Maple Leafs vs. Bruins Prediction, Picks and Odds

Our detailed prediction and analysis for the Maple Leafs vs. Bruins NHL game on March 24, 2026 is featured below. Drawing from 10,000 game simulations, we provide expert picks, betting odds, and insights.
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NHL
Maple Leafs
4
2
TD Garden
Bruins
TD Garden
TEAM123T
Maple Leafs
0 2 2 4
Bruins
1 0 1 2
Live Probabilities
Win %
  • Maple Leafs
    100%
  • Bruins
    0%
Win Probability
TEAM123T
Maple Leafs
0 2 2 4
Bruins
1 0 1 2
P3 19:46 Power play - Goal scored by Matthew Knies assisted by William Nylander and John Tavares
P3 18:35 Shot on goal by Elias Lindholm saved by Anthony Stolarz
P3 17:28 Shot on goal by William Nylander saved by Jeremy Swayman
P3 16:36 Pavel Zacha shot blocked by Simon Benoit
P3 15:46 Shot missed by John Tavares
P3 15:38 Mason Lohrei shot blocked by Morgan Rielly
P3 14:43 Shot on goal by Nicholas Robertson saved by Jeremy Swayman
P3 13:36 Shot on goal by Simon Benoit saved by Jeremy Swayman
P3 12:09 Shot on goal by Dakota Joshua saved by Jeremy Swayman
P3 11:10 Shot on goal by Viktor Arvidsson saved by Anthony Stolarz
P3 09:35 Shot missed by Oliver Ekman-Larsson
P3 06:19 Power play - Shot missed by Henri Jokiharju
P3 05:06 Power play - Charlie McAvoy shot blocked by Brandon Carlo
P3 02:35 Power play - Shot missed by Max Domi
P3 02:18 Power play - Shot on goal by Dakota Joshua saved by Jeremy Swayman
P3 01:50 Power play - Shot on goal by Matias Maccelli saved by Jeremy Swayman
P3 01:18 Power play - Shot on goal by Morgan Rielly saved by Jeremy Swayman
P3 00:45 Power play - Shot missed by John Tavares
P2 18:07 Power play - Shot on goal by Max Domi saved by Jeremy Swayman
P2 17:44 Power play - Shot on goal by William Nylander saved by Jeremy Swayman
Play by Play
  1. P3 20:00
    End of 3rd Period.
  2. P3 19:46
    GOAL
    Power play - Goal scored by Matthew Knies assisted by William Nylander and John Tavares
    4-2
  3. P3 19:38
    Shorthanded - Sean Kuraly won faceoff against Jacob Quillan in neutral zone
  4. P3 18:56
    Maple Leafs won faceoff against Bruins in neutral zone
  5. P3 18:37
    Elias Lindholm won faceoff against John Tavares in offensive zone
  6. P3 18:35
    SHOT
    Shot on goal by Elias Lindholm saved by Anthony Stolarz
  7. P3 17:46
    Simon Benoit credited with hit on Lukas Reichel in defensive zone
  8. P3 17:28
    SHOT
    Shot on goal by William Nylander saved by Jeremy Swayman
  9. P3 16:36
    SHOT
    Pavel Zacha shot blocked by Simon Benoit
  10. P3 16:12
    Pavel Zacha won faceoff against Bo Groulx in defensive zone
  11. P3 15:46
    SHOT
    Shot missed by John Tavares
  12. P3 15:38
    SHOT
    Mason Lohrei shot blocked by Morgan Rielly
  13. P3 15:35
    Stoppage - Goalie Stopped (after SOG)
  14. P3 14:45
    Matthew Knies won faceoff against Elias Lindholm in offensive zone
  15. P3 14:43
    SHOT
    Shot on goal by Nicholas Robertson saved by Jeremy Swayman
  16. P3 13:38
    John Tavares won faceoff against Pavel Zacha in offensive zone
  17. P3 13:36
    SHOT
    Shot on goal by Simon Benoit saved by Jeremy Swayman
  18. P3 12:09
    SHOT
    Shot on goal by Dakota Joshua saved by Jeremy Swayman
  19. P3 11:12
    Max Domi won faceoff against Pavel Zacha in defensive zone
  20. P3 11:10
    SHOT
    Shot on goal by Viktor Arvidsson saved by Anthony Stolarz
  21. P3 10:06
    John Tavares won faceoff against Fraser Minten in neutral zone
  22. P3 09:35
    SHOT
    Shot missed by Oliver Ekman-Larsson
  23. P3 09:15
    Stoppage - Offside
  24. P3 08:41
    Elias Lindholm won faceoff against Bo Groulx in neutral zone
  25. P3 08:08
    Pavel Zacha won faceoff against John Tavares in neutral zone
  26. P3 08:08
    Stoppage - Offside
  27. P3 07:59
    John Tavares won faceoff against Bruins in defensive zone
  28. P3 07:35
    Shorthanded - Simon Benoit credited with hit on David Pastrnak in defensive zone
  29. P3 06:19
    SHOT
    Power play - Shot missed by Henri Jokiharju
  30. P3 05:15
    Power play - Fraser Minten won faceoff against Jacob Quillan in neutral zone
  31. P3 05:06
    SHOT
    Power play - Charlie McAvoy shot blocked by Brandon Carlo
  32. P3 03:38
    Stoppage - Puck Frozen
  33. P3 03:03
    Penalty to Nikita Zadorov 2 minutes for Misconduct
  34. P3 03:00
    Bo Groulx won faceoff against Elias Lindholm in neutral zone
  35. P3 02:36
    Shorthanded - Elias Lindholm won faceoff against William Nylander in defensive zone
  36. P3 02:35
    SHOT
    Power play - Shot missed by Max Domi
  37. P3 02:18
    SHOT
    Power play - Shot on goal by Dakota Joshua saved by Jeremy Swayman
  38. P3 01:50
    SHOT
    Power play - Shot on goal by Matias Maccelli saved by Jeremy Swayman
  39. P3 01:18
    SHOT
    Power play - Shot on goal by Morgan Rielly saved by Jeremy Swayman
  40. P3 01:05
    Stoppage - Goalie Stopped (after SOG)
  41. P3 00:45
    SHOT
    Power play - Shot missed by John Tavares
  42. P2 20:00
    End of 2nd Period.
  43. P2 18:54
    John Tavares won faceoff against Pavel Zacha in offensive zone
  44. P2 18:27
    David Pastrnak credited with hit on Oliver Ekman-Larsson in offensive zone
  45. P2 18:08
    Max Domi won faceoff against Fraser Minten in neutral zone
  46. P2 18:07
    SHOT
    Power play - Shot on goal by Max Domi saved by Jeremy Swayman
  47. P2 17:53
    Penalty to Easton Cowan 2 minutes for Misconduct
  48. P2 17:53
    Easton Cowan won faceoff against Bruins in offensive zone
  49. P2 17:44
    SHOT
    Power play - Shot on goal by William Nylander saved by Jeremy Swayman
  50. P2 17:41
    John Tavares won faceoff against Fraser Minten in offensive zone
  51. P2 17:38
    SHOT
    Power play - Shot missed by Dakota Joshua
  52. P2 16:42
    Power play - Max Domi won faceoff against Mark Kastelic in offensive zone
  53. P2 16:26
    SHOT
    Shot on goal by William Nylander saved by Jeremy Swayman
  54. P2 16:09
    SHOT
    Shot missed by William Nylander
  55. P2 15:14
    SHOT
    Morgan Geekie shot blocked by Simon Benoit
  56. P2 14:42
    Stoppage - Puck Frozen
  57. P2 14:23
    Maple Leafs won faceoff against Bruins in neutral zone
  58. P2 14:18
    Sean Kuraly won faceoff against Max Domi in defensive zone
  59. P2 14:13
    SHOT
    Morgan Rielly shot blocked by teammate
  60. P2 14:08
    Pavel Zacha won faceoff against John Tavares in defensive zone
  61. P2 14:08
    Stoppage - Puck Frozen
  62. P2 14:02
    John Tavares won faceoff against Pavel Zacha in offensive zone
  63. P2 14:02
    Stoppage - Goalie Stopped (after SOG) - TV timeout
  64. P2 13:51
    SHOT
    Troy Stecher shot blocked by teammate
  65. P2 13:03
    SHOT
    Shot missed by Bo Groulx
  66. P2 12:40
    SHOT
    Shot missed by David Pastrnak
  67. P2 12:37
    Fraser Minten won faceoff against Bo Groulx in offensive zone
  68. P2 12:01
    SHOT
    Shot on goal by Troy Stecher saved by Jeremy Swayman
  69. P2 11:29
    Stoppage - Goalie Stopped (after SOG)
  70. P2 11:19
    Max Domi won faceoff against Mark Kastelic in defensive zone
  71. P2 10:28
    SHOT
    Lukas Reichel shot blocked by Oliver Ekman-Larsson
  72. P2 10:20
    John Tavares won faceoff against Bruins in neutral zone
  73. P2 10:09
    SHOT
    Shot on goal by John Tavares saved by Jeremy Swayman
  74. P2 09:47
    SHOT
    Power play - Hampus Lindholm shot blocked by teammate
  75. P2 09:12
    Power play - Fraser Minten won faceoff against Jacob Quillan in offensive zone
  76. P2 09:12
    Stoppage - Puck in Netting
  77. P2 08:58
    SHOT
    Power play - Shot missed by Lukas Reichel
  78. P2 08:48
    Stoppage - Hand Pass
  79. P2 07:52
    SHOT
    Power play - Shot missed by David Pastrnak
  80. P2 07:51
    Penalty to Jake McCabe 2 minutes for Interference
  81. P2 07:51
    Stoppage - TV timeout
  82. P2 07:34
    SHOT
    Power play - Mark Kastelic shot blocked by Oliver Ekman-Larsson
  83. P2 07:27
    Maple Leafs won faceoff against Bruins in neutral zone
  84. P2 06:08
    Shorthanded - Steven Lorentz won faceoff against Pavel Zacha in defensive zone
  85. P2 06:08
    Stoppage - Goalie Stopped (after SOG)
  86. P2 05:48
    Stoppage - Goalie Stopped (after SOG)
  87. P2 05:37
    Power play - Elias Lindholm won faceoff against Bo Groulx in offensive zone
  88. P2 05:37
    Penalty to Brandon Carlo 2 minutes for Misconduct (Drawn by Tanner Jeannot)
  89. P2 05:28
    Maple Leafs won faceoff against Bruins in neutral zone
  90. P2 04:36
    SHOT
    Power play - Elias Lindholm shot blocked by Troy Stecher
  91. P2 04:35
    SHOT
    Power play - Shot on goal by Morgan Geekie saved by Anthony Stolarz
  92. P2 04:20
    SHOT
    Power play - Shot on goal by Morgan Geekie saved by Anthony Stolarz
  93. P2 03:55
    Shorthanded - Jacob Quillan won faceoff against Elias Lindholm in offensive zone
  94. P2 03:55
    Stoppage - Icing
  95. P2 03:15
    Power play - Elias Lindholm won faceoff against Bo Groulx in offensive zone
  96. P2 03:13
    SHOT
    Fraser Minten shot blocked by Troy Stecher
  97. P2 02:36
    SHOT
    Shot on goal by Morgan Geekie saved by Anthony Stolarz
  98. P2 02:05
    SHOT
    Shot on goal by Nikita Zadorov saved by Anthony Stolarz
  99. P2 01:12
    SHOT
    Morgan Rielly shot blocked by Hampus Lindholm
  100. P2 00:36
    SHOT
    Shot missed by Marat Khusnutdinov
  101. P2 00:00
    Fraser Minten won faceoff against John Tavares in neutral zone
  102. P1 20:00
    End of 1st Period.
  103. P1 19:27
    John Tavares won faceoff against Elias Lindholm in defensive zone
  104. P1 19:26
    SHOT
    Shot missed by Elias Lindholm
  105. P1 17:14
    SHOT
    Shorthanded - Shot missed by Marat Khusnutdinov
  106. P1 16:39
    Maple Leafs won faceoff against Bruins in neutral zone
  107. P1 16:37
    SHOT
    Power play - Shot on goal by Oliver Ekman-Larsson saved by Jeremy Swayman
  108. P1 15:48
    SHOT
    Shorthanded - Shot missed by Sean Kuraly
  109. P1 15:26
    Dakota Joshua won faceoff against Mark Kastelic in offensive zone
  110. P1 14:48
    John Tavares won faceoff against Pavel Zacha in offensive zone
  111. P1 14:48
    Stoppage - Goalie Stopped (after SOG)
  112. P1 14:29
    John Tavares won faceoff against Casey Mittelstadt in neutral zone
  113. P1 11:37
    SHOT
    Shot missed by Casey Mittelstadt
  114. P1 10:57
    Max Domi won faceoff against Pavel Zacha in offensive zone
  115. P1 10:55
    SHOT
    Shot on goal by Max Domi saved by Jeremy Swayman
  116. P1 10:48
    Stoppage - Offside
  117. P1 09:59
    SHOT
    Shot missed by John Tavares
  118. P1 09:28
    SHOT
    Shot on goal by Mason Lohrei saved by Anthony Stolarz
  119. P1 08:49
    SHOT
    Shot missed by Jonathan Aspirot
  120. P1 07:53
    Sean Kuraly won faceoff against Max Domi in defensive zone
  121. P1 07:48
    SHOT
    Shot on goal by Steven Lorentz saved by Jeremy Swayman
  122. P1 07:00
    SHOT
    Power play - Shot on goal by David Pastrnak saved by Anthony Stolarz
  123. P1 06:16
    Shorthanded - Matthew Knies credited with hit on Elias Lindholm in neutral zone
  124. P1 06:03
    SHOT
    Shorthanded - Shot on goal by Brandon Carlo saved by Jeremy Swayman
  125. P1 05:35
    Penalty to Michael Pezzetta 2 minutes for Misconduct
  126. P1 05:35
    Stoppage - Hand Pass
  127. P1 04:55
    Easton Cowan credited with hit on Elias Lindholm in offensive zone
  128. P1 04:37
    John Tavares won faceoff against Elias Lindholm in offensive zone
  129. P1 04:07
    Elias Lindholm won faceoff against Bo Groulx in neutral zone
  130. P1 04:07
    Stoppage - High Stick
  131. P1 03:52
    Stoppage - Puck Frozen
  132. P1 03:48
    SHOT
    Viktor Arvidsson shot blocked by Morgan Rielly
  133. P1 02:55
    SHOT
    Shot missed by Marat Khusnutdinov
  134. P1 02:03
    Nikita Zadorov credited with hit on Jacob Quillan in defensive zone
  135. P1 01:46
    Michael Pezzetta credited with hit on Henri Jokiharju in defensive zone
  136. P1 01:43
    Elias Lindholm won faceoff against Jacob Quillan in offensive zone
  137. P1 01:30
    Elias Lindholm credited with hit on Troy Stecher in offensive zone
  138. P1 00:52
    Giveaway by Pavel Zacha in offensive zone
  139. P1 00:35
    SHOT
    Shot on goal by Morgan Rielly saved by Jeremy Swayman
  140. P1 00:00
    John Tavares won faceoff against Fraser Minten in neutral zone
Stats
Maple Leafs
STATS
Bruins
35Shots on Goal20
35% Faceoff Win % 65%
4/2 PP Opportunities/PP Goals 5/1
17Penalty Infraction Mins16
22Hits16
8 Shots Blocked 6
12Giveaways28
Maple LeafsTOR
BruinsBOS
35Shots on Goal20
35% Faceoff Win % 65%
4/2 PP Opportunities/PP Goals 5/1
17Penalty Infraction Mins16
22Hits16
8 Shots Blocked 6
12Giveaways28

Maple Leafs vs. Bruins: Detailed Breakdown

Matchup Overview

  • Teams: Maple Leafs vs. Bruins
  • Date: Tuesday, March 24, 2026
  • Time: 7:00 PM ET
  • Venue: TD Garden

Current Betting Odds

  • Spread: Bruins favored at -1.5
  • Total (Over/Under): 6.5
  • Moneyline Odds: Maple Leafs +178, Bruins 64¢

Dimers' Win Probabilities

  • Maple Leafs: 39%
  • Bruins: 61%

Dimers' predictive model, renowned for its accuracy, assesses each team's chances by simulating the outcome of the game 10,000 times. This method provides a precise and unbiased view.

Our Prediction: Who Wins?

After extensive simulations, our model gives the Maple Leafs a win probability of 39%, while the Bruins have a win probability of 61%. Discover the best spread, over/under, and moneyline odds for the game on this page.

Summary

According to our analysis, the Bruins are more likely to beat the Maple Leafs in the NHL game at TD Garden on Tuesday. Discover the best spread, over/under and moneyline odds, picks and probabilities for the game on this page.

Our Maple Leafs vs. Bruins predictions, based on sophisticated simulations and current data, guide you in making informed decisions. Remember to bet responsibly and within your financial limits.

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