Sabres vs. Maple Leafs Prediction, Picks and Odds

Our detailed prediction and analysis for the Sabres vs. Maple Leafs NHL game on January 27, 2026 is featured below. Drawing from 10,000 game simulations, we provide expert picks, betting odds, and insights.
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NHL
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NHL
Sabres
7
4
Scotiabank Arena
Maple Leafs
Scotiabank Arena
TEAM123T
Sabres
3 1 3 7
Maple Leafs
2 1 1 4
Live Probabilities
Win %
  • Sabres
    100%
  • Maple Leafs
    0%
Win Probability
TEAM123T
Sabres
3 1 3 7
Maple Leafs
2 1 1 4
P3 19:51 Shot missed by Calle Jarnkrok
P3 19:25 Simon Benoit shot blocked by Peyton Krebs
P3 18:23 John Tavares shot blocked by Mattias Samuelsson
P3 17:16 Shot missed by Auston Matthews
P3 16:13 Shot on goal by Matthew Knies saved by Colten Ellis
P3 14:58 Goal scored by Max Domi
P3 13:59 Mattias Samuelsson shot blocked by Calle Jarnkrok
P3 13:38 Sabres shot blocked by teammate
P3 13:23 Shot missed by Scott Laughton
P3 12:38 Shot on goal by Matias Maccelli saved by Colten Ellis
P3 11:32 Shot on goal by Jack Quinn saved by Joseph Woll
P3 11:32 Goal scored by Jack Quinn assisted by Rasmus Dahlin
P3 09:45 Shot missed by Michael Kesselring
P3 09:41 Shot missed by Jack Quinn
P3 07:41 Power play - Shot missed by Jason Zucker
P3 06:46 Shot on goal by Calle Jarnkrok saved by Colten Ellis
P3 05:53 Shot on goal by Easton Cowan saved by Colten Ellis
P3 05:48 Shot on goal by Oliver Ekman-Larsson saved by Colten Ellis
P3 05:42 Oliver Ekman-Larsson shot blocked by Zach Benson
P3 04:44 Shot on goal by Maple Leafs saved by Colten Ellis
Play by Play
  1. P3 20:00
    End of 3rd Period.
  2. P3 19:51
    SHOT
    Shot missed by Calle Jarnkrok
  3. P3 19:25
    SHOT
    Simon Benoit shot blocked by Peyton Krebs
  4. P3 19:16
    Calle Jarnkrok won faceoff against Peyton Krebs in neutral zone
  5. P3 18:23
    SHOT
    John Tavares shot blocked by Mattias Samuelsson
  6. P3 17:16
    SHOT
    Shot missed by Auston Matthews
  7. P3 16:13
    SHOT
    Shot on goal by Matthew Knies saved by Colten Ellis
  8. P3 14:59
    Tage Thompson won faceoff against Scott Laughton in neutral zone
  9. P3 14:58
    GOAL
    Goal scored by Max Domi
    6-4
  10. P3 14:04
    Scott Laughton credited with hit on Josh Doan in defensive zone
  11. P3 13:59
    SHOT
    Mattias Samuelsson shot blocked by Calle Jarnkrok
  12. P3 13:38
    SHOT
    Sabres shot blocked by teammate
  13. P3 13:23
    SHOT
    Shot missed by Scott Laughton
  14. P3 13:00
    Calle Jarnkrok won faceoff against Peyton Krebs in neutral zone
  15. P3 12:42
    Ryan McLeod won faceoff against John Tavares in defensive zone
  16. P3 12:42
    Stoppage - Puck Frozen
  17. P3 12:38
    SHOT
    Shot on goal by Matias Maccelli saved by Colten Ellis
  18. P3 11:33
    Auston Matthews won faceoff against Tage Thompson in neutral zone
  19. P3 11:32
    SHOT
    Shot on goal by Jack Quinn saved by Joseph Woll
  20. P3 11:32
    GOAL
    Goal scored by Jack Quinn assisted by Rasmus Dahlin
    6-3
  21. P3 10:57
    Nicolas Roy won faceoff against Ryan McLeod in offensive zone
  22. P3 10:25
    Jake McCabe credited with hit on Beck Malenstyn in defensive zone
  23. P3 09:45
    SHOT
    Shot missed by Michael Kesselring
  24. P3 09:41
    SHOT
    Shot missed by Jack Quinn
  25. P3 08:53
    Shorthanded - Giveaway by Auston Matthews in offensive zone
  26. P3 08:43
    Shorthanded - Auston Matthews won faceoff against Tage Thompson in offensive zone
  27. P3 08:43
    Stoppage - Icing
  28. P3 07:41
    SHOT
    Power play - Shot missed by Jason Zucker
  29. P3 06:53
    Shorthanded - Scott Laughton won faceoff against Jason Zucker in defensive zone
  30. P3 06:53
    Stoppage - TV timeout
  31. P3 06:53
    Penalty to Brandon Carlo 2 minutes for Tripping (Drawn by Zach Benson)
  32. P3 06:46
    SHOT
    Shot on goal by Calle Jarnkrok saved by Colten Ellis
  33. P3 05:53
    SHOT
    Shot on goal by Easton Cowan saved by Colten Ellis
  34. P3 05:48
    SHOT
    Shot on goal by Oliver Ekman-Larsson saved by Colten Ellis
  35. P3 05:42
    SHOT
    Oliver Ekman-Larsson shot blocked by Zach Benson
  36. P3 04:44
    Auston Matthews won faceoff against Peyton Krebs in offensive zone
  37. P3 04:44
    SHOT
    Shot on goal by Maple Leafs saved by Colten Ellis
  38. P3 04:35
    Auston Matthews won faceoff against Noah Ostlund in offensive zone
  39. P3 04:06
    John Tavares won faceoff against Ryan McLeod in offensive zone
  40. P3 04:06
    Stoppage - Icing
  41. P3 03:32
    Auston Matthews won faceoff against Ryan McLeod in defensive zone
  42. P3 02:49
    SHOT
    Shot missed by Zach Benson
  43. P3 02:36
    SHOT
    Morgan Rielly shot blocked by Beck Malenstyn
  44. P3 01:47
    SHOT
    Shot missed by Peyton Krebs
  45. P3 01:34
    SHOT
    Shot on goal by Matias Maccelli saved by Colten Ellis
  46. P3 01:12
    SHOT
    Owen Power shot blocked by John Tavares
  47. P3 00:16
    Sabres won faceoff against Maple Leafs in neutral zone
  48. P3 00:15
    SHOT
    Shot missed by Alex Tuch
  49. P3 00:00
    Auston Matthews won faceoff against Tage Thompson in neutral zone
  50. P2 20:00
    End of 2nd Period.
  51. P2 19:27
    SHOT
    Shot on goal by Josh Doan saved by Joseph Woll
  52. P2 18:47
    Mattias Samuelsson credited with hit on John Tavares in defensive zone
  53. P2 18:24
    Ryan McLeod won faceoff against John Tavares in defensive zone
  54. P2 18:09
    Simon Benoit credited with hit on Beck Malenstyn in defensive zone
  55. P2 17:37
    SHOT
    Troy Stecher shot blocked by Tage Thompson
  56. P2 17:34
    SHOT
    Auston Matthews shot blocked by Alex Tuch
  57. P2 17:22
    Giveaway by Bowen Byram in defensive zone
  58. P2 17:09
    SHOT
    Shot on goal by Alex Tuch saved by Joseph Woll
  59. P2 16:49
    SHOT
    Shot missed by Alex Tuch
  60. P2 15:53
    Matthew Knies credited with hit on Konsta Helenius in neutral zone
  61. P2 15:47
    John Tavares won faceoff against Noah Ostlund in offensive zone
  62. P2 15:47
    Stoppage - Goalie Stopped (after SOG)
  63. P2 15:45
    SHOT
    Shot on goal by Calle Jarnkrok saved by Colten Ellis
  64. P2 15:23
    Ryan McLeod won faceoff against Scott Laughton in offensive zone
  65. P2 15:03
    SHOT
    Shot missed by Steven Lorentz
  66. P2 14:55
    SHOT
    Shot on goal by Maple Leafs saved by Colten Ellis
  67. P2 14:40
    SHOT
    Shot missed by Jake McCabe
  68. P2 13:49
    SHOT
    Shot on goal by Rasmus Dahlin saved by Joseph Woll
  69. P2 13:46
    SHOT
    Shot missed by Noah Ostlund
  70. P2 12:59
    SHOT
    Shot missed by Konsta Helenius
  71. P2 12:35
    SHOT
    Shot on goal by Rasmus Dahlin saved by Joseph Woll
  72. P2 11:32
    Stoppage - Icing
  73. P2 11:17
    Scott Laughton won faceoff against Tage Thompson in neutral zone
  74. P2 10:49
    Auston Matthews won faceoff against Jason Zucker in neutral zone
  75. P2 10:21
    Takeaway by Peyton Krebs in offensive zone
  76. P2 10:14
    SHOT
    Mattias Samuelsson shot blocked by Oliver Ekman-Larsson
  77. P2 09:18
    Scott Laughton won faceoff against Noah Ostlund in defensive zone
  78. P2 09:16
    SHOT
    Shot on goal by Owen Power saved by Joseph Woll
  79. P2 09:12
    Konsta Helenius won faceoff against Scott Laughton in offensive zone
  80. P2 08:31
    Bobby McMann credited with hit on Jack Quinn in neutral zone
  81. P2 08:11
    SHOT
    Max Domi shot blocked by Rasmus Dahlin
  82. P2 08:09
    Stoppage - Icing
  83. P2 07:55
    SHOT
    Jack Quinn shot blocked by Simon Benoit
  84. P2 07:39
    Stoppage - Icing
  85. P2 07:22
    SHOT
    Brandon Carlo shot blocked by teammate
  86. P2 07:19
    Sabres won faceoff against Maple Leafs in neutral zone
  87. P2 07:16
    SHOT
    Shot missed by Oliver Ekman-Larsson
  88. P2 06:53
    Stoppage - Icing
  89. P2 06:02
    SHOT
    Shot on goal by Morgan Rielly saved by Colten Ellis
  90. P2 05:27
    Stoppage - Goalie Stopped (after SOG)
  91. P2 05:04
    SHOT
    Simon Benoit shot blocked by Bowen Byram
  92. P2 04:32
    SHOT
    Ryan McLeod shot blocked by Troy Stecher
  93. P2 04:22
    Jason Zucker won faceoff against Auston Matthews in offensive zone
  94. P2 03:39
    SHOT
    Rasmus Dahlin shot blocked by Brandon Carlo
  95. P2 03:36
    Steven Lorentz credited with hit on Tage Thompson in defensive zone
  96. P2 02:57
    Scott Laughton won faceoff against Tage Thompson in defensive zone
  97. P2 02:57
    Stoppage - Goalie Stopped (after SOG)
  98. P2 02:19
    SHOT
    Shot on goal by Josh Doan saved by Joseph Woll
  99. P2 01:52
    SHOT
    Jack Quinn shot blocked by Simon Benoit
  100. P2 01:16
    SHOT
    Shot on goal by Jason Zucker saved by Joseph Woll
  101. P1 20:00
    End of 1st Period.
  102. P1 18:05
    Peyton Krebs won faceoff against Nicholas Robertson in neutral zone
  103. P1 17:13
    Matthew Knies credited with hit on Jack Quinn in neutral zone
  104. P1 16:54
    Takeaway by Simon Benoit in defensive zone
  105. P1 16:43
    SHOT
    Matthew Knies shot blocked by Mattias Samuelsson
  106. P1 16:38
    Ryan McLeod won faceoff against John Tavares in offensive zone
  107. P1 16:38
    Stoppage - Goalie Stopped (after SOG) - TV timeout
  108. P1 16:11
    SHOT
    Brandon Carlo shot blocked by teammate
  109. P1 15:42
    SHOT
    Shot on goal by Zach Metsa saved by Joseph Woll
  110. P1 15:09
    SHOT
    Shot on goal by Tage Thompson saved by Joseph Woll
  111. P1 14:52
    John Tavares won faceoff against Tage Thompson in defensive zone
  112. P1 13:16
    Nicolas Roy won faceoff against Peyton Krebs in neutral zone
  113. P1 12:27
    Power play - Jason Zucker won faceoff against Scott Laughton in offensive zone
  114. P1 12:14
    Scott Laughton won faceoff against Konsta Helenius in defensive zone
  115. P1 12:08
    SHOT
    Shot on goal by Noah Ostlund saved by Joseph Woll
  116. P1 11:22
    Scott Laughton credited with hit on Michael Kesselring in offensive zone
  117. P1 11:10
    SHOT
    Shot on goal by Jack Quinn saved by Joseph Woll
  118. P1 10:49
    Ryan McLeod won faceoff against Scott Laughton in neutral zone
  119. P1 10:47
    SHOT
    Shot on goal by Max Domi saved by Ukko-Pekka Luukkonen
  120. P1 10:25
    Auston Matthews won faceoff against Tage Thompson in offensive zone
  121. P1 10:10
    Peyton Krebs won faceoff against Auston Matthews in defensive zone
  122. P1 10:10
    Stoppage - Puck in Netting - TV timeout
  123. P1 09:29
    Noah Ostlund won faceoff against Nicolas Roy in neutral zone
  124. P1 09:08
    Ryan McLeod won faceoff against John Tavares in offensive zone
  125. P1 08:52
    Scott Laughton won faceoff against Peyton Krebs in offensive zone
  126. P1 08:52
    Stoppage - Goalie Stopped (after SOG)
  127. P1 08:50
    SHOT
    Shot on goal by Bobby McMann saved by Ukko-Pekka Luukkonen
  128. P1 08:26
    Sabres won faceoff against Maple Leafs in neutral zone
  129. P1 08:24
    Tage Thompson won faceoff against Auston Matthews in offensive zone
  130. P1 08:24
    SHOT
    Shot on goal by Matias Maccelli saved by Ukko-Pekka Luukkonen
  131. P1 07:44
    Nicolas Roy won faceoff against Noah Ostlund in neutral zone
  132. P1 07:06
    SHOT
    Bobby McMann shot blocked by Tage Thompson
  133. P1 05:51
    SHOT
    Steven Lorentz shot blocked by Zach Metsa
  134. P1 04:35
    SHOT
    Troy Stecher shot blocked by Josh Doan
  135. P1 04:09
    Nicolas Roy won faceoff against Noah Ostlund in neutral zone
  136. P1 04:09
    Stoppage - Offside
  137. P1 03:52
    Maple Leafs challenge (Offside), call reversed
  138. P1 03:52
    Stoppage - Chlg Hm - off-side
  139. P1 03:52
    GOAL
    Goal scored by Sabres
    1-0
  140. P1 03:44
    SHOT
    Shot on goal by Owen Power saved by Joseph Woll
  141. P1 03:35
    Ryan McLeod won faceoff against John Tavares in neutral zone
  142. P1 03:01
    Tyson Kozak credited with hit on Morgan Rielly in offensive zone
  143. P1 02:33
    SHOT
    Shot on goal by Rasmus Dahlin saved by Joseph Woll
  144. P1 02:25
    Easton Cowan credited with hit on Konsta Helenius in defensive zone
  145. P1 02:18
    SHOT
    Josh Doan shot blocked by Jake McCabe
  146. P1 01:55
    SHOT
    Shot missed by Michael Kesselring
  147. P1 01:51
    SHOT
    Shot missed by Konsta Helenius
  148. P1 01:23
    Giveaway by John Tavares in offensive zone
  149. P1 01:21
    Giveaway by Owen Power in defensive zone
  150. P1 01:16
    SHOT
    Shot missed by John Tavares
  151. P1 01:14
    Matias Maccelli credited with hit on Ryan McLeod in offensive zone
  152. P1 01:08
    Ryan McLeod credited with hit on Matias Maccelli in neutral zone
  153. P1 01:01
    Brandon Carlo credited with hit on Bowen Byram in defensive zone
  154. P1 00:00
    Tage Thompson won faceoff against Auston Matthews in neutral zone
  155. P1 00:00
    Game Setup.
Stats
Sabres
STATS
Maple Leafs
31Shots on Goal23
33% Faceoff Win % 67%
2/1 PP Opportunities/PP Goals 0/0
0Penalty Infraction Mins4
16Hits32
19 Shots Blocked 13
24Giveaways11
SabresBUF
Maple LeafsTOR
31Shots on Goal23
33% Faceoff Win % 67%
2/1 PP Opportunities/PP Goals 0/0
0Penalty Infraction Mins4
16Hits32
19 Shots Blocked 13
24Giveaways11

Sabres vs. Maple Leafs: Detailed Breakdown

Matchup Overview

  • Teams: Sabres vs. Maple Leafs
  • Date: Tuesday, January 27, 2026
  • Time: 7:00 PM ET
  • Venue: Scotiabank Arena

Current Betting Odds

  • Spread: Maple Leafs favored at -1.5
  • Total (Over/Under): 6.5
  • Moneyline Odds: Sabres -102, Maple Leafs -115

Dimers' Win Probabilities

  • Sabres: 48%
  • Maple Leafs: 52%

Dimers' predictive model, renowned for its accuracy, assesses each team's chances by simulating the outcome of the game 10,000 times. This method provides a precise and unbiased view.

Our Prediction: Who Wins?

After extensive simulations, our model gives the Sabres a win probability of 48%, while the Maple Leafs have a win probability of 52%. Discover the best spread, over/under, and moneyline odds for the game on this page.

Summary

According to our analysis, the Maple Leafs are more likely to beat the Sabres in the NHL game at Scotiabank Arena on Wednesday. Discover the best spread, over/under and moneyline odds, picks and probabilities for the game on this page.

Our Sabres vs. Maple Leafs predictions, based on sophisticated simulations and current data, guide you in making informed decisions. Remember to bet responsibly and within your financial limits.

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For further insights, explore our expert NHL predictions and the best NHL bets today, while our in-depth analysis includes NHL props, NHL futures, NHL odds, and the latest NHL news.