Wild vs. Lightning Prediction, Picks and Odds

Our detailed prediction and analysis for the Wild vs. Lightning NHL game on March 24, 2026 is featured below. Drawing from 10,000 game simulations, we provide expert picks, betting odds, and insights.
Get 6 months of Dimers Pro for just $99.99
FINAL
NHL
Add this game to My Favorites
FINAL
Add this game to My Favorites
NHL sport icon
NHL
Wild
3
6
Benchmark International Arena
Lightning
Benchmark International Arena
TEAM123T
Wild
2 1 0 3
Lightning
0 3 3 6
Live Probabilities
Win %
  • Wild
    0%
  • Lightning
    100%
Win Probability
TEAM123T
Wild
2 1 0 3
Lightning
0 3 3 6
P3 18:05 Shorthanded - Shot on goal by Joel Eriksson Ek saved by Andrei Vasilevskiy
P3 17:10 Shot on goal by Ryan Hartman saved by Andrei Vasilevskiy
P3 16:38 Shot on goal by Emil Lilleberg saved by Filip Gustavsson
P3 16:05 Shot on goal by Joel Eriksson Ek saved by Andrei Vasilevskiy
P3 14:59 Pontus Holmberg shot blocked by Jared Spurgeon
P3 14:49 Shot missed by Darren Raddysh
P3 13:55 Nick Paul shot blocked by Michael McCarron
P3 10:55 Quinn Hughes shot blocked by Ryan McDonagh
P3 10:04 Zach Bogosian shot blocked by Ryan McDonagh
P3 08:36 Shot on goal by Jonas Brodin saved by Andrei Vasilevskiy
P3 07:45 Shot on goal by Gage Goncalves saved by Filip Gustavsson
P3 06:07 Shot on goal by Yanni Gourde saved by Filip Gustavsson
P3 05:53 Zemgus Girgensons shot blocked by Ryan Hartman
P3 05:12 Scott Sabourin shot blocked by Jonas Brodin
P3 03:54 Anthony Cirelli shot blocked by Jared Spurgeon
P3 02:27 Corey Perry shot blocked by Jake Middleton
P3 02:21 Shot missed by Yanni Gourde
P3 01:15 Shot on goal by Ryan Hartman saved by Andrei Vasilevskiy
P2 19:11 Joel Eriksson Ek shot blocked by Nikita Kucherov
P2 18:40 Michael McCarron shot blocked by Darren Raddysh
Play by Play
  1. P3 20:00
    End of 3rd Period.
  2. P3 19:36
    Wild won faceoff against Lightning in neutral zone
  3. P3 18:42
    Zemgus Girgensons won faceoff against Ryan Hartman in neutral zone
  4. P3 18:37
    Shorthanded - Giveaway by Quinn Hughes in neutral zone
  5. P3 18:07
    Shorthanded - Joel Eriksson Ek won faceoff against Nick Paul in offensive zone
  6. P3 18:05
    SHOT
    Shorthanded - Shot on goal by Joel Eriksson Ek saved by Andrei Vasilevskiy
  7. P3 17:48
    Stoppage - Offside
  8. P3 17:38
    Penalty to Ryan Hartman 2 minutes for Misconduct
  9. P3 17:16
    Wild won faceoff against Lightning in neutral zone
  10. P3 17:10
    SHOT
    Shot on goal by Ryan Hartman saved by Andrei Vasilevskiy
  11. P3 17:07
    Ryan Hartman won faceoff against Yanni Gourde in neutral zone
  12. P3 16:38
    SHOT
    Shot on goal by Emil Lilleberg saved by Filip Gustavsson
  13. P3 16:37
    Stoppage - Icing
  14. P3 16:05
    SHOT
    Shot on goal by Joel Eriksson Ek saved by Andrei Vasilevskiy
  15. P3 15:34
    Anthony Cirelli won faceoff against Joel Eriksson Ek in neutral zone
  16. P3 14:59
    SHOT
    Pontus Holmberg shot blocked by Jared Spurgeon
  17. P3 14:49
    SHOT
    Shot missed by Darren Raddysh
  18. P3 13:55
    SHOT
    Nick Paul shot blocked by Michael McCarron
  19. P3 12:27
    Ryan Hartman won faceoff against Brayden Point in defensive zone
  20. P3 12:27
    Stoppage - Icing
  21. P3 11:42
    Giveaway by Kirill Kaprizov in offensive zone
  22. P3 10:55
    SHOT
    Quinn Hughes shot blocked by Ryan McDonagh
  23. P3 10:47
    Giveaway by Yanni Gourde in defensive zone
  24. P3 10:04
    SHOT
    Zach Bogosian shot blocked by Ryan McDonagh
  25. P3 09:52
    Stoppage - Offside
  26. P3 09:40
    Stoppage - Offside
  27. P3 08:45
    Ryan Hartman won faceoff against Nick Paul in offensive zone
  28. P3 08:38
    Nick Paul won faceoff against Mats Zuccarello in defensive zone
  29. P3 08:36
    SHOT
    Shot on goal by Jonas Brodin saved by Andrei Vasilevskiy
  30. P3 07:45
    SHOT
    Shot on goal by Gage Goncalves saved by Filip Gustavsson
  31. P3 06:07
    SHOT
    Shot on goal by Yanni Gourde saved by Filip Gustavsson
  32. P3 05:56
    Ryan Hartman won faceoff against Yanni Gourde in defensive zone
  33. P3 05:53
    SHOT
    Zemgus Girgensons shot blocked by Ryan Hartman
  34. P3 05:12
    SHOT
    Scott Sabourin shot blocked by Jonas Brodin
  35. P3 04:42
    Nick Foligno won faceoff against Nick Paul in offensive zone
  36. P3 04:42
    Stoppage - Icing
  37. P3 04:34
    Stoppage - Icing
  38. P3 03:54
    SHOT
    Anthony Cirelli shot blocked by Jared Spurgeon
  39. P3 03:15
    Nick Paul won faceoff against Joel Eriksson Ek in defensive zone
  40. P3 03:15
    Stoppage - Icing
  41. P3 02:27
    SHOT
    Corey Perry shot blocked by Jake Middleton
  42. P3 02:21
    SHOT
    Shot missed by Yanni Gourde
  43. P3 01:15
    SHOT
    Shot on goal by Ryan Hartman saved by Andrei Vasilevskiy
  44. P3 01:11
    Giveaway by Vladimir Tarasenko in offensive zone
  45. P3 00:26
    Joel Eriksson Ek won faceoff against Jake Guentzel in defensive zone
  46. P3 00:26
    Jake Guentzel won faceoff against Joel Eriksson Ek in offensive zone
  47. P3 00:00
    Anthony Cirelli won faceoff against Joel Eriksson Ek in neutral zone
  48. P2 20:00
    End of 2nd Period.
  49. P2 19:27
    Jake Guentzel won faceoff against Ryan Hartman in neutral zone
  50. P2 19:27
    Stoppage - Offside - TV timeout
  51. P2 19:11
    SHOT
    Joel Eriksson Ek shot blocked by Nikita Kucherov
  52. P2 18:42
    Michael McCarron won faceoff against Lightning in neutral zone
  53. P2 18:40
    SHOT
    Michael McCarron shot blocked by Darren Raddysh
  54. P2 18:20
    SHOT
    Michael McCarron shot blocked by Darren Raddysh
  55. P2 17:22
    SHOT
    Shot missed by Joel Eriksson Ek
  56. P2 15:52
    SHOT
    Shot missed by Lightning
  57. P2 15:19
    GOAL
    Power play - Goal scored by Darren Raddysh assisted by Nikita Kucherov and Jake Guentzel
    3-3
  58. P2 15:04
    Wild won faceoff against Lightning in neutral zone
  59. P2 14:39
    SHOT
    Shot missed by Pontus Holmberg
  60. P2 12:53
    SHOT
    Shot missed by Joel Eriksson Ek
  61. P2 12:32
    Giveaway by Brock Faber in defensive zone
  62. P2 12:27
    GOAL
    Goal scored by Jake Guentzel assisted by Darren Raddysh and Gage Goncalves
    3-2
  63. P2 12:25
    SHOT
    Shot on goal by Jake Guentzel saved by Filip Gustavsson
  64. P2 11:06
    SHOT
    Shot missed by Yanni Gourde
  65. P2 09:51
    Danila Yurov won faceoff against Nick Paul in neutral zone
  66. P2 09:33
    SHOT
    Shot on goal by Darren Raddysh saved by Filip Gustavsson
  67. P2 09:02
    Shorthanded - Nick Paul won faceoff against Ryan Hartman in defensive zone
  68. P2 09:02
    Stoppage - Goalie Stopped (after SOG)
  69. P2 08:29
    SHOT
    Power play - Shot missed by Joel Eriksson Ek
  70. P2 08:04
    SHOT
    Power play - Shot missed by Matt Boldy
  71. P2 07:13
    SHOT
    Power play - Matt Boldy shot blocked by Ryan McDonagh
  72. P2 07:10
    Penalty to Erik Cernak 2 minutes for Tripping
  73. P2 07:06
    SHOT
    Power play - Quinn Hughes shot blocked by Erik Cernak
  74. P2 06:49
    Power play - Joel Eriksson Ek won faceoff against Anthony Cirelli in offensive zone
  75. P2 06:13
    Takeaway by Vladimir Tarasenko in defensive zone
  76. P2 06:10
    Wild won faceoff against Lightning in neutral zone
  77. P2 06:07
    SHOT
    Shot missed by Ryan McDonagh
  78. P2 05:45
    GOAL
    Power play - Goal scored by Brayden Point assisted by Brandon Hagel and Darren Raddysh
    2-1
  79. P2 05:10
    Power play - Jake Guentzel won faceoff against Joel Eriksson Ek in offensive zone
  80. P2 05:10
    Penalty to Jonas Brodin 2 minutes for Slashing (Drawn by Anthony Cirelli)
  81. P2 05:06
    Joel Eriksson Ek won faceoff against Anthony Cirelli in defensive zone
  82. P2 04:48
    SHOT
    Shot missed by J.J. Moser
  83. P2 03:41
    Michael McCarron won faceoff against Jake Guentzel in defensive zone
  84. P2 03:41
    Stoppage - Goalie Stopped (after SOG)
  85. P2 02:37
    Danila Yurov won faceoff against Yanni Gourde in offensive zone
  86. P2 02:32
    Stoppage - Icing
  87. P2 01:37
    SHOT
    Brayden Point shot blocked by Ryan Hartman
  88. P2 01:30
    SHOT
    Brayden Point shot blocked by Jonas Brodin
  89. P2 01:26
    Stoppage - Goalie Stopped (after SOG)
  90. P2 00:59
    Giveaway by J.J. Moser in defensive zone
  91. P2 00:17
    SHOT
    Shot missed by Quinn Hughes
  92. P2 00:00
    Joel Eriksson Ek won faceoff against Anthony Cirelli in neutral zone
  93. P1 20:00
    End of 1st Period.
  94. P1 19:36
    SHOT
    Shot on goal by Darren Raddysh saved by Filip Gustavsson
  95. P1 19:15
    Jake Guentzel won faceoff against Ryan Hartman in neutral zone
  96. P1 18:55
    Ryan Hartman won faceoff against Corey Perry in defensive zone
  97. P1 18:55
    Penalty to Scott Sabourin 5 minutes for Fighting (Drawn by Nick Foligno)
  98. P1 18:55
    Penalty to Nick Foligno 2 minutes for Misconduct (Drawn by Scott Sabourin)
  99. P1 18:49
    Nick Paul won faceoff against Danila Yurov in neutral zone
  100. P1 18:35
    Shorthanded - Yanni Gourde won faceoff against Marcus Johansson in defensive zone
  101. P1 18:31
    SHOT
    Shot on goal by Darren Raddysh saved by Filip Gustavsson
  102. P1 18:10
    SHOT
    Brandon Hagel shot blocked by Matt Boldy
  103. P1 18:04
    SHOT
    Brayden Point shot blocked by Jonas Brodin
  104. P1 17:56
    Stoppage - Puck in Netting
  105. P1 17:49
    Stoppage - Goalie Stopped (after SOG)
  106. P1 17:20
    SHOT
    Shot missed by Kirill Kaprizov
  107. P1 16:18
    Giveaway by Yakov Trenin in defensive zone
  108. P1 15:58
    SHOT
    Shot missed by Pontus Holmberg
  109. P1 14:36
    Jake Guentzel won faceoff against Bobby Brink in defensive zone
  110. P1 14:36
    Stoppage - Goalie Stopped (after SOG) - TV timeout
  111. P1 13:35
    SHOT
    Shot missed by J.J. Moser
  112. P1 13:33
    Stoppage - Goalie Stopped (after SOG)
  113. P1 13:30
    Anthony Cirelli won faceoff against Joel Eriksson Ek in offensive zone
  114. P1 13:26
    SHOT
    Darren Raddysh shot blocked by teammate
  115. P1 11:18
    Giveaway by Nick Foligno in offensive zone
  116. P1 10:57
    Stoppage - Icing
  117. P1 10:00
    Stoppage - Offside
  118. P1 09:42
    SHOT
    Shot on goal by Matt Boldy saved by Andrei Vasilevskiy
  119. P1 08:28
    Giveaway by Scott Sabourin in offensive zone
  120. P1 08:17
    SHOT
    Gage Goncalves shot blocked by Quinn Hughes
  121. P1 08:08
    Wild won faceoff against Lightning in neutral zone
  122. P1 08:08
    Stoppage - Offside
  123. P1 08:01
    Stoppage - Icing
  124. P1 07:01
    SHOT
    Power play - Shot missed by Jake Guentzel
  125. P1 06:50
    SHOT
    Power play - Darren Raddysh shot blocked by Jared Spurgeon
  126. P1 06:37
    Stoppage - Puck in Netting
  127. P1 06:24
    SHOT
    Power play - Shot on goal by Nikita Kucherov saved by Filip Gustavsson
  128. P1 05:51
    Shorthanded - Nick Foligno won faceoff against Nick Paul in neutral zone
  129. P1 05:08
    Shorthanded - Joel Eriksson Ek won faceoff against Brandon Hagel in defensive zone
  130. P1 04:58
    SHOT
    Shot missed by Anthony Cirelli
  131. P1 04:17
    Brandon Hagel won faceoff against Danila Yurov in defensive zone
  132. P1 04:17
    Stoppage - Goalie Stopped (after SOG)
  133. P1 03:41
    Charle-Edouard D'Astous credited with hit on Bobby Brink in offensive zone
  134. P1 03:22
    SHOT
    Shot on goal by Nick Foligno saved by Andrei Vasilevskiy
  135. P1 03:05
    Nick Foligno won faceoff against Brayden Point in offensive zone
  136. P1 03:02
    SHOT
    Shot on goal by Brock Faber saved by Andrei Vasilevskiy
  137. P1 02:59
    Yakov Trenin won faceoff against Anthony Cirelli in offensive zone
  138. P1 02:59
    Stoppage - Goalie Stopped (after SOG)
  139. P1 02:50
    Nick Foligno won faceoff against Anthony Cirelli in offensive zone
  140. P1 02:50
    Penalty to Michael McCarron 5 minutes for Fighting (Drawn by Corey Perry)
  141. P1 02:50
    Penalty to Corey Perry 2 minutes for Roughing (Drawn by Michael McCarron)
  142. P1 02:47
    SHOT
    Shot on goal by Yakov Trenin saved by Andrei Vasilevskiy
  143. P1 02:28
    Nick Paul won faceoff against Michael McCarron in neutral zone
  144. P1 02:11
    SHOT
    Power play - Shot missed by Joel Eriksson Ek
  145. P1 02:00
    Penalty to Anthony Cirelli 2 minutes for Hooking (Drawn by Danila Yurov)
  146. P1 01:53
    Stoppage - Icing
  147. P1 01:42
    SHOT
    Jake Guentzel shot blocked by Brock Faber
  148. P1 01:14
    SHOT
    Vladimir Tarasenko shot blocked by Charle-Edouard D'Astous
  149. P1 00:50
    Giveaway by Matt Boldy in offensive zone
  150. P1 00:35
    Giveaway by Quinn Hughes in offensive zone
  151. P1 00:27
    SHOT
    Shot on goal by Joel Eriksson Ek saved by Andrei Vasilevskiy
  152. P1 00:00
    Game Setup.
Stats
Wild
STATS
Lightning
23Shots on Goal24
53% Faceoff Win % 48%
4/2 PP Opportunities/PP Goals 4/3
20Penalty Infraction Mins20
20Hits20
19 Shots Blocked 10
17Giveaways10
WildMIN
LightningTB
23Shots on Goal24
53% Faceoff Win % 48%
4/2 PP Opportunities/PP Goals 4/3
20Penalty Infraction Mins20
20Hits20
19 Shots Blocked 10
17Giveaways10

Wild vs. Lightning: Detailed Breakdown

Matchup Overview

  • Teams: Wild vs. Lightning
  • Date: Tuesday, March 24, 2026
  • Time: 7:30 PM ET
  • Venue: Benchmark International Arena

Current Betting Odds

  • Spread: Lightning favored at -1.5
  • Total (Over/Under): 6.5
  • Moneyline Odds: Wild 41¢, Lightning 59¢

Dimers' Win Probabilities

  • Wild: 41%
  • Lightning: 59%

Dimers' predictive model, renowned for its accuracy, assesses each team's chances by simulating the outcome of the game 10,000 times. This method provides a precise and unbiased view.

Our Prediction: Who Wins?

After extensive simulations, our model gives the Wild a win probability of 41%, while the Lightning have a win probability of 59%. Discover the best spread, over/under, and moneyline odds for the game on this page.

Summary

According to our analysis, the Lightning are more likely to beat the Wild in the NHL game at Benchmark International Arena on Tuesday. Discover the best spread, over/under and moneyline odds, picks and probabilities for the game on this page.

Our Wild vs. Lightning predictions, based on sophisticated simulations and current data, guide you in making informed decisions. Remember to bet responsibly and within your financial limits.

For additional resources and advice on responsible gambling, please call 1-800-GAMBLER.

When you click or tap on a link on Dimers that goes to a third-party website that we have a commercial relationship with (such as a sportsbook), we may receive a referral fee.

For further insights, explore our expert NHL predictions and the best NHL bets today, while our in-depth analysis includes NHL props, NHL futures, NHL odds, and the latest NHL news.