Packers vs. Lions prediction favors Detroit to win in NFL Week 7 [2026]

Since our Packers-Lions predictions earlier in the week, we have re-simulated the outcome of Sunday's NFL matchup between the Packers and Lions, forming part of our NFL predictions coverage.

Our famous predictive model gives the Lions a 62.6% chance of defeating the Packers in Week 7 of the NFL season. Our predicted final score has the Lions winning 29-26.

Key factors favoring the Lions:

• Lions team rating
• Lions offense
• Lions home-field advantage

According to our model, the oddsmakers have got it right, and the Packers and Lions each have a 50% chance of covering the spread, while the 54.5-point over/under has a 52.5% chance of going over.

Key factors making the over more likely are::

• Playing conditions
• Lions recent performance

To see win probabilities for every matchup this week, check out our expert NFL Week 7 straight up picks.

Latest betting odds

We have researched the best NFL odds in America for this game, which are listed here:

• Spread: Packers +3.5 (+102) / Lions -3.5 (-104)
• Moneyline: Packers +174, Lions -178
• Total: Over/Under 54.5 (-117/+113)

All odds are correct at the time of publication and are subject to change.

Model picks and best bet

After matching our predictions against the best available odds, we can reveal our picks for each of the major markets in this matchup. Plus, find our best bet for the game below:

• Spread: Packers +3.5 @ 50¢ via Novig
• Moneyline: Packers @ 36¢ via Novig
• Total: Under 54.5 @ 47¢ via Polymarket

According to our NFL best bets, the top play to make on this game is Packers to win.

These picks are based on our probabilities matched against the implied probabilities from the current available odds.

Packers vs. Lions TD scorers

Who will score a touchdown in Packers vs. Lions?

According to our list of touchdown scorer predictions for Week 7, Jahmyr Gibbs is most likely to score an anytime touchdown in Packers vs. Lions.

Our projections give Gibbs a 72.7% chance of scoring a TD at Ford Field, while the running back is a 19.7% chance of registering the first touchdown the game.

Anytime touchdown scorer predictions

Green Bay Packers

• Christian Watson (WR): 45.5% probability
• Josh Jacobs (RB): 43.6%
• Matthew Golden (WR): 35.9%
• Tucker Kraft (TE): 31.7%
• MarShawn Lloyd (RB): 18.9%

Detroit Lions

• Jahmyr Gibbs (RB): 72.7% prob.
• Amon-Ra St. Brown (WR): 53.2%
• Sam LaPorta (TE): 34.9%
• Jameson Williams (WR): 29.6%
• Isaac TeSlaa (WR): 15.2%

First touchdown scorer predictions

Green Bay Packers

• Christian Watson (WR): 9.2% prob.
• Josh Jacobs (RB): 8.7%
• Matthew Golden (WR): 6.8%
• Tucker Kraft (TE): 5.8%
• MarShawn Lloyd (RB): 3.2%

Detroit Lions

• Jahmyr Gibbs (RB): 19.7% prob.
• Amon-Ra St. Brown (WR): 11.5%
• Sam LaPorta (TE): 6.5%
• Jameson Williams (WR): 5.3%
• Isaac TeSlaa (WR): 2.5%

Top player props

Discover our predictions for the players likely to lead in passing, rushing and receiving yards for both the Packers and Lions. Head to our NFL player projections page now to access a full list of player prop projections for every offensive player in this matchup and all other Week 7 games.

Quarterbacks

Of the starting quarterbacks, the Packers' Jordan Love is projected to have a big game with 287 passing yards, while the Lions' Jared Goff is expected to throw for a whopping 286 yards.

Packers rushing

• Josh Jacobs: 51 yds
• MarShawn Lloyd: 15 yds
• Pierre Strong: 12 yds

Lions rushing

• Jahmyr Gibbs: 96 yds
• Sione Vaki: 13 yds
• Jared Goff: 4 yds

Packers receiving

• Christian Watson: 78 yds
• Matthew Golden: 76 yds
• Tucker Kraft: 51 yds
• Savion Williams: 30 yds
• Josh Jacobs: 14 yds

Lions receiving

• Amon-Ra St. Brown: 86 yds
• Jameson Williams: 59 yds
• Sam LaPorta: 54 yds
• Jahmyr Gibbs: 43 yds
• Isaac TeSlaa: 30 yds

Game info & kickoff details

The NFL Week 7 game between the Lions and Packers at Ford Field is scheduled to start at 4:25 PM ET.

• Who: Green Bay Packers vs. Detroit Lions
• Date: Sunday, October 25, 2026
• Time: 4:25 PM ET/1:25 PM PT
• Venue: Ford Field

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Conclusion

We predict the Lions, with a 62.6% win probability, will likely beat the Packers in Week 7 of the NFL season.

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This article's predictions and probabilities are generated by Dimers' proprietary NFL prediction model. Our editorial team reviews the resulting content for accuracy and presentation before publication.