Senators vs. Kraken Prediction, Picks and Odds

Our detailed prediction and analysis for the Senators vs. Kraken NHL game on March 7, 2026 is featured below. Drawing from 10,000 game simulations, we provide expert picks, betting odds, and insights.
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FINAL
NHL
FINAL
NHL sport icon
NHL
Senators
7
4
Climate Pledge Arena
Kraken
Climate Pledge Arena
TEAM123T
Senators
2 2 3 7
Kraken
1 1 2 4
Live Probabilities
Win %
  • Senators
    100%
  • Kraken
    0%
Win Probability
TEAM123T
Senators
2 2 3 7
Kraken
1 1 2 4
P3 18:48 Shot missed by Eeli Tolvanen
P3 17:25 Power play - Brandon Montour shot blocked by Thomas Chabot
P3 16:06 Shot missed by Eeli Tolvanen
P3 14:16 Shot on goal by Lars Eller saved by Joey Daccord
P3 14:11 Warren Foegele shot blocked by Cale Fleury
P3 14:08 Thomas Chabot shot blocked by Cale Fleury
P3 13:22 Shot on goal by Ridly Greig saved by Joey Daccord
P3 12:44 Shot on goal by Berkly Catton saved by Linus Ullmark
P3 10:16 Goal scored by Matty Beniers assisted by Cale Fleury and Jordan Eberle
P3 09:05 Shot missed by Jamie Oleksiak
P3 07:24 Goal scored by Brady Tkachuk assisted by Thomas Chabot
P3 07:23 Shot on goal by Brady Tkachuk saved by Joey Daccord
P3 05:05 Power play - Shot missed by Jordan Eberle
P3 04:09 Cale Fleury shot blocked by Nick Cousins
P3 03:58 Goal scored by Tim Stutzle assisted by Drake Batherson
P3 03:28 Eeli Tolvanen shot blocked by teammate
P3 03:23 Eeli Tolvanen shot blocked by Artem Zub
P3 01:50 Shot missed by Michael Amadio
P3 01:39 Shot on goal by Ryker Evans saved by Linus Ullmark
P3 01:20 Adam Larsson shot blocked by Tyler Kleven
Play by Play
  1. P3 20:00
    End of 3rd Period.
  2. P3 20:00
    End of 3rd Period.
  3. P3 18:48
    SHOT
    Shot missed by Eeli Tolvanen
  4. P3 17:45
    Shane Wright won faceoff against Shane Pinto in neutral zone
  5. P3 17:27
    Stoppage - Puck in Netting
  6. P3 17:25
    SHOT
    Power play - Brandon Montour shot blocked by Thomas Chabot
  7. P3 16:58
    Power play - Matty Beniers won faceoff against Shane Pinto in offensive zone
  8. P3 16:58
    Penalty to Lars Eller 2 minutes for Hooking (Drawn by Berkly Catton)
  9. P3 16:35
    Shorthanded - Lars Eller won faceoff against Shane Wright in defensive zone
  10. P3 16:35
    Penalty to Tyler Kleven 2 minutes for Misconduct
  11. P3 16:06
    SHOT
    Shot missed by Eeli Tolvanen
  12. P3 14:16
    SHOT
    Shot on goal by Lars Eller saved by Joey Daccord
  13. P3 14:11
    SHOT
    Warren Foegele shot blocked by Cale Fleury
  14. P3 14:10
    Lars Eller won faceoff against Ben Meyers in offensive zone
  15. P3 14:10
    Stoppage - Puck in Netting
  16. P3 14:08
    SHOT
    Thomas Chabot shot blocked by Cale Fleury
  17. P3 13:24
    Shane Pinto won faceoff against Ben Meyers in offensive zone
  18. P3 13:24
    Stoppage - Goalie Stopped (after SOG)
  19. P3 13:22
    SHOT
    Shot on goal by Ridly Greig saved by Joey Daccord
  20. P3 12:44
    SHOT
    Shot on goal by Berkly Catton saved by Linus Ullmark
  21. P3 12:28
    Tim Stutzle won faceoff against Chandler Stephenson in neutral zone
  22. P3 11:42
    Nick Jensen credited with hit on Jamie Oleksiak in defensive zone
  23. P3 11:36
    Fabian Zetterlund credited with hit on Ben Meyers in offensive zone
  24. P3 10:23
    Senators won faceoff against Kraken in neutral zone
  25. P3 10:23
    Stoppage - Goalie Stopped (after SOG) - TV timeout
  26. P3 10:16
    GOAL
    Goal scored by Matty Beniers assisted by Cale Fleury and Jordan Eberle
    7-3
  27. P3 09:05
    SHOT
    Shot missed by Jamie Oleksiak
  28. P3 07:32
    Lars Eller won faceoff against Shane Wright in neutral zone
  29. P3 07:24
    Shane Pinto won faceoff against Matty Beniers in neutral zone
  30. P3 07:24
    GOAL
    Goal scored by Brady Tkachuk assisted by Thomas Chabot
    7-2
  31. P3 07:23
    SHOT
    Shot on goal by Brady Tkachuk saved by Joey Daccord
  32. P3 05:46
    Shorthanded - Lars Eller credited with hit on Brandon Montour in offensive zone
  33. P3 05:07
    Stoppage - Puck in Netting
  34. P3 05:05
    SHOT
    Power play - Shot missed by Jordan Eberle
  35. P3 04:50
    Penalty to Shane Pinto 2 minutes for Holding Stick (Drawn by Ryker Evans)
  36. P3 04:17
    Tyler Kleven credited with hit on Ryan Winterton in defensive zone
  37. P3 04:09
    SHOT
    Cale Fleury shot blocked by Nick Cousins
  38. P3 03:58
    Senators won faceoff against Kraken in neutral zone
  39. P3 03:58
    GOAL
    Goal scored by Tim Stutzle assisted by Drake Batherson
    6-2
  40. P3 03:43
    Senators won faceoff against Kraken in neutral zone
  41. P3 03:28
    SHOT
    Eeli Tolvanen shot blocked by teammate
  42. P3 03:23
    SHOT
    Eeli Tolvanen shot blocked by Artem Zub
  43. P3 02:42
    Dylan Cozens won faceoff against Chandler Stephenson in neutral zone
  44. P3 01:50
    SHOT
    Shot missed by Michael Amadio
  45. P3 01:39
    SHOT
    Shot on goal by Ryker Evans saved by Linus Ullmark
  46. P3 01:20
    SHOT
    Adam Larsson shot blocked by Tyler Kleven
  47. P3 00:57
    Jared McCann credited with hit on Tyler Kleven in offensive zone
  48. P3 00:37
    SHOT
    Shot on goal by Drake Batherson saved by Joey Daccord
  49. P3 00:36
    Tim Stutzle won faceoff against Matty Beniers in offensive zone
  50. P3 00:00
    Chandler Stephenson won faceoff against Dylan Cozens in neutral zone
  51. P2 20:00
    End of 2nd Period.
  52. P2 19:26
    SHOT
    Shot on goal by Dylan Cozens saved by Joey Daccord
  53. P2 19:14
    Chandler Stephenson won faceoff against Brady Tkachuk in defensive zone
  54. P2 17:41
    Michael Amadio credited with hit on Cale Fleury in offensive zone
  55. P2 17:28
    Shane Pinto won faceoff against Berkly Catton in defensive zone
  56. P2 17:15
    SHOT
    Shot missed by Ridly Greig
  57. P2 16:38
    SHOT
    Shot missed by Brandon Montour
  58. P2 16:03
    SHOT
    Chandler Stephenson shot blocked by Nick Jensen
  59. P2 15:26
    SHOT
    Nick Jensen shot blocked by Vince Dunn
  60. P2 15:23
    Claude Giroux won faceoff against Chandler Stephenson in offensive zone
  61. P2 15:00
    Lars Eller won faceoff against Chandler Stephenson in neutral zone
  62. P2 14:50
    SHOT
    Shot missed by Ryker Evans
  63. P2 14:17
    Dylan Cozens credited with hit on Matty Beniers in offensive zone
  64. P2 13:55
    SHOT
    Shot missed by Jake Sanderson
  65. P2 13:33
    Matty Beniers won faceoff against Brady Tkachuk in defensive zone
  66. P2 13:33
    Stoppage - Goalie Stopped (after SOG)
  67. P2 13:29
    Stoppage - Puck in Netting
  68. P2 13:27
    SHOT
    Shot missed by Drake Batherson
  69. P2 11:42
    Shane Wright won faceoff against Shane Pinto in neutral zone
  70. P2 11:42
    Stoppage - Hand Pass - TV timeout
  71. P2 10:35
    SHOT
    Shot missed by Artem Zub
  72. P2 10:20
    SHOT
    Artem Zub shot blocked by Matty Beniers
  73. P2 10:09
    Tim Stutzle won faceoff against Matty Beniers in neutral zone
  74. P2 09:49
    Ben Meyers won faceoff against Shane Pinto in defensive zone
  75. P2 09:23
    Warren Foegele credited with hit on Ryker Evans in offensive zone
  76. P2 09:10
    Lars Eller won faceoff against Chandler Stephenson in offensive zone
  77. P2 09:10
    Stoppage - Goalie Stopped (after SOG)
  78. P2 08:45
    SHOT
    Brandon Montour shot blocked by Brady Tkachuk
  79. P2 07:55
    SHOT
    Shot missed by Jamie Oleksiak
  80. P2 07:36
    Shane Pinto won faceoff against Matty Beniers in offensive zone
  81. P2 06:22
    Tim Stutzle won faceoff against Ben Meyers in offensive zone
  82. P2 06:21
    Tim Stutzle won faceoff against Ben Meyers in offensive zone
  83. P2 06:21
    Senators won faceoff against Kraken in neutral zone
  84. P2 05:54
    Lars Eller won faceoff against Matty Beniers in offensive zone
  85. P2 05:48
    Lars Eller won faceoff against Shane Wright in offensive zone
  86. P2 05:34
    SHOT
    Shot on goal by Ryan Winterton saved by Linus Ullmark
  87. P2 05:00
    SHOT
    Power play - Claude Giroux shot blocked by teammate
  88. P2 04:52
    Stoppage - Puck in Netting
  89. P2 04:26
    SHOT
    Power play - Dylan Cozens shot blocked by Jamie Oleksiak
  90. P2 03:54
    SHOT
    Power play - Brady Tkachuk shot blocked by Jamie Oleksiak
  91. P2 03:33
    Power play - Brady Tkachuk won faceoff against Chandler Stephenson in offensive zone
  92. P2 02:54
    Senators won faceoff against Kraken in defensive zone
  93. P2 01:33
    GOAL
    Goal scored by Shane Pinto assisted by Nick Cousins
    3-1
  94. P2 00:40
    Dylan Cozens credited with hit on Ryan Winterton in neutral zone
  95. P2 00:36
    SHOT
    Shot on goal by Ridly Greig saved by Joey Daccord
  96. P2 00:07
    Ridly Greig won faceoff against Chandler Stephenson in neutral zone
  97. P1 20:00
    End of 1st Period.
  98. P1 19:19
    Ben Meyers won faceoff against Lars Eller in neutral zone
  99. P1 19:00
    Shane Pinto won faceoff against Chandler Stephenson in neutral zone
  100. P1 18:38
    SHOT
    Shot on goal by Drake Batherson saved by Joey Daccord
  101. P1 18:36
    SHOT
    Shot missed by Jake Sanderson
  102. P1 16:52
    Shorthanded - Jaden Schwartz credited with hit on Drake Batherson in defensive zone
  103. P1 16:20
    Jared McCann credited with hit on Jordan Spence in offensive zone
  104. P1 15:55
    Tim Stutzle won faceoff against Matty Beniers in neutral zone
  105. P1 15:43
    Stoppage - Goalie Stopped (after SOG)
  106. P1 15:40
    SHOT
    Shot on goal by Drake Batherson saved by Joey Daccord
  107. P1 15:28
    SHOT
    Dylan Cozens shot blocked by Chandler Stephenson
  108. P1 15:18
    Chandler Stephenson won faceoff against Dylan Cozens in defensive zone
  109. P1 15:18
    Stoppage - Goalie Stopped (after SOG) - TV timeout
  110. P1 14:55
    Brady Tkachuk won faceoff against Matty Beniers in offensive zone
  111. P1 14:55
    Penalty to Jordan Eberle 2 minutes for Misconduct
  112. P1 14:51
    Penalty to Shane Pinto 2 minutes for Cross Checking
  113. P1 14:51
    Senators won faceoff against Kraken in neutral zone
  114. P1 14:16
    Chandler Stephenson won faceoff against Tim Stutzle in defensive zone
  115. P1 14:16
    Stoppage - Icing
  116. P1 14:01
    Senators won faceoff against Kraken in neutral zone
  117. P1 14:01
    Stoppage - Puck in Netting - TV timeout
  118. P1 13:35
    Senators won faceoff against Kraken in neutral zone
  119. P1 13:35
    GOAL
    Goal scored by Dylan Cozens assisted by Thomas Chabot and Nick Jensen
    2-1
  120. P1 12:51
    SHOT
    Shot missed by Drake Batherson
  121. P1 11:46
    SHOT
    Shot on goal by Kaapo Kakko saved by Linus Ullmark
  122. P1 11:14
    SHOT
    Shot on goal by Brandon Montour saved by Linus Ullmark
  123. P1 11:10
    Stoppage - Icing
  124. P1 10:19
    SHOT
    Thomas Chabot shot blocked by Jordan Eberle
  125. P1 09:44
    SHOT
    Eeli Tolvanen shot blocked by Jake Sanderson
  126. P1 09:19
    Senators won faceoff against Kraken in neutral zone
  127. P1 09:19
    GOAL
    Goal scored by Tyler Kleven assisted by Shane Pinto and Michael Amadio
    1-1
  128. P1 08:46
    Shane Pinto won faceoff against Shane Wright in neutral zone
  129. P1 08:45
    GOAL
    Goal scored by Jacob Melanson assisted by Ben Meyers and Ryan Winterton
    0-1
  130. P1 07:06
    Matty Beniers won faceoff against Lars Eller in offensive zone
  131. P1 07:06
    Stoppage - Icing
  132. P1 07:00
    Lars Eller won faceoff against Berkly Catton in defensive zone
  133. P1 07:00
    Stoppage - Goalie Stopped (after SOG) - TV timeout
  134. P1 05:14
    SHOT
    Shot missed by Berkly Catton
  135. P1 04:50
    SHOT
    Shot on goal by Ridly Greig saved by Joey Daccord
  136. P1 04:00
    Brady Tkachuk won faceoff against Chandler Stephenson in offensive zone
  137. P1 04:00
    Stoppage - Goalie Stopped (after SOG)
  138. P1 03:58
    SHOT
    Shot missed by Thomas Chabot
  139. P1 03:34
    Senators won faceoff against Kraken in neutral zone
  140. P1 03:09
    SHOT
    Shot on goal by Michael Amadio saved by Joey Daccord
  141. P1 02:18
    Ben Meyers won faceoff against Lars Eller in neutral zone
  142. P1 02:09
    Brandon Montour credited with hit on Dylan Cozens in defensive zone
  143. P1 01:58
    SHOT
    Eeli Tolvanen shot blocked by teammate
  144. P1 01:55
    Chandler Stephenson won faceoff against Dylan Cozens in offensive zone
  145. P1 00:53
    Cale Fleury credited with hit on Shane Pinto in defensive zone
  146. P1 00:45
    Matty Beniers credited with hit on Jake Sanderson in offensive zone
  147. P1 00:09
    SHOT
    Shot on goal by Brady Tkachuk saved by Joey Daccord
  148. P1 00:00
    Dylan Cozens won faceoff against Chandler Stephenson in neutral zone
Stats
Senators
STATS
Kraken
36Shots on Goal21
59% Faceoff Win % 41%
2/0 PP Opportunities/PP Goals 5/1
23Penalty Infraction Mins6
26Hits28
8 Shots Blocked 18
10Giveaways16
SenatorsOTT
KrakenSEA
36Shots on Goal21
59% Faceoff Win % 41%
2/0 PP Opportunities/PP Goals 5/1
23Penalty Infraction Mins6
26Hits28
8 Shots Blocked 18
10Giveaways16

Senators vs. Kraken: Detailed Breakdown

Matchup Overview

  • Teams: Senators vs. Kraken
  • Date: Saturday, March 7, 2026
  • Time: 10:00 PM ET
  • Venue: Climate Pledge Arena

Current Betting Odds

  • Spread: Senators favored at -1.5
  • Total (Over/Under): 5.5
  • Moneyline Odds: Senators -160, Kraken +140

Dimers' Win Probabilities

  • Senators: 56%
  • Kraken: 44%

Dimers' predictive model, renowned for its accuracy, assesses each team's chances by simulating the outcome of the game 10,000 times. This method provides a precise and unbiased view.

Our Prediction: Who Wins?

After extensive simulations, our model gives the Senators a win probability of 56%, while the Kraken have a win probability of 44%. Discover the best spread, over/under, and moneyline odds for the game on this page.

Summary

According to our analysis, the Senators are more likely to beat the Kraken in the NHL game at Climate Pledge Arena on Sunday. Discover the best spread, over/under and moneyline odds, picks and probabilities for the game on this page.

Our Senators vs. Kraken predictions, based on sophisticated simulations and current data, guide you in making informed decisions. Remember to bet responsibly and within your financial limits.

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