby McMann shot blocked by Albert Johansson
  131. P2 11:26
    SHOT
    Power play - Bobby McMann shot blocked by Albert Johansson
  132. P2 11:11
    Power play - Max Domi won faceoff against Dylan Larkin in offensive zone
  133. P2 11:11
    Stoppage - Puck in Crowd
  134. P2 11:10
    SHOT
    Power play - Matias Maccelli shot blocked by Jacob Bernard-Docker
  135. P2 10:27
    Shorthanded - Andrew Copp won faceoff against John Tavares in neutral zone
  136. P2 10:27
    Stoppage - Referee or Linesperson - Player Injury
  137. P2 10:19
    SHOT
    Power play - Shot on goal by John Tavares saved by Cam Talbot
  138. P2 10:12
    SHOT
    Power play - Auston Matthews shot blocked by Simon Edvinsson
  139. P2 10:05
    SHOT
    Power play - Auston Matthews shot blocked by Simon Edvinsson
  140. P2 09:49
    SHOT
    Power play - Shot on goal by Auston Matthews saved by Cam Talbot
  141. P2 09:31
    Power play - John Tavares won faceoff against Dylan Larkin in offensive zone
  142. P2 09:31
    Penalty to J.T. Compher 2 minutes for Misconduct
  143. P2 09:31
    Maple Leafs won faceoff against Red Wings in neutral zone
  144. P2 09:07
    SHOT
    Nicolas Roy shot blocked by Ben Chiarot
  145. P2 08:59
    Nicolas Roy won faceoff against J.T. Compher in defensive zone
  146. P2 08:59
    Stoppage - Goalie Stopped (after SOG)
  147. P2 08:56
    SHOT
    Shot on goal by Ben Chiarot saved by Dennis Hildeby
  148. P2 07:57
    Andrew Copp won faceoff against Auston Matthews in defensive zone
  149. P2 07:57
    Stoppage - Puck in Netting
  150. P2 07:55
    SHOT
    Bobby McMann shot blocked by Moritz Seider
  151. P2 07:38
    Emmitt Finnie won faceoff against Auston Matthews in offensive zone
  152. P2 07:35
    SHOT
    Shot on goal by Nate Danielson saved by Dennis Hildeby
  153. P2 07:01
    SHOT
    Shot missed by Matthew Knies
  154. P2 06:28
    SHOT
    Emmitt Finnie shot blocked by Morgan Rielly
  155. P2 05:39
    Moritz Seider credited with hit on Bobby McMann in defensive zone
  156. P2 05:24
    SHOT
    Shot on goal by Moritz Seider saved by Dennis Hildeby
  157. P2 05:20
    Andrew Copp won faceoff against Auston Matthews in neutral zone
  158. P2 05:20
    Stoppage - Puck in Benches
  159. P2 04:25
    Nicholas Robertson won faceoff against J.T. Compher in neutral zone
  160. P2 04:25
    GOAL
    Power play - Goal scored by Matthew Knies assisted by Auston Matthews and John Tavares
    1-0
  161. P2 04:20
    SHOT
    Power play - Shot missed by John Tavares
  162. P2 04:02
    SHOT
    Power play - Shot on goal by Auston Matthews saved by Cam Talbot
  163. P2 03:57
    Power play - John Tavares won faceoff against Andrew Copp in offensive zone
  164. P2 03:57
    Stoppage - Puck in Netting
  165. P2 03:55
    SHOT
    Power play - Morgan Rielly shot blocked by Moritz Seider
  166. P2 03:33
    SHOT
    Shorthanded - Shot on goal by Simon Edvinsson saved by Dennis Hildeby
  167. P2 03:29
    Shorthanded - Dylan Larkin won faceoff against John Tavares in defensive zone
  168. P2 03:29
    Penalty to Ben Chiarot 2 minutes for Tripping (Drawn by Easton Cowan)
  169. P2 03:01
    SHOT
    Shot missed by Ben Chiarot
  170. P2 02:59
    Marco Kasper won faceoff against Scott Laughton in offensive zone
  171. P2 02:59
    Stoppage - Goalie Stopped (after SOG)
  172. P2 02:56
    SHOT
    Shot on goal by John Leonard saved by Dennis Hildeby
  173. P2 02:50
    Scott Laughton won faceoff against Nate Danielson in offensive zone
  174. P2 02:50
    Stoppage - Goalie Stopped (after SOG)
  175. P2 02:48
    SHOT
    Shot on goal by Easton Cowan saved by Cam Talbot
  176. P2 02:39
    SHOT
    Shot missed by Dakota Joshua
  177. P2 02:27
    SHOT
    Shot missed by Chris Tanev
  178. P2 02:14
    SHOT
    Shot on goal by Nicholas Robertson saved by Cam Talbot
  179. P2 02:08
    SHOT
    Albert Johansson shot blocked by Dakota Joshua
  180. P2 01:03
    Giveaway by Matias Maccelli in neutral zone
  181. P2 00:42
    Giveaway by Simon Edvinsson in defensive zone
  182. P2 00:16
    Dylan Larkin won faceoff against Auston Matthews in neutral zone
  183. P2 00:16
    Stoppage - Hand Pass
  184. P2 00:00
    Dylan Larkin won faceoff against Auston Matthews in neutral zone
  185. P1 20:00
    End of 1st Period.
  186. P1 19:57
    John Tavares won faceoff against Dylan Larkin in offensive zone
  187. P1 19:57
    Stoppage - Icing
  188. P1 19:50
    Dylan Larkin won faceoff against John Tavares in defensive zone
  189. P1 19:50
    Stoppage - Icing
  190. P1 19:28
    SHOT
    Shot on goal by Auston Matthews saved by Cam Talbot
  191. P1 19:23
    Auston Matthews won faceoff against Dylan Larkin in offensive zone
  192. P1 19:23
    Stoppage - Goalie Stopped (after SOG) - TV timeout
  193. P1 19:21
    SHOT
    Shot on goal by Auston Matthews saved by Cam Talbot
  194. P1 17:51
    SHOT
    Shot on goal by Mason Appleton saved by Dennis Hildeby
  195. P1 15:51
    Takeaway by Ben Chiarot in defensive zone
  196. P1 15:36
    SHOT
    Shot on goal by Patrick Kane saved by Dennis Hildeby
  197. P1 15:24
    SHOT
    Troy Stecher shot blocked by teammate
  198. P1 14:38
    SHOT
    Shot missed by Matthew Knies
  199. P1 14:09
    SHOT
    Shot on goal by Morgan Rielly saved by Cam Talbot
  200. P1 14:07
    SHOT
    Shot missed by Nicolas Roy
  201. P1 13:21
    Nicholas Robertson won faceoff against J.T. Compher in offensive zone
  202. P1 13:21
    Stoppage - Puck in Netting
  203. P1 13:18
    SHOT
    Shot missed by Oliver Ekman-Larsson
  204. P1 13:11
    SHOT
    Shot missed by Oliver Ekman-Larsson
  205. P1 13:09
    Nicolas Roy won faceoff against J.T. Compher in offensive zone
  206. P1 13:09
    Stoppage - Icing
  207. P1 12:40
    SHOT
    Shot on goal by Emmitt Finnie saved by Dennis Hildeby
  208. P1 11:56
    Auston Matthews won faceoff against Dylan Larkin in offensive zone
  209. P1 11:56
    Stoppage - Goalie Stopped (after SOG)
  210. P1 11:54
    SHOT
    Shot on goal by Chris Tanev saved by Cam Talbot
  211. P1 11:34
    Auston Matthews won faceoff against Dylan Larkin in defensive zone
  212. P1 11:34
    Stoppage - Puck in Netting
  213. P1 11:32
    SHOT
    Alex DeBrincat shot blocked by Matthew Knies
  214. P1 11:21
    SHOT
    Matthew Knies shot blocked by Moritz Seider
  215. P1 11:15
    SHOT
    Shot on goal by Matthew Knies saved by Cam Talbot
  216. P1 11:01
    SHOT
    Shot on goal by Moritz Seider saved by Dennis Hildeby
  217. P1 10:49
    Andrew Copp won faceoff against Matias Maccelli in defensive zone
  218. P1 10:37
    Andrew Copp won faceoff against John Tavares in offensive zone
  219. P1 10:37
    Stoppage - Goalie Stopped (after SOG)
  220. P1 10:35
    SHOT
    Shot on goal by Axel Sandin-Pellikka saved by Dennis Hildeby
  221. P1 10:22
    SHOT
    John Leonard shot blocked by Chris Tanev
  222. P1 10:16
    SHOT
    Shot missed by John Leonard
  223. P1 10:05
    SHOT
    Shot missed by Marco Kasper
  224. P1 10:03
    SHOT
    Shot missed by Ben Chiarot
  225. P1 10:01
    Marco Kasper won faceoff against Scott Laughton in offensive zone
  226. P1 10:01
    Stoppage - Puck in Crowd - TV timeout
  227. P1 09:48
    SHOT
    Shot on goal by Lucas Raymond saved by Dennis Hildeby
  228. P1 09:47
    Dylan Larkin won faceoff against Nicolas Roy in offensive zone
  229. P1 09:47
    Stoppage - Icing
  230. P1 09:40
    Dylan Larkin won faceoff against Nicolas Roy in offensive zone
  231. P1 09:40
    Stoppage - Icing
  232. P1 09:07
    SHOT
    Shot on goal by Bobby McMann saved by Cam Talbot
  233. P1 07:50
    Andrew Copp won faceoff against John Tavares in defensive zone
  234. P1 07:50
    Stoppage - Goalie Stopped (after SOG) - TV timeout
  235. P1 07:48
    SHOT
    Shot on goal by John Tavares saved by Cam Talbot
  236. P1 06:39
    SHOT
    Dylan Larkin shot blocked by Chris Tanev
  237. P1 06:38
    SHOT
    Shot on goal by Lucas Raymond saved by Dennis Hildeby
  238. P1 06:29
    Dylan Larkin won faceoff against Auston Matthews in defensive zone
  239. P1 06:29
    Stoppage - Icing
  240. P1 06:21
    Dylan Larkin won faceoff against Auston Matthews in defensive zone
  241. P1 06:21
    Stoppage - Icing
  242. P1 05:49
    SHOT
    Morgan Rielly shot blocked by John Leonard
  243. P1 05:36
    SHOT
    Shot on goal by Scott Laughton saved by Cam Talbot
  244. P1 05:00
    SHOT
    J.T. Compher shot blocked by Troy Stecher
  245. P1 04:16
    Nicolas Roy won faceoff against J.T. Compher in defensive zone
  246. P1 04:16
    Stoppage - Goalie Stopped (after SOG)
  247. P1 04:14
    SHOT
    Shot on goal by Andrew Copp saved by Dennis Hildeby
  248. P1 03:50
    SHOT
    Philippe Myers shot blocked by Albert Johansson
  249. P1 02:50
    Auston Matthews won faceoff against Nate Danielson in offensive zone
  250. P1 02:50
    Stoppage - Icing
  251. P1 02:39
    SHOT
    Shot on goal by Auston Matthews saved by Cam Talbot
  252. P1 02:35
    SHOT
    Shot on goal by Max Domi saved by Cam Talbot
  253. P1 02:31
    Auston Matthews won faceoff against Nate Danielson in offensive zone
  254. P1 02:31
    Stoppage - Icing
  255. P1 02:18
    SHOT
    Shot on goal by Scott Laughton saved by Cam Talbot
  256. P1 01:30
    Giveaway by J.T. Compher in offensive zone
  257. P1 01:28
    Michael Rasmussen credited with hit on Troy Stecher in offensive zone
  258. P1 01:20
    J.T. Compher won faceoff against Nicolas Roy in neutral zone
  259. P1 01:20
    Stoppage - Offside
  260. P1 01:02
    SHOT
    Shot missed by Alex DeBrincat
  261. P1 00:34
    Giveaway by Auston Matthews in defensive zone
  262. P1 00:31
    Emmitt Finnie credited with hit on Jake McCabe in offensive zone
  263. P1 00:27
    SHOT
    Shot missed by Lucas Raymond
  264. P1 00:17
    Giveaway by Max Domi in offensive zone
  265. P1 00:10
    Emmitt Finnie credited with hit on Chris Tanev in offensive zone
  266. P1 00:00
    Dylan Larkin won faceoff against Auston Matthews in neutral zone
  267. P1 00:00
    Game Setup.
Stats
Maple Leafs
STATS
Red Wings
27Shots on Goal36
47% Faceoff Win % 53%
2/1 PP Opportunities/PP Goals 1/0
4Penalty Infraction Mins6
23Hits12
11 Shots Blocked 14
11Giveaways15
Maple LeafsTOR
Red WingsDET
27Shots on Goal36
47% Faceoff Win % 53%
2/1 PP Opportunities/PP Goals 1/0
4Penalty Infraction Mins6
23Hits12
11 Shots Blocked 14
11Giveaways15

Maple Leafs vs. Red Wings: Detailed Breakdown

Matchup Overview

  • Teams: Maple Leafs vs. Red Wings
  • Date: Sunday, December 28, 2025
  • Time: 7:00 PM ET
  • Venue: Little Caesars Arena

Current Betting Odds

  • Spread: Red Wings favored at -1.5
  • Total (Over/Under): 6.5
  • Moneyline Odds: Maple Leafs +120, Red Wings -135

Dimers' Win Probabilities

  • Maple Leafs: 46%
  • Red Wings: 54%

Dimers' predictive model, renowned for its accuracy, assesses each team's chances by simulating the outcome of the game 10,000 times. This method provides a precise and unbiased view.

Our Prediction: Who Wins?

After extensive simulations, our model gives the Maple Leafs a win probability of 46%, while the Red Wings have a win probability of 54%. Discover the best spread, over/under, and moneyline odds for the game on this page.

Summary

According to our analysis, the Red Wings are more likely to beat the Maple Leafs in the NHL game at Little Caesars Arena on Monday. Discover the best spread, over/under and moneyline odds, picks and probabilities for the game on this page.

Our Maple Leafs vs. Red Wings predictions, based on sophisticated simulations and current data, guide you in making informed decisions. Remember to bet responsibly and within your financial limits.

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