Lightning vs. Blues Prediction, Picks and Odds

Our detailed prediction and analysis for the Lightning vs. Blues NHL game on January 16, 2026 is featured below. Drawing from 10,000 game simulations, we provide expert picks, betting odds, and insights.
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FINAL
NHL
FINAL
NHL sport icon
NHL
Lightning
2
3
Enterprise Center
Blues
Enterprise Center
TEAM123OTT
Lightning
0 2 0 0 2
Blues
2 0 0 0 3
Live Probabilities
Win %
  • Lightning
    0%
  • Blues
    100%
Win Probability
TEAM123OTT
Lightning
0 2 0 0 2
Blues
2 0 0 0 3
OT1 04:00 Shot on goal by Charle-Edouard D'Astous saved by Joel Hofer
OT1 03:11 Shot on goal by Jordan Kyrou saved by Andrei Vasilevskiy
OT1 02:50 Shot on goal by Jordan Kyrou saved by Andrei Vasilevskiy
OT1 01:32 Shot on goal by Justin Faulk saved by Andrei Vasilevskiy
OT1 00:56 Shot on goal by Darren Raddysh saved by Joel Hofer
OT1 00:15 Philip Broberg shot blocked by Anthony Cirelli
P3 17:45 Shot on goal by Darren Raddysh saved by Joel Hofer
P3 15:29 Shot missed by Nikita Kucherov
P3 14:41 Shot missed by Zemgus Girgensons
P3 14:35 Shot on goal by Erik Cernak saved by Joel Hofer
P3 10:47 Shot on goal by Dalibor Dvorsky saved by Andrei Vasilevskiy
P3 08:25 Shot missed by Logan Mailloux
P3 06:27 Jimmy Snuggerud shot blocked by Darren Raddysh
P3 04:46 Shot on goal by Justin Faulk saved by Andrei Vasilevskiy
P3 03:39 Shot on goal by J.J. Moser saved by Joel Hofer
P3 03:21 Colton Parayko shot blocked by Nick Paul
P3 03:15 Shot on goal by Jimmy Snuggerud saved by Andrei Vasilevskiy
P3 02:58 Declan Carlile shot blocked by Cam Fowler
P3 02:51 Shot on goal by Jake Guentzel saved by Joel Hofer
P3 01:48 Jake Neighbours shot blocked by Darren Raddysh
Play by Play
  1. SO
    Lightning won faceoff against Blues in neutral zone
  2. SO
    Lightning won faceoff against Blues in neutral zone
  3. SO
    End of Shootout period.
  4. SO
    Shootout attempt by Nikita Kucherov saved by Joel Hofer
  5. SO
    Shootout attempt by Jake Guentzel saved by Joel Hofer
  6. OT1 05:00
    End of 1st OT.
  7. OT1 04:58
    Brayden Schenn won faceoff against Nick Paul in offensive zone
  8. OT1 04:00
    SHOT
    Shot on goal by Charle-Edouard D'Astous saved by Joel Hofer
  9. OT1 03:18
    Giveaway by Anthony Cirelli in defensive zone
  10. OT1 03:11
    SHOT
    Shot on goal by Jordan Kyrou saved by Andrei Vasilevskiy
  11. OT1 02:53
    Lightning won faceoff against Blues in neutral zone
  12. OT1 02:50
    SHOT
    Shot on goal by Jordan Kyrou saved by Andrei Vasilevskiy
  13. OT1 01:32
    SHOT
    Shot on goal by Justin Faulk saved by Andrei Vasilevskiy
  14. OT1 00:58
    Nick Paul won faceoff against Nick Bjugstad in offensive zone
  15. OT1 00:56
    SHOT
    Shot on goal by Darren Raddysh saved by Joel Hofer
  16. OT1 00:15
    SHOT
    Philip Broberg shot blocked by Anthony Cirelli
  17. P3 20:00
    End of 3rd Period.
  18. P3 18:50
    Giveaway by Brandon Hagel in neutral zone
  19. P3 17:45
    SHOT
    Shot on goal by Darren Raddysh saved by Joel Hofer
  20. P3 17:39
    Lightning won faceoff against Blues in neutral zone
  21. P3 17:32
    Takeaway by Philip Broberg in neutral zone
  22. P3 16:07
    Nathan Walker credited with hit on Dominic James in offensive zone
  23. P3 15:29
    SHOT
    Shot missed by Nikita Kucherov
  24. P3 15:09
    Anthony Cirelli won faceoff against Dalibor Dvorsky in offensive zone
  25. P3 14:41
    SHOT
    Shot missed by Zemgus Girgensons
  26. P3 14:35
    SHOT
    Shot on goal by Erik Cernak saved by Joel Hofer
  27. P3 13:18
    Stoppage - Goalie Stopped (after SOG)
  28. P3 12:37
    Giveaway by Darren Raddysh in neutral zone
  29. P3 12:06
    Giveaway by Andrei Vasilevskiy in defensive zone
  30. P3 11:52
    Stoppage - Icing
  31. P3 10:49
    Yanni Gourde won faceoff against Jordan Kyrou in defensive zone
  32. P3 10:47
    SHOT
    Shot on goal by Dalibor Dvorsky saved by Andrei Vasilevskiy
  33. P3 10:42
    Dalibor Dvorsky won faceoff against Yanni Gourde in neutral zone
  34. P3 10:16
    Nick Paul won faceoff against Brayden Schenn in offensive zone
  35. P3 09:42
    Nick Bjugstad credited with hit on Charle-Edouard D'Astous in offensive zone
  36. P3 08:59
    Stoppage - Puck in Crowd
  37. P3 08:25
    SHOT
    Shot missed by Logan Mailloux
  38. P3 07:00
    Nick Paul won faceoff against Jordan Kyrou in defensive zone
  39. P3 07:00
    Stoppage - Puck Frozen
  40. P3 06:29
    Lightning won faceoff against Blues in neutral zone
  41. P3 06:27
    SHOT
    Jimmy Snuggerud shot blocked by Darren Raddysh
  42. P3 05:17
    Zemgus Girgensons credited with hit on Tyler Tucker in offensive zone
  43. P3 04:52
    Dalibor Dvorsky won faceoff against Yanni Gourde in offensive zone
  44. P3 04:52
    Stoppage - Puck Frozen
  45. P3 04:46
    SHOT
    Shot on goal by Justin Faulk saved by Andrei Vasilevskiy
  46. P3 04:20
    Oskar Sundqvist won faceoff against Jack Finley in defensive zone
  47. P3 03:55
    Takeaway by Jonatan Berggren in offensive zone
  48. P3 03:39
    SHOT
    Shot on goal by J.J. Moser saved by Joel Hofer
  49. P3 03:34
    Stoppage - Goalie Stopped (after SOG)
  50. P3 03:23
    Anthony Cirelli won faceoff against Nick Bjugstad in defensive zone
  51. P3 03:21
    SHOT
    Colton Parayko shot blocked by Nick Paul
  52. P3 03:15
    SHOT
    Shot on goal by Jimmy Snuggerud saved by Andrei Vasilevskiy
  53. P3 02:58
    SHOT
    Declan Carlile shot blocked by Cam Fowler
  54. P3 02:51
    SHOT
    Shot on goal by Jake Guentzel saved by Joel Hofer
  55. P3 01:48
    SHOT
    Jake Neighbours shot blocked by Darren Raddysh
  56. P3 01:15
    Shorthanded - Nick Bjugstad won faceoff against Jake Guentzel in defensive zone
  57. P3 01:15
    Stoppage - Goalie Stopped (after SOG)
  58. P3 00:54
    SHOT
    Power play - Shot missed by Darren Raddysh
  59. P3 00:00
    Power play - Jack Finley won faceoff against Oskar Sundqvist in neutral zone
  60. P2 20:00
    End of 2nd Period.
  61. P2 19:59
    Lightning won faceoff against Blues in offensive zone
  62. P2 19:57
    SHOT
    Power play - Shot on goal by Brandon Hagel saved by Joel Hofer
  63. P2 19:41
    SHOT
    Power play - Shot on goal by Jake Guentzel saved by Joel Hofer
  64. P2 19:27
    SHOT
    Shot missed by Darren Raddysh
  65. P2 19:25
    Anthony Cirelli won faceoff against Nick Bjugstad in offensive zone
  66. P2 19:23
    SHOT
    Shot on goal by J.J. Moser saved by Joel Hofer
  67. P2 18:27
    Jack Finley won faceoff against Nathan Walker in offensive zone
  68. P2 18:27
    Stoppage - Puck in Crowd
  69. P2 18:04
    SHOT
    Shot missed by Max Crozier
  70. P2 18:00
    SHOT
    Shot missed by Declan Carlile
  71. P2 17:58
    Lightning won faceoff against Blues in neutral zone
  72. P2 17:02
    SHOT
    Darren Raddysh shot blocked by Nick Bjugstad
  73. P2 16:27
    Stoppage - Icing
  74. P2 16:11
    SHOT
    Shot missed by Erik Cernak
  75. P2 15:52
    Lightning won faceoff against Blues in defensive zone
  76. P2 15:52
    Stoppage - Puck in Netting - TV timeout
  77. P2 15:36
    SHOT
    Shot on goal by Anthony Cirelli saved by Joel Hofer
  78. P2 13:27
    Power play - Oskar Sundqvist won faceoff against Anthony Cirelli in offensive zone
  79. P2 13:27
    Stoppage - Goalie Stopped (after SOG)
  80. P2 13:05
    Nick Paul won faceoff against Dalibor Dvorsky in defensive zone
  81. P2 13:05
    Penalty to Jake Guentzel 2 minutes for Hooking (Drawn by Oskar Sundqvist)
  82. P2 12:34
    Nick Paul won faceoff against Nathan Walker in neutral zone
  83. P2 12:34
    Stoppage - Hand Pass
  84. P2 12:27
    Lightning won faceoff against Blues in neutral zone
  85. P2 12:25
    SHOT
    Shot on goal by Oliver Bjorkstrand saved by Joel Hofer
  86. P2 12:16
    SHOT
    Shot missed by Colton Parayko
  87. P2 11:14
    Jake Neighbours credited with hit on Yanni Gourde in defensive zone
  88. P2 11:01
    Yanni Gourde won faceoff against Dalibor Dvorsky in neutral zone
  89. P2 10:11
    SHOT
    Shorthanded - Shot on goal by Justin Faulk saved by Andrei Vasilevskiy
  90. P2 09:59
    Nick Paul won faceoff against Nick Bjugstad in neutral zone
  91. P2 09:51
    Power play - Nick Paul won faceoff against Oskar Sundqvist in offensive zone
  92. P2 09:51
    Penalty to Nathan Walker 2 minutes for Tripping (Drawn by Oliver Bjorkstrand)
  93. P2 09:36
    SHOT
    Shorthanded - Shot missed by Pavel Buchnevich
  94. P2 09:19
    SHOT
    Power play - Shot missed by Brandon Hagel
  95. P2 09:11
    Lightning won faceoff against Blues in offensive zone
  96. P2 08:58
    SHOT
    Power play - Shot on goal by Darren Raddysh saved by Joel Hofer
  97. P2 08:03
    Power play - Jake Guentzel won faceoff against Oskar Sundqvist in offensive zone
  98. P2 08:03
    Shorthanded - Oskar Sundqvist credited with hit on Anthony Cirelli in defensive zone
  99. P2 08:03
    Penalty to Alexey Toropchenko 2 minutes for Tripping (Drawn by Nikita Kucherov)
  100. P2 07:36
    Takeaway by Brandon Hagel in offensive zone
  101. P2 07:27
    SHOT
    Shot on goal by Erik Cernak saved by Joel Hofer
  102. P2 07:18
    Lightning won faceoff against Blues in neutral zone
  103. P2 06:12
    Nick Paul won faceoff against Brayden Schenn in neutral zone
  104. P2 05:54
    SHOT
    Shot on goal by Nikita Kucherov saved by Joel Hofer
  105. P2 05:53
    Anthony Cirelli won faceoff against Brayden Schenn in offensive zone
  106. P2 05:38
    SHOT
    Shot on goal by Tyler Tucker saved by Andrei Vasilevskiy
  107. P2 05:35
    Nick Bjugstad won faceoff against Yanni Gourde in offensive zone
  108. P2 05:35
    Stoppage - Goalie Stopped (after SOG)
  109. P2 05:33
    SHOT
    Shot on goal by Justin Faulk saved by Andrei Vasilevskiy
  110. P2 05:16
    Stoppage - Net Dislodged Offensive Skater
  111. P2 04:47
    Nick Paul won faceoff against Oskar Sundqvist in defensive zone
  112. P2 04:14
    SHOT
    Brandon Hagel shot blocked by Colton Parayko
  113. P2 02:08
    Nick Bjugstad won faceoff against Yanni Gourde in neutral zone
  114. P2 01:31
    Nathan Walker credited with hit on Charle-Edouard D'Astous in offensive zone
  115. P2 01:22
    Oskar Sundqvist won faceoff against Nick Paul in defensive zone
  116. P2 01:19
    SHOT
    Shot on goal by Jake Guentzel saved by Joel Hofer
  117. P2 01:18
    Nick Paul won faceoff against Oskar Sundqvist in offensive zone
  118. P2 00:43
    SHOT
    Shot on goal by Jordan Kyrou saved by Andrei Vasilevskiy
  119. P2 00:00
    Power play - Brayden Schenn won faceoff against Anthony Cirelli in neutral zone
  120. P1 20:00
    End of 1st Period.
  121. P1 19:57
    SHOT
    Power play - Shot missed by Oskar Sundqvist
  122. P1 19:00
    SHOT
    Power play - Shot on goal by Jimmy Snuggerud saved by Andrei Vasilevskiy
  123. P1 18:40
    Shorthanded - Nick Paul won faceoff against Brayden Schenn in defensive zone
  124. P1 17:53
    Max Crozier credited with hit on Otto Stenberg in offensive zone
  125. P1 17:41
    Lightning won faceoff against Alexey Toropchenko in neutral zone
  126. P1 17:14
    SHOT
    Shot on goal by Nikita Kucherov saved by Joel Hofer
  127. P1 17:03
    Nick Paul won faceoff against Pavel Buchnevich in neutral zone
  128. P1 17:02
    GOAL
    Goal scored by Jake Neighbours assisted by Jordan Kyrou and Cam Fowler
    0-1
  129. P1 16:33
    SHOT
    Shot on goal by Jonatan Berggren saved by Andrei Vasilevskiy
  130. P1 16:22
    Nick Bjugstad won faceoff against Zemgus Girgensons in defensive zone
  131. P1 16:22
    Stoppage - Goalie Stopped (after SOG)
  132. P1 15:43
    Zemgus Girgensons credited with hit on Otto Stenberg in neutral zone
  133. P1 15:23
    SHOT
    Shot missed by Jimmy Snuggerud
  134. P1 15:14
    SHOT
    Yanni Gourde shot blocked by Jimmy Snuggerud
  135. P1 15:10
    SHOT
    Shot missed by Zemgus Girgensons
  136. P1 15:03
    Yanni Gourde won faceoff against Blues in offensive zone
  137. P1 15:03
    Stoppage - Icing
  138. P1 14:26
    SHOT
    Shot on goal by Jake Guentzel saved by Joel Hofer
  139. P1 14:10
    Lightning won faceoff against Blues in neutral zone
  140. P1 14:10
    Stoppage - Puck in Crowd - TV timeout
  141. P1 13:53
    Stoppage - Goalie Stopped (after SOG)
  142. P1 13:51
    SHOT
    Shot on goal by Jimmy Snuggerud saved by Andrei Vasilevskiy
  143. P1 13:11
    Stoppage - Hand Pass
  144. P1 12:56
    Tyler Tucker credited with hit on Jack Finley in defensive zone
  145. P1 12:40
    Pavel Buchnevich won faceoff against Dominic James in defensive zone
  146. P1 12:40
    Stoppage - Goalie Stopped (after SOG)
  147. P1 11:52
    Lightning won faceoff against Blues in neutral zone
  148. P1 11:52
    Stoppage - Goalie Stopped (after SOG) - TV timeout
  149. P1 11:51
    SHOT
    Shot on goal by Darren Raddysh saved by Joel Hofer
  150. P1 09:47
    SHOT
    Yanni Gourde shot blocked by teammate
  151. P1 09:23
    Giveaway by Oliver Bjorkstrand in neutral zone
  152. P1 09:09
    Alexey Toropchenko credited with hit on Erik Cernak in offensive zone
  153. P1 07:44
    SHOT
    Shot on goal by Max Crozier saved by Joel Hofer
  154. P1 07:39
    Anthony Cirelli won faceoff against Brayden Schenn in offensive zone
  155. P1 07:39
    Stoppage - Icing
  156. P1 07:33
    SHOT
    Nikita Kucherov shot blocked by Colton Parayko
  157. P1 06:59
    SHOT
    Shot missed by Nikita Kucherov
  158. P1 06:55
    Nick Paul won faceoff against Brayden Schenn in offensive zone
  159. P1 06:55
    Stoppage - Puck Frozen
  160. P1 06:07
    Yanni Gourde won faceoff against Jordan Kyrou in defensive zone
  161. P1 06:05
    SHOT
    Shot on goal by Colton Parayko saved by Andrei Vasilevskiy
  162. P1 05:16
    SHOT
    Max Crozier shot blocked by Justin Faulk
  163. P1 04:06
    SHOT
    Shot missed by Colton Parayko
  164. P1 04:06
    SHOT
    Shot on goal by Colton Parayko saved by Andrei Vasilevskiy
  165. P1 03:21
    Logan Mailloux credited with hit on Brandon Hagel in defensive zone
  166. P1 03:15
    SHOT
    Shot missed by Erik Cernak
  167. P1 02:50
    Nick Bjugstad won faceoff against Anthony Cirelli in defensive zone
  168. P1 02:50
    Stoppage - Icing
  169. P1 02:39
    SHOT
    Shot missed by Max Crozier
  170. P1 02:37
    SHOT
    Shot on goal by Max Crozier saved by Joel Hofer
  171. P1 02:14
    SHOT
    Max Crozier shot blocked by Colton Parayko
  172. P1 01:58
    Giveaway by Pavel Buchnevich in neutral zone
  173. P1 01:04
    Giveaway by Zemgus Girgensons in offensive zone
  174. P1 00:22
    Nathan Walker credited with hit on Erik Cernak in defensive zone
  175. P1 00:00
    Nathan Walker won faceoff against Anthony Cirelli in neutral zone
  176. P1 00:00
    Game Setup.
Stats
Lightning
STATS
Blues
36Shots on Goal21
54% Faceoff Win % 46%
3/2 PP Opportunities/PP Goals 2/0
4Penalty Infraction Mins6
12Hits24
10 Shots Blocked 10
18Giveaways12
LightningTB
BluesSTL
36Shots on Goal21
54% Faceoff Win % 46%
3/2 PP Opportunities/PP Goals 2/0
4Penalty Infraction Mins6
12Hits24
10 Shots Blocked 10
18Giveaways12

Lightning vs. Blues: Detailed Breakdown

Matchup Overview

  • Teams: Lightning vs. Blues
  • Date: Friday, January 16, 2026
  • Time: 8:00 PM ET
  • Venue: Enterprise Center

Current Betting Odds

  • Spread: Lightning favored at -1.5
  • Total (Over/Under): 5.5
  • Moneyline Odds: Lightning -200, Blues +175

Dimers' Win Probabilities

  • Lightning: 62%
  • Blues: 38%

Dimers' predictive model, renowned for its accuracy, assesses each team's chances by simulating the outcome of the game 10,000 times. This method provides a precise and unbiased view.

Our Prediction: Who Wins?

After extensive simulations, our model gives the Lightning a win probability of 62%, while the Blues have a win probability of 38%. Discover the best spread, over/under, and moneyline odds for the game on this page.

Summary

According to our analysis, the Lightning are more likely to beat the Blues in the NHL game at Enterprise Center on Saturday. Discover the best spread, over/under and moneyline odds, picks and probabilities for the game on this page.

Our Lightning vs. Blues predictions, based on sophisticated simulations and current data, guide you in making informed decisions. Remember to bet responsibly and within your financial limits.

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