Las Vegas Raiders vs. New England Patriots: Experts release early Week 5 projections [2026]

The Las Vegas Raiders and New England Patriots will meet in Week 5 of the NFL season at Gillette Stadium on Sunday, October 11, 2026, starting at 1:00 PM ET.

Initial simulations from Dimers' trusted NFL model favor the Patriots as the most likely winner of this AFC showdown.

For updates all week long, including best bets, player prop projections and touchdown probabilities, check out our interactive Raiders vs. Patriots predictions page.

Las Vegas vs. New England early predictions

Leveraging trusted machine learning and analysis, we have simulated the Raiders vs. Patriots game 10,000 times as part of our NFL predictions coverage. Here are the latest insights:

• Straight up win probabilities: Raiders 34.2%, Patriots 65.8%
• Predicted final score: Raiders 20-24 Patriots
• Spread: Raiders (+3.5) 47.4%, Patriots (-3.5) 52.6%
• Total points (44.5): Over 52.0%, Under 48.0%

As of October 5, 2026, these Raiders-Patriots figures and predictions reflect the latest data and insights available.

Raiders vs. Patriots Week 5 details

Sunday's game between the Patriots and Raiders at Gillette Stadium is scheduled for October 11, 2026.

• Who: Las Vegas Raiders vs. New England Patriots
• Date: Sunday, October 11, 2026
• Time: 1:00 PM ET/10:00AM PT
• Venue: Gillette Stadium

Raiders vs. Patriots opening odds

We've researched the best betting odds across America for this Week 5 game, which are listed here:

• Spread: Raiders +3.5 (-104), Patriots -3.5 (+100)
• Moneyline: Raiders +170, Patriots -174
• Total: Over/Under 44.5 (-107/+100)

Odds may continue to move—track live changes via our NFL odds page.

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Conclusion

We predict the Patriots, with a 65.8% win probability, will likely beat the Raiders in Week 5 of the NFL season. Dimers.com will provide full game coverage closer to kickoff, so stay tuned for updates.

Enhanced by AI and automation, this article delivers quick, accurate insights on the Raiders vs. Patriots game, with human oversight maintaining high editorial quality. Our predictions are sourced from up-to-date data to help you make informed decisions. For additional resources and advice on responsible gambling, please call 1-800-GAMBLER.

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