Blues vs. Lightning Prediction, Picks and Odds

Our detailed prediction and analysis for the Blues vs. Lightning NHL game on December 22, 2025 is featured below. Drawing from 10,000 game simulations, we provide expert picks, betting odds, and insights.
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NHL
Blues
1
4
Benchmark International Arena
Lightning
Benchmark International Arena
TEAM123T
Blues
0 1 0 1
Lightning
2 1 1 4
Live Probabilities
Win %
  • Blues
    0%
  • Lightning
    100%
Win Probability
TEAM123T
Blues
0 1 0 1
Lightning
2 1 1 4
P3 18:46 Shot on goal by Nick Paul saved by Jordan Binnington
P3 18:08 Shot missed by Max Crozier
P3 15:13 Shot missed by Dalibor Dvorsky
P3 14:50 Shot missed by Philip Broberg
P3 13:48 Justin Faulk shot blocked by Dominic James
P3 12:33 Philip Broberg shot blocked by J.J. Moser
P3 12:27 Shot on goal by Robby Fabbri saved by Andrei Vasilevskiy
P3 12:26 Shot on goal by Jonatan Berggren saved by Andrei Vasilevskiy
P3 12:16 Nikita Kucherov shot blocked by teammate
P3 11:36 Shot on goal by Philip Broberg saved by Andrei Vasilevskiy
P3 11:04 Darren Raddysh shot blocked by Robert Thomas
P3 10:41 Cam Fowler shot blocked by Ryan McDonagh
P3 09:31 Shot on goal by Declan Carlile saved by Jordan Binnington
P3 08:53 Robby Fabbri shot blocked by Darren Raddysh
P3 07:51 Power play - Cam Fowler shot blocked by Anthony Cirelli
P3 07:45 Power play - Robert Thomas shot blocked by Ryan McDonagh
P3 07:15 Power play - Shot on goal by Oskar Sundqvist saved by Andrei Vasilevskiy
P3 06:04 Shot on goal by Dalibor Dvorsky saved by Andrei Vasilevskiy
P3 05:48 Justin Faulk shot blocked by Dominic James
P3 05:36 Power play - Goal scored by Oliver Bjorkstrand assisted by Jake Guentzel and Nikita Kucherov
Play by Play
  1. P3 20:00
    End of 3rd Period.
  2. P3 18:46
    SHOT
    Shot on goal by Nick Paul saved by Jordan Binnington
  3. P3 18:11
    Brayden Schenn won faceoff against Nick Paul in defensive zone
  4. P3 18:11
    Stoppage - Goalie Stopped (after SOG)
  5. P3 18:08
    SHOT
    Shot missed by Max Crozier
  6. P3 17:27
    Yanni Gourde won faceoff against Dalibor Dvorsky in defensive zone
  7. P3 17:27
    Stoppage - Icing
  8. P3 16:41
    Dominic James won faceoff against Robert Thomas in defensive zone
  9. P3 16:41
    Stoppage - Icing
  10. P3 15:40
    Dominic James won faceoff against Oskar Sundqvist in offensive zone
  11. P3 15:40
    Stoppage - Goalie Stopped (after SOG)
  12. P3 15:38
    Brayden Schenn won faceoff against Nick Paul in defensive zone
  13. P3 15:38
    Stoppage - Icing
  14. P3 15:13
    SHOT
    Shot missed by Dalibor Dvorsky
  15. P3 14:50
    SHOT
    Shot missed by Philip Broberg
  16. P3 13:49
    Anthony Cirelli won faceoff against Robert Thomas in defensive zone
  17. P3 13:49
    Stoppage - Puck in Netting
  18. P3 13:48
    SHOT
    Justin Faulk shot blocked by Dominic James
  19. P3 12:39
    Brayden Schenn won faceoff against Nick Paul in neutral zone
  20. P3 12:39
    Stoppage - Offside
  21. P3 12:34
    Nick Paul won faceoff against Brayden Schenn in defensive zone
  22. P3 12:34
    Stoppage - Goalie Stopped (after SOG)
  23. P3 12:33
    SHOT
    Philip Broberg shot blocked by J.J. Moser
  24. P3 12:29
    Brayden Schenn won faceoff against Nick Paul in offensive zone
  25. P3 12:29
    Stoppage - Goalie Stopped (after SOG)
  26. P3 12:27
    SHOT
    Shot on goal by Robby Fabbri saved by Andrei Vasilevskiy
  27. P3 12:26
    SHOT
    Shot on goal by Jonatan Berggren saved by Andrei Vasilevskiy
  28. P3 12:16
    SHOT
    Nikita Kucherov shot blocked by teammate
  29. P3 11:36
    SHOT
    Shot on goal by Philip Broberg saved by Andrei Vasilevskiy
  30. P3 11:04
    SHOT
    Darren Raddysh shot blocked by Robert Thomas
  31. P3 11:02
    Anthony Cirelli won faceoff against Pius Suter in offensive zone
  32. P3 11:02
    Stoppage - Goalie Stopped (after SOG) - TV timeout
  33. P3 10:41
    SHOT
    Cam Fowler shot blocked by Ryan McDonagh
  34. P3 09:31
    SHOT
    Shot on goal by Declan Carlile saved by Jordan Binnington
  35. P3 08:58
    Nick Paul won faceoff against Dalibor Dvorsky in defensive zone
  36. P3 08:58
    Stoppage - Goalie Stopped (after SOG)
  37. P3 08:53
    SHOT
    Robby Fabbri shot blocked by Darren Raddysh
  38. P3 07:54
    Power play - Giveaway by Cam Fowler in offensive zone
  39. P3 07:51
    SHOT
    Power play - Cam Fowler shot blocked by Anthony Cirelli
  40. P3 07:48
    Power play - Brayden Schenn won faceoff against Anthony Cirelli in offensive zone
  41. P3 07:48
    Stoppage - Puck in Netting
  42. P3 07:45
    SHOT
    Power play - Robert Thomas shot blocked by Ryan McDonagh
  43. P3 07:17
    Shorthanded - Anthony Cirelli won faceoff against Robert Thomas in defensive zone
  44. P3 07:17
    Stoppage - Goalie Stopped (after SOG)
  45. P3 07:15
    SHOT
    Power play - Shot on goal by Oskar Sundqvist saved by Andrei Vasilevskiy
  46. P3 07:03
    Power play - Oskar Sundqvist won faceoff against Yanni Gourde in neutral zone
  47. P3 07:03
    Stoppage - Offside
  48. P3 06:06
    Power play - Robert Thomas won faceoff against Anthony Cirelli in offensive zone
  49. P3 06:06
    Penalty to Jack Finley 2 minutes for Holding (Drawn by Mathieu Joseph)
  50. P3 06:04
    SHOT
    Shot on goal by Dalibor Dvorsky saved by Andrei Vasilevskiy
  51. P3 05:48
    SHOT
    Justin Faulk shot blocked by Dominic James
  52. P3 05:36
    Jack Finley won faceoff against Dalibor Dvorsky in neutral zone
  53. P3 05:36
    GOAL
    Power play - Goal scored by Oliver Bjorkstrand assisted by Jake Guentzel and Nikita Kucherov
    1-4
  54. P3 05:34
    SHOT
    Power play - Shot missed by Oliver Bjorkstrand
  55. P3 05:04
    Shorthanded - Robert Thomas won faceoff against Jake Guentzel in defensive zone
  56. P3 05:04
    Penalty to Logan Mailloux 2 minutes for Holding (Drawn by Nick Paul)
  57. P3 03:37
    SHOT
    Tyler Tucker shot blocked by Brayden Point
  58. P3 02:28
    SHOT
    Robert Thomas shot blocked by teammate
  59. P3 01:51
    SHOT
    Philip Broberg shot blocked by Pontus Holmberg
  60. P3 01:48
    Robert Thomas won faceoff against Anthony Cirelli in offensive zone
  61. P3 01:48
    Stoppage
  62. P3 01:45
    SHOT
    Shot on goal by Philip Broberg saved by Andrei Vasilevskiy
  63. P3 01:41
    Dalibor Dvorsky won faceoff against Yanni Gourde in offensive zone
  64. P3 01:41
    Blues won faceoff against Lightning in offensive zone
  65. P3 01:41
    Stoppage - Goalie Stopped (after SOG)
  66. P3 01:39
    SHOT
    Shot on goal by Tyler Tucker saved by Andrei Vasilevskiy
  67. P3 00:40
    Brayden Schenn won faceoff against Nick Paul in defensive zone
  68. P3 00:40
    Stoppage - Goalie Stopped (after SOG)
  69. P3 00:38
    SHOT
    Shot on goal by Pontus Holmberg saved by Jordan Binnington
  70. P3 00:00
    Anthony Cirelli won faceoff against Robert Thomas in neutral zone
  71. P2 20:00
    End of 2nd Period.
  72. P2 19:19
    SHOT
    Tyler Tucker shot blocked by Gage Goncalves
  73. P2 18:32
    SHOT
    Shot on goal by Justin Faulk saved by Andrei Vasilevskiy
  74. P2 17:37
    Yanni Gourde won faceoff against Brayden Schenn in defensive zone
  75. P2 17:37
    Stoppage - Icing
  76. P2 17:23
    SHOT
    Shot missed by Brayden Point
  77. P2 16:40
    SHOT
    Shot on goal by Cam Fowler saved by Andrei Vasilevskiy
  78. P2 15:56
    Anthony Cirelli won faceoff against Robert Thomas in neutral zone
  79. P2 15:56
    Stoppage - Offside - TV timeout
  80. P2 15:04
    Giveaway by Jonatan Berggren in neutral zone
  81. P2 14:42
    Oskar Sundqvist credited with hit on Jack Finley in defensive zone
  82. P2 14:37
    SHOT
    Shot missed by Declan Carlile
  83. P2 14:33
    Takeaway by Gage Goncalves in neutral zone
  84. P2 13:33
    SHOT
    Anthony Cirelli shot blocked by Philip Broberg
  85. P2 13:17
    SHOT
    Pontus Holmberg shot blocked by Colton Parayko
  86. P2 13:05
    SHOT
    Shot on goal by Pavel Buchnevich saved by Andrei Vasilevskiy
  87. P2 13:01
    Robert Thomas won faceoff against Anthony Cirelli in offensive zone
  88. P2 13:01
    Stoppage - Goalie Stopped (after SOG) - TV timeout
  89. P2 12:59
    SHOT
    Shot on goal by Mathieu Joseph saved by Andrei Vasilevskiy
  90. P2 12:31
    SHOT
    Darren Raddysh shot blocked by teammate
  91. P2 11:47
    SHOT
    Justin Faulk shot blocked by Zemgus Girgensons
  92. P2 11:43
    Brayden Schenn won faceoff against Anthony Cirelli in offensive zone
  93. P2 11:43
    Stoppage - Icing
  94. P2 11:10
    SHOT
    Shot on goal by Logan Mailloux saved by Andrei Vasilevskiy
  95. P2 10:25
    Yanni Gourde won faceoff against Robert Thomas in defensive zone
  96. P2 10:25
    Stoppage - Icing
  97. P2 09:15
    Dominic James credited with hit on Philip Broberg in offensive zone
  98. P2 09:01
    Mathieu Joseph credited with hit on Dominic James in offensive zone
  99. P2 08:35
    Giveaway by Tyler Tucker in defensive zone
  100. P2 08:01
    Nick Paul won faceoff against Brayden Schenn in neutral zone
  101. P2 08:01
    GOAL
    Goal scored by Anthony Cirelli
    1-3
  102. P2 07:17
    Giveaway by Darren Raddysh in neutral zone
  103. P2 07:12
    Anthony Cirelli won faceoff against Robert Thomas in neutral zone
  104. P2 06:56
    Pius Suter won faceoff against Brayden Point in defensive zone
  105. P2 06:56
    Stoppage - Hand Pass - TV timeout
  106. P2 06:43
    Brayden Schenn won faceoff against Brayden Point in neutral zone
  107. P2 06:43
    GOAL
    Goal scored by Justin Faulk assisted by Tyler Tucker and Otto Stenberg
    1-2
  108. P2 06:37
    SHOT
    Otto Stenberg shot blocked by Ryan McDonagh
  109. P2 05:56
    Mathieu Joseph credited with hit on Dominic James in defensive zone
  110. P2 05:38
    SHOT
    Shot missed by Mathieu Joseph
  111. P2 05:32
    Jack Finley won faceoff against Dalibor Dvorsky in defensive zone
  112. P2 05:32
    Stoppage - Icing
  113. P2 05:02
    Jack Finley won faceoff against Oskar Sundqvist in offensive zone
  114. P2 05:02
    Stoppage - Puck in Netting
  115. P2 05:00
    SHOT
    Shot missed by Dominic James
  116. P2 04:42
    SHOT
    Pontus Holmberg shot blocked by Colton Parayko
  117. P2 04:30
    SHOT
    Shot missed by Zemgus Girgensons
  118. P2 04:05
    SHOT
    Shot missed by Darren Raddysh
  119. P2 03:53
    Robert Thomas won faceoff against Anthony Cirelli in defensive zone
  120. P2 03:53
    Stoppage - Icing
  121. P2 03:45
    Robert Thomas won faceoff against Anthony Cirelli in defensive zone
  122. P2 03:45
    Stoppage - Puck in Benches
  123. P2 03:24
    Takeaway by Tyler Tucker in neutral zone
  124. P2 02:46
    SHOT
    Shot on goal by Tyler Tucker saved by Andrei Vasilevskiy
  125. P2 02:35
    SHOT
    Declan Carlile shot blocked by Tyler Tucker
  126. P2 02:17
    SHOT
    Max Crozier shot blocked by teammate
  127. P2 02:14
    Nick Paul won faceoff against Dalibor Dvorsky in offensive zone
  128. P2 02:14
    Stoppage - Goalie Stopped (after SOG)
  129. P2 02:11
    SHOT
    Shot on goal by Max Crozier saved by Jordan Binnington
  130. P2 02:00
    SHOT
    Shot missed by Dominic James
  131. P2 01:59
    SHOT
    Shot missed by Max Crozier
  132. P2 01:49
    SHOT
    Shot on goal by Max Crozier saved by Jordan Binnington
  133. P2 01:46
    Jack Finley won faceoff against Oskar Sundqvist in offensive zone
  134. P2 01:46
    Stoppage - Puck in Crowd
  135. P2 01:42
    Oskar Sundqvist won faceoff against Dominic James in defensive zone
  136. P2 01:42
    Stoppage - Goalie Stopped (after SOG)
  137. P2 01:40
    SHOT
    Shot on goal by J.J. Moser saved by Jordan Binnington
  138. P2 01:07
    SHOT
    Shot on goal by Pavel Buchnevich saved by Andrei Vasilevskiy
  139. P2 00:54
    Yanni Gourde won faceoff against Robert Thomas in offensive zone
  140. P2 00:54
    Stoppage - Puck in Netting
  141. P2 00:51
    SHOT
    Nikita Kucherov shot blocked by teammate
  142. P2 00:50
    Yanni Gourde won faceoff against Brayden Schenn in offensive zone
  143. P2 00:50
    Stoppage - Icing
  144. P2 00:15
    Brayden Schenn credited with hit on Ryan McDonagh in offensive zone
  145. P2 00:09
    SHOT
    Shot on goal by Justin Faulk saved by Andrei Vasilevskiy
  146. P2 00:05
    Brayden Schenn won faceoff against Nick Paul in neutral zone
  147. P2 00:00
    Brayden Schenn won faceoff against Nick Paul in neutral zone
  148. P1 20:00
    End of 1st Period.
  149. P1 19:07
    SHOT
    Shot on goal by Justin Faulk saved by Andrei Vasilevskiy
  150. P1 19:07
    SHOT
    Brayden Schenn shot blocked by J.J. Moser
  151. P1 19:00
    Mathieu Joseph credited with hit on Max Crozier in offensive zone
  152. P1 18:59
    Jack Finley won faceoff against Brayden Schenn in defensive zone
  153. P1 18:59
    Stoppage - Goalie Stopped (after SOG)
  154. P1 18:57
    SHOT
    Shot on goal by Oskar Sundqvist saved by Andrei Vasilevskiy
  155. P1 18:11
    SHOT
    Shot missed by Brayden Point
  156. P1 18:10
    SHOT
    Gage Goncalves shot blocked by Alexey Toropchenko
  157. P1 16:57
    Robert Thomas won faceoff against Jake Guentzel in defensive zone
  158. P1 16:42
    SHOT
    Shot missed by Jake Guentzel
  159. P1 16:41
    SHOT
    Shot on goal by Charle-Edouard D'Astous saved by Jordan Binnington
  160. P1 16:39
    Nick Paul won faceoff against Brayden Schenn in offensive zone
  161. P1 16:39
    Stoppage - Icing
  162. P1 16:32
    Brayden Schenn won faceoff against Nick Paul in neutral zone
  163. P1 16:32
    Stoppage - Offside - TV timeout
  164. P1 16:23
    SHOT
    Cam Fowler shot blocked by Yanni Gourde
  165. P1 15:34
    SHOT
    Power play - Anthony Cirelli shot blocked by Colton Parayko
  166. P1 13:42
    Shorthanded - Oskar Sundqvist won faceoff against Jake Guentzel in defensive zone
  167. P1 13:42
    Stoppage - TV timeout
  168. P1 13:42
    Penalty to Robert Thomas 2 minutes for Tripping (Drawn by Pontus Holmberg)
  169. P1 13:16
    SHOT
    Shot missed by Darren Raddysh
  170. P1 13:11
    Giveaway by Jake Neighbours in neutral zone
  171. P1 12:51
    SHOT
    Philip Broberg shot blocked by Charle-Edouard D'Astous
  172. P1 12:01
    SHOT
    Shot missed by Oskar Sundqvist
  173. P1 11:09
    SHOT
    Power play - Shot on goal by Pius Suter saved by Andrei Vasilevskiy
  174. P1 11:08
    SHOT
    Power play - Dalibor Dvorsky shot blocked by Declan Carlile
  175. P1 09:43
    Power play - Robert Thomas won faceoff against Anthony Cirelli in offensive zone
  176. P1 09:12
    Anthony Cirelli won faceoff against Dalibor Dvorsky in neutral zone
  177. P1 09:11
    SHOT
    Power play - Shot missed by Darren Raddysh
  178. P1 09:07
    SHOT
    Power play - Shot missed by Brayden Point
  179. P1 08:48
    SHOT
    Power play - Darren Raddysh shot blocked by Robert Thomas
  180. P1 08:42
    SHOT
    Power play - Shot missed by Darren Raddysh
  181. P1 08:26
    Power play - Takeaway by Darren Raddysh in offensive zone
  182. P1 08:21
    SHOT
    Power play - Shot missed by Jake Guentzel
  183. P1 08:10
    SHOT
    Power play - Shot on goal by Brayden Point saved by Jordan Binnington
  184. P1 08:05
    SHOT
    Power play - Darren Raddysh shot blocked by Pavel Buchnevich
  185. P1 07:41
    SHOT
    Shorthanded - Shot on goal by Pius Suter saved by Andrei Vasilevskiy
  186. P1 07:40
    Power play - Giveaway by Nikita Kucherov in offensive zone
  187. P1 07:15
    Shorthanded - Pius Suter won faceoff against Brayden Point in defensive zone
  188. P1 07:15
    Penalty to Logan Mailloux 2 minutes for Slashing (Drawn by Gage Goncalves)
  189. P1 06:57
    SHOT
    Shot missed by Jake Neighbours
  190. P1 06:33
    SHOT
    Ryan McDonagh shot blocked by Oskar Sundqvist
  191. P1 06:02
    SHOT
    Oliver Bjorkstrand shot blocked by Oskar Sundqvist
  192. P1 05:55
    SHOT
    Shot missed by Declan Carlile
  193. P1 05:51
    SHOT
    Max Crozier shot blocked by Alexey Toropchenko
  194. P1 05:48
    Nick Paul won faceoff against Oskar Sundqvist in offensive zone
  195. P1 05:48
    Stoppage - Goalie Stopped (after SOG)
  196. P1 05:46
    SHOT
    Shot on goal by Pontus Holmberg saved by Jordan Binnington
  197. P1 05:12
    Robert Thomas won faceoff against Anthony Cirelli in offensive zone
  198. P1 05:12
    Stoppage - Icing
  199. P1 04:58
    SHOT
    J.J. Moser shot blocked by Justin Faulk
  200. P1 04:21
    SHOT
    Nikita Kucherov shot blocked by Colton Parayko
  201. P1 04:15
    Dalibor Dvorsky won faceoff against Brayden Point in defensive zone
  202. P1 04:15
    Stoppage - Puck in Netting
  203. P1 04:13
    SHOT
    Shot on goal by Declan Carlile saved by Jordan Binnington
  204. P1 03:18
    SHOT
    Shot missed by Justin Faulk
  205. P1 02:10
    Robert Thomas won faceoff against Nick Paul in offensive zone
  206. P1 02:10
    Stoppage - Goalie Stopped (after SOG)
  207. P1 02:07
    SHOT
    Shot on goal by Dalibor Dvorsky saved by Andrei Vasilevskiy
  208. P1 01:30
    SHOT
    Shot missed by Nikita Kucherov
  209. P1 01:03
    SHOT
    Shot missed by Gage Goncalves
  210. P1 00:28
    Declan Carlile credited with hit on Alexey Toropchenko in defensive zone
  211. P1 00:21
    Jack Finley won faceoff against Oskar Sundqvist in neutral zone
  212. P1 00:21
    GOAL
    Goal scored by Pontus Holmberg assisted by Darren Raddysh and Zemgus Girgensons
    0-1
  213. P1 00:00
    Anthony Cirelli won faceoff against Robert Thomas in neutral zone
  214. P1 00:00
    Game Setup.
Stats
Blues
STATS
Lightning
24Shots on Goal17
51% Faceoff Win % 49%
2/0 PP Opportunities/PP Goals 4/2
8Penalty Infraction Mins4
27Hits10
16 Shots Blocked 15
14Giveaways11
BluesSTL
LightningTB
24Shots on Goal17
51% Faceoff Win % 49%
2/0 PP Opportunities/PP Goals 4/2
8Penalty Infraction Mins4
27Hits10
16 Shots Blocked 15
14Giveaways11

Blues vs. Lightning: Detailed Breakdown

Matchup Overview

  • Teams: Blues vs. Lightning
  • Date: Monday, December 22, 2025
  • Time: 7:00 PM ET
  • Venue: Benchmark International Arena

Current Betting Odds

  • Spread: Lightning favored at -1.5
  • Total (Over/Under): 5.5
  • Moneyline Odds: Blues +210, Lightning -245

Dimers' Win Probabilities

  • Blues: 35%
  • Lightning: 65%

Dimers' predictive model, renowned for its accuracy, assesses each team's chances by simulating the outcome of the game 10,000 times. This method provides a precise and unbiased view.

Our Prediction: Who Wins?

After extensive simulations, our model gives the Blues a win probability of 35%, while the Lightning have a win probability of 65%. Discover the best spread, over/under, and moneyline odds for the game on this page.

Summary

According to our analysis, the Lightning are more likely to beat the Blues in the NHL game at Benchmark International Arena on Tuesday. Discover the best spread, over/under and moneyline odds, picks and probabilities for the game on this page.

Our Blues vs. Lightning predictions, based on sophisticated simulations and current data, guide you in making informed decisions. Remember to bet responsibly and within your financial limits.

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