Dolphins vs. Jets prediction favors Jets to win in NFL Week 7 [2026]

Since our Dolphins-Jets predictions earlier in the week, we have re-simulated the result of Sunday's NFL game between the Dolphins and Jets, forming part of our NFL predictions coverage.

Our famous predictive model gives the Jets a 64.9% chance of beating the Dolphins in Week 7 of the NFL season. Our predicted final score has the Jets winning 21-17.

Key factors favoring the Jets:

• Dolphins offense
• Dolphins defense
• Jets home-field advantage

According to our model, the Dolphins (+4.5) have a 51.7% chance of covering the spread, while the over/under total of 39.5 points has an equal 50-50 chance of hitting.

To see win probabilities for every matchup this week, check out our expert NFL Week 7 straight up picks.

Latest betting odds

We have researched the best NFL odds in America for this game, which are listed here:

• Spread: Dolphins +4.5 (-104) / Jets -4.5 (+104)
• Moneyline: Dolphins +190, Jets -194
• Total: Over/Under 39.5 (+102/-104)

All odds are correct at the time of publication and are subject to change.

Model picks and best bet

After matching our predictions against the best available odds, we can reveal our picks for each of the major markets in this matchup. Plus, find our best bet for the game below:

• Spread: Dolphins +4.5 @ 51¢ via Polymarket
• Moneyline: Dolphins @ 34¢ via Novig
• Total: Over 39.5 @ 50¢ via Novig

According to our NFL best bets, the top play to make on this game is Dolphins +4.5 at the spread.

These picks are based on our probabilities matched against the implied probabilities from the current available odds.

Dolphins vs. Jets TD scorers

Who will score a touchdown in Dolphins vs. Jets?

According to our model, Breece Hall is most likely to score an anytime TD in Dolphins vs. Jets.

Our projections give Hall a 44.5% chance of getting in for six at MetLife Stadium, while the running back is an 11.5% chance of scoring the first touchdown the game.

Anytime touchdown scorer predictions

Miami Dolphins

• Ollie Gordon (RB): 38.9% probability
• Malik Willis (QB): 20.1%
• Malik Washington (WR): 18.7%
• Caleb Douglas (WR): 15.8%
• Jaylen Wright (RB): 14.7%

New York Jets

• Breece Hall (RB): 44.5% prob.
• Braelon Allen (RB): 38.3%
• Garrett Wilson (WR): 36.9%
• Omar Cooper (WR): 20.7%
• Adonai Mitchell (WR): 18.5%

First touchdown scorer predictions

Miami Dolphins

• Ollie Gordon (RB): 11.4% prob.
• Malik Willis (QB): 5.2%
• Malik Washington (WR): 4.8%
• Caleb Douglas (WR): 4.0%
• Jaylen Wright (RB): 3.7%

New York Jets

• Breece Hall (RB): 11.5% prob.
• Braelon Allen (RB): 9.4%
• Garrett Wilson (WR): 9.0%
• Omar Cooper (WR): 4.5%
• Adonai Mitchell (WR): 4.0%

Top player props

Discover our predictions for the players likely to lead in passing, rushing and receiving yards for both the Dolphins and Jets. Head to our NFL player projections page now to access a full list of player prop projections for every offensive player in this matchup and all other Week 7 games.

Quarterbacks

Of the starting quarterbacks, the Dolphins' Malik Willis is projected for 191 passing yards, while the Jets' Geno Smith is expected to throw for 220 yards.

Dolphins rushing

• Ollie Gordon: 59 yds
• Malik Willis: 35 yds
• Jaylen Wright: 21 yds

Jets rushing

• Breece Hall: 62 yds
• Braelon Allen: 33 yds
• Geno Smith: 9 yds

Dolphins receiving

• Malik Washington: 46 yds
• Caleb Douglas: 38 yds
• Chris Bell: 26 yds
• Greg Dulcich: 25 yds
• Kevin Coleman: 13 yds

Jets receiving

• Garrett Wilson: 68 yds
• Omar Cooper: 36 yds
• Adonai Mitchell: 33 yds
• Mason Taylor: 23 yds
• Kenyon Sadiq: 23 yds

Game info & kickoff details

The NFL Week 7 action between the Jets and Dolphins at MetLife Stadium is scheduled to commence at 1:00 PM ET.

• Who: Miami Dolphins vs. New York Jets
• Date: Sunday, October 25, 2026
• Time: 1:00 PM ET/10:00 AM PT
• Venue: MetLife Stadium

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Conclusion

We predict the Jets, with a 64.9% win probability, will likely beat the Dolphins in Week 7 of the NFL season.

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This article's predictions and probabilities are generated by Dimers' proprietary NFL prediction model. Our editorial team reviews the resulting content for accuracy and presentation before publication.