Hurricanes vs. Maple Leafs Prediction, Picks and Odds

Our detailed prediction and analysis for the Hurricanes vs. Maple Leafs NHL game on March 20, 2026 is featured below. Drawing from 10,000 game simulations, we provide expert picks, betting odds, and insights.
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FINAL
NHL
FINAL
NHL sport icon
NHL
Hurricanes
4
3
Scotiabank Arena
Maple Leafs
Scotiabank Arena
TEAM123OTT
Hurricanes
0 3 0 1 4
Maple Leafs
1 1 1 0 3
Live Probabilities
Win %
  • Hurricanes
    100%
  • Maple Leafs
    0%
Win Probability
TEAM123OTT
Hurricanes
0 3 0 1 4
Maple Leafs
1 1 1 0 3
OT1 00:41 Goal scored by Alexander Nikishin
P3 19:47 Shot on goal by Sebastian Aho saved by Joseph Woll
P3 19:11 Steven Lorentz shot blocked by Jordan Staal
P3 18:12 Shot missed by Jackson Blake
P3 17:43 Shot on goal by Taylor Hall saved by Joseph Woll
P3 16:14 Nicholas Robertson shot blocked by teammate
P3 15:05 Shot missed by Jackson Blake
P3 14:25 Shot missed by Troy Stecher
P3 13:40 Shot on goal by Max Domi saved by Brandon Bussi
P3 13:24 Shot missed by William Nylander
P3 12:31 Nikolaj Ehlers shot blocked by Morgan Rielly
P3 11:44 Power play - Jackson Blake shot blocked by Simon Benoit
P3 11:27 Power play - Shot missed by Taylor Hall
P3 10:48 Power play - Seth Jarvis shot blocked by Jake McCabe
P3 10:17 Power play - Shot missed by Seth Jarvis
P3 09:16 Shot on goal by William Nylander saved by Brandon Bussi
P3 09:05 Shot on goal by Matthew Knies saved by Brandon Bussi
P3 08:29 Shot on goal by Seth Jarvis saved by Joseph Woll
P3 07:44 Shot on goal by Nikolaj Ehlers saved by Joseph Woll
P3 06:16 Shot missed by Logan Stankoven
Play by Play
  1. OT1 05:00
    End of 1st OT.
  2. OT1 05:00
    End of 1st OT.
  3. OT1 00:41
    Hurricanes won faceoff against Maple Leafs in neutral zone
  4. OT1 00:41
    GOAL
    Goal scored by Alexander Nikishin
    4-3
  5. OT1 00:00
    Jordan Staal won faceoff against John Tavares in neutral zone
  6. P3 20:00
    End of 3rd Period.
  7. P3 19:47
    SHOT
    Shot on goal by Sebastian Aho saved by Joseph Woll
  8. P3 19:11
    SHOT
    Steven Lorentz shot blocked by Jordan Staal
  9. P3 18:53
    Stoppage - Icing
  10. P3 18:47
    Stoppage - Icing
  11. P3 18:12
    SHOT
    Shot missed by Jackson Blake
  12. P3 17:43
    SHOT
    Shot on goal by Taylor Hall saved by Joseph Woll
  13. P3 16:14
    SHOT
    Nicholas Robertson shot blocked by teammate
  14. P3 15:05
    SHOT
    Shot missed by Jackson Blake
  15. P3 14:49
    Takeaway by Jacob Quillan in offensive zone
  16. P3 14:25
    SHOT
    Shot missed by Troy Stecher
  17. P3 14:16
    William Carrier credited with hit on Simon Benoit in offensive zone
  18. P3 13:50
    Mark Jankowski won faceoff against Max Domi in neutral zone
  19. P3 13:40
    SHOT
    Shot on goal by Max Domi saved by Brandon Bussi
  20. P3 13:24
    SHOT
    Shot missed by William Nylander
  21. P3 12:55
    Hurricanes won faceoff against John Tavares in defensive zone
  22. P3 12:31
    SHOT
    Nikolaj Ehlers shot blocked by Morgan Rielly
  23. P3 11:44
    SHOT
    Power play - Jackson Blake shot blocked by Simon Benoit
  24. P3 11:27
    SHOT
    Power play - Shot missed by Taylor Hall
  25. P3 10:58
    Power play - Mark Jankowski won faceoff against Matthew Knies in defensive zone
  26. P3 10:58
    Stoppage - Puck in Netting
  27. P3 10:48
    SHOT
    Power play - Seth Jarvis shot blocked by Jake McCabe
  28. P3 10:17
    SHOT
    Power play - Shot missed by Seth Jarvis
  29. P3 10:15
    Stoppage - Puck in Crowd
  30. P3 10:10
    Penalty to Easton Cowan 2 minutes for Tripping (Drawn by Sean Walker)
  31. P3 09:46
    John Tavares credited with hit on K'Andre Miller in offensive zone
  32. P3 09:16
    SHOT
    Shot on goal by William Nylander saved by Brandon Bussi
  33. P3 09:13
    Hurricanes won faceoff against Maple Leafs in neutral zone
  34. P3 09:05
    SHOT
    Shot on goal by Matthew Knies saved by Brandon Bussi
  35. P3 08:42
    Jalen Chatfield won faceoff against Maple Leafs in defensive zone
  36. P3 08:42
    Stoppage - Puck in Netting - TV timeout
  37. P3 08:29
    SHOT
    Shot on goal by Seth Jarvis saved by Joseph Woll
  38. P3 07:44
    SHOT
    Shot on goal by Nikolaj Ehlers saved by Joseph Woll
  39. P3 07:32
    Jordan Staal won faceoff against Jacob Quillan in offensive zone
  40. P3 06:58
    Giveaway by Calle Jarnkrok in neutral zone
  41. P3 06:16
    SHOT
    Shot missed by Logan Stankoven
  42. P3 06:15
    SHOT
    Jaccob Slavin shot blocked by Nicholas Robertson
  43. P3 05:54
    Stoppage - Icing
  44. P3 05:23
    SHOT
    Morgan Rielly shot blocked by Andrei Svechnikov
  45. P3 05:08
    SHOT
    Andrei Svechnikov shot blocked by Morgan Rielly
  46. P3 04:38
    SHOT
    Seth Jarvis shot blocked by teammate
  47. P3 03:25
    Eric Robinson credited with hit on Morgan Rielly in offensive zone
  48. P3 02:55
    Jacob Quillan won faceoff against Mark Jankowski in neutral zone
  49. P3 02:22
    SHOT
    Shot on goal by John Tavares saved by Brandon Bussi
  50. P3 02:07
    Stoppage - Offside
  51. P3 01:13
    SHOT
    Sebastian Aho shot blocked by teammate
  52. P3 00:58
    SHOT
    Shot on goal by Jordan Staal saved by Joseph Woll
  53. P3 00:00
    Jordan Staal won faceoff against Bo Groulx in neutral zone
  54. P2 20:00
    End of 2nd Period.
  55. P2 18:57
    SHOT
    Sean Walker shot blocked by Steven Lorentz
  56. P2 18:40
    Jacob Quillan won faceoff against Mark Jankowski in neutral zone
  57. P2 18:28
    Mark Jankowski won faceoff against Jacob Quillan in defensive zone
  58. P2 18:26
    SHOT
    Shot on goal by Easton Cowan saved by Brandon Bussi
  59. P2 17:40
    Power play - Max Domi won faceoff against Jordan Staal in neutral zone
  60. P2 17:39
    SHOT
    Shorthanded - Shot missed by K'Andre Miller
  61. P2 17:05
    SHOT
    Power play - Shot on goal by Morgan Rielly saved by Brandon Bussi
  62. P2 16:14
    Shorthanded - Jordan Staal won faceoff against John Tavares in defensive zone
  63. P2 16:14
    Penalty to Sean Walker 2 minutes for Misconduct
  64. P2 15:16
    Mark Jankowski credited with hit on Brandon Carlo in offensive zone
  65. P2 15:04
    SHOT
    John Tavares shot blocked by Jalen Chatfield
  66. P2 15:02
    K'Andre Miller won faceoff against Maple Leafs in defensive zone
  67. P2 15:02
    Stoppage - Goalie Stopped (after SOG) - TV timeout
  68. P2 14:22
    Nikolaj Ehlers credited with hit on Brandon Carlo in offensive zone
  69. P2 13:47
    Jacob Quillan won faceoff against Jordan Staal in neutral zone
  70. P2 13:34
    SHOT
    Shot missed by John Tavares
  71. P2 13:24
    Hurricanes won faceoff against Maple Leafs in neutral zone
  72. P2 13:04
    SHOT
    Shot missed by Jackson Blake
  73. P2 12:35
    Hurricanes won faceoff against Maple Leafs in neutral zone
  74. P2 11:41
    Stoppage - Goalie Stopped (after SOG)
  75. P2 11:23
    Easton Cowan credited with hit on Jaccob Slavin in offensive zone
  76. P2 10:33
    John Tavares won faceoff against Jordan Staal in offensive zone
  77. P2 10:31
    SHOT
    Shot on goal by Brandon Carlo saved by Brandon Bussi
  78. P2 10:19
    Hurricanes won faceoff against Maple Leafs in neutral zone
  79. P2 10:19
    Stoppage - Puck in Netting - TV timeout
  80. P2 09:33
    SHOT
    Shot missed by Seth Jarvis
  81. P2 09:29
    Sebastian Aho won faceoff against Jacob Quillan in offensive zone
  82. P2 09:29
    Stoppage - Goalie Stopped (after SOG)
  83. P2 08:24
    Giveaway by Bo Groulx in offensive zone
  84. P2 08:17
    SHOT
    Shot on goal by Bo Groulx saved by Brandon Bussi
  85. P2 08:04
    Jordan Staal won faceoff against Bo Groulx in offensive zone
  86. P2 08:02
    SHOT
    Shot on goal by Jordan Staal saved by Joseph Woll
  87. P2 07:23
    SHOT
    Taylor Hall shot blocked by Simon Benoit
  88. P2 06:48
    SHOT
    Shot missed by Max Domi
  89. P2 05:57
    John Tavares won faceoff against Mark Jankowski in neutral zone
  90. P2 05:57
    SHOT
    Power play - Shot on goal by Hurricanes saved by Joseph Woll
  91. P2 05:30
    Shorthanded - Troy Stecher credited with hit on Seth Jarvis in defensive zone
  92. P2 05:21
    SHOT
    Power play - Shot on goal by Alexander Nikishin saved by Joseph Woll
  93. P2 05:21
    SHOT
    Power play - Shot missed by Jordan Staal
  94. P2 05:02
    Power play - Jordan Staal won faceoff against Bo Groulx in offensive zone
  95. P2 05:00
    SHOT
    Power play - Shot on goal by Sean Walker saved by Joseph Woll
  96. P2 04:13
    SHOT
    Power play - Shot on goal by Taylor Hall saved by Joseph Woll
  97. P2 03:23
    SHOT
    Power play - K'Andre Miller shot blocked by Morgan Rielly
  98. P2 03:02
    Power play - Giveaway by Alexander Nikishin in offensive zone
  99. P2 02:21
    Shorthanded - Matthew Knies won faceoff against Sebastian Aho in neutral zone
  100. P2 02:06
    SHOT
    Shorthanded - Shot on goal by Troy Stecher saved by Brandon Bussi
  101. P2 02:04
    Hurricanes won faceoff against Maple Leafs in neutral zone
  102. P2 02:00
    SHOT
    Power play - Shot on goal by Alexander Nikishin saved by Joseph Woll
  103. P2 01:57
    Hurricanes won faceoff against Maple Leafs in neutral zone
  104. P2 01:39
    Mark Jankowski won faceoff against John Tavares in neutral zone
  105. P2 01:09
    Stoppage - Puck in Netting
  106. P2 00:51
    SHOT
    Nikolaj Ehlers shot blocked by Simon Benoit
  107. P2 00:24
    Giveaway by Brandon Bussi in defensive zone
  108. P2 00:11
    Giveaway by Bo Groulx in defensive zone
  109. P2 00:00
    Jordan Staal won faceoff against Bo Groulx in neutral zone
  110. P1 20:00
    End of 1st Period.
  111. P1 19:50
    Jordan Staal won faceoff against John Tavares in offensive zone
  112. P1 19:48
    SHOT
    Shot on goal by Mike Reilly saved by Joseph Woll
  113. P1 18:51
    SHOT
    Shot missed by Seth Jarvis
  114. P1 18:40
    SHOT
    Shot on goal by Seth Jarvis saved by Joseph Woll
  115. P1 17:57
    SHOT
    Sean Walker shot blocked by Morgan Rielly
  116. P1 17:46
    Jacob Quillan credited with hit on K'Andre Miller in defensive zone
  117. P1 17:43
    Mark Jankowski won faceoff against Calle Jarnkrok in offensive zone
  118. P1 17:40
    SHOT
    Shot missed by Jackson Blake
  119. P1 16:59
    Logan Stankoven won faceoff against Dakota Joshua in defensive zone
  120. P1 16:59
    Stoppage - Puck Frozen
  121. P1 15:30
    SHOT
    Shot missed by Jaccob Slavin
  122. P1 15:00
    SHOT
    Shot on goal by Jalen Chatfield saved by Joseph Woll
  123. P1 14:39
    Penalty to Alexander Nikishin 2 minutes for Slashing (Drawn by Steven Lorentz)
  124. P1 14:16
    Hurricanes won faceoff against Maple Leafs in neutral zone
  125. P1 13:48
    John Tavares won faceoff against Jordan Martinook in defensive zone
  126. P1 12:42
    SHOT
    Sean Walker shot blocked by Jacob Quillan
  127. P1 12:02
    Hurricanes won faceoff against Maple Leafs in neutral zone
  128. P1 12:02
    Stoppage - Puck in Netting - TV timeout
  129. P1 11:47
    GOAL
    Goal scored by Dakota Joshua
    0-1
  130. P1 11:12
    SHOT
    Shot on goal by Taylor Hall saved by Joseph Woll
  131. P1 09:39
    SHOT
    Morgan Rielly shot blocked by Sean Walker
  132. P1 09:38
    SHOT
    Morgan Rielly shot blocked by Sean Walker
  133. P1 09:06
    SHOT
    Jake McCabe shot blocked by Jaccob Slavin
  134. P1 07:43
    Bo Groulx won faceoff against Logan Stankoven in offensive zone
  135. P1 07:19
    SHOT
    Shot on goal by Jackson Blake saved by Joseph Woll
  136. P1 07:05
    SHOT
    Shot missed by Easton Cowan
  137. P1 07:04
    SHOT
    Nicholas Robertson shot blocked by Sean Walker
  138. P1 06:03
    Seth Jarvis won faceoff against Max Domi in neutral zone
  139. P1 05:55
    Sebastian Aho won faceoff against Max Domi in defensive zone
  140. P1 05:39
    Max Domi won faceoff against Jordan Staal in offensive zone
  141. P1 05:38
    SHOT
    Shot on goal by Troy Stecher saved by Brandon Bussi
  142. P1 05:01
    Shorthanded - Takeaway by Calle Jarnkrok in defensive zone
  143. P1 04:42
    SHOT
    Power play - Shot missed by Jackson Blake
  144. P1 03:07
    Power play - Jordan Staal won faceoff against Calle Jarnkrok in offensive zone
  145. P1 03:07
    Penalty to Oliver Ekman-Larsson 2 minutes for Tripping
  146. P1 02:44
    Bo Groulx won faceoff against Jordan Staal in neutral zone
  147. P1 02:32
    SHOT
    William Carrier shot blocked by Troy Stecher
  148. P1 00:08
    Bo Groulx credited with hit on Sean Walker in offensive zone
  149. P1 00:00
    Bo Groulx won faceoff against Jordan Staal in neutral zone
Stats
Hurricanes
STATS
Maple Leafs
36Shots on Goal26
48% Faceoff Win % 52%
5/1 PP Opportunities/PP Goals 2/0
4Penalty Infraction Mins10
20Hits21
11 Shots Blocked 21
10Giveaways14
HurricanesCAR
Maple LeafsTOR
36Shots on Goal26
48% Faceoff Win % 52%
5/1 PP Opportunities/PP Goals 2/0
4Penalty Infraction Mins10
20Hits21
11 Shots Blocked 21
10Giveaways14

Hurricanes vs. Maple Leafs: Detailed Breakdown

Matchup Overview

  • Teams: Hurricanes vs. Maple Leafs
  • Date: Friday, March 20, 2026
  • Time: 7:00 PM ET
  • Venue: Scotiabank Arena

Current Betting Odds

  • Spread: Hurricanes favored at -1.5
  • Total (Over/Under): 6.5
  • Moneyline Odds: Hurricanes 65¢, Maple Leafs +200

Dimers' Win Probabilities

  • Hurricanes: 62%
  • Maple Leafs: 38%

Dimers' predictive model, renowned for its accuracy, assesses each team's chances by simulating the outcome of the game 10,000 times. This method provides a precise and unbiased view.

Our Prediction: Who Wins?

After extensive simulations, our model gives the Hurricanes a win probability of 62%, while the Maple Leafs have a win probability of 38%. Discover the best spread, over/under, and moneyline odds for the game on this page.

Summary

According to our analysis, the Hurricanes are more likely to beat the Maple Leafs in the NHL game at Scotiabank Arena on Friday. Discover the best spread, over/under and moneyline odds, picks and probabilities for the game on this page.

Our Hurricanes vs. Maple Leafs predictions, based on sophisticated simulations and current data, guide you in making informed decisions. Remember to bet responsibly and within your financial limits.

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