World Cup soccer odds today: Tuesday's betting cheat sheet [July 7]

After seven thrilling contests, the soccer World Cup 2026 knockout Round of 16 concludes today with the two more sudden death matches on today's World Cup schedule, and this betting odds preview is designed to help you navigate Tuesday's matches using Dimers' data-driven World Cup predictions on July 7.

Kicking things off today is the match between Argentina and Egypt at 12pm, before Colombia and Switzerland face off at 4pm.

Thanks to DraftKings Sportsbook, we've broken down each of Tuesday's Round of 16 matchups below in our World Cup betting preview, with everything you need to know about the teams, the players, the probabilities, the most likely score lines, as well as the sharpest player props for Tuesday's two World Cup fixtures.

Today's World Cup 2026 odds - July 7

Dimers' World Cup 2026 odds refer to the Round of 16 forecasts and statistical projections made by our team of data scientists regarding the outcomes of not only the two matches on Tuesday, July 7, but also the ultimate winner of the 2026 FIFA World Cup. These predictions for the 2026 World Cup are generated by highly sophisticated machine learning models that analyze historical odds, data sets, player-specific performance metrics, and team-level compositions that delivered some outstanding betting results.

Argentina vs. Egypt odds, picks and predictions

Kickoff: July 7, 12pm (ET)

The high-stakes Round of 16 approaches its climax on Tuesday, serving up a fascinating clash of styles as the final spots in the Quarterfinals are decided.

Argentina enters this match having survived an absolute scare in the Round of 32, outlasting an incredibly resilient Cabo Verde squad 3-2 after extra time in a grueling, emotional affair. Egypt, true to their disciplined reputation, punched their ticket to this stage by grinding out a drama-filled penalty shootout victory over Australia following a tense 1-1 stalemate. The stakes are crystalline: the winner of this heavyweight battle will move on to the Quarterfinals to face the victor of today's final Round of 16 match between Switzerland and Colombia.

The predictive metrics install La Albiceleste as overwhelming front-runners to control the tempo, forecasting a cagey match where Argentina's defensive re-organization will be paramount. Here is the direct look at the moneyline percentages, total goals thresholds, and top exact scores.

Moneyline

The straight-up winner market heavily backs an Argentina victory within regular time, leaving the Pharaohs with a very narrow mathematical window to force another extra-time scenario or pull off a massive tournament shock:

• Argentina to win: 72.2%
• Draw: 19.5%
• Egypt to win: 8.3%

Total goals market (Over/Under 2.5)

Reflecting Egypt's signature compact defensive block and the likelihood that Argentina will favor a more controlled defensive script after conceding twice in the previous round, the model heavily favors a lower-scoring affair:

• Under 2.5 goals: 57.0%
• Over 2.5 goals: 43.0%

Most likely exact scores

The exact scoreline distribution underscores a clear expectation of a low-scoring Argentine victory, with clean-sheet scorelines completely dominating the highest individual probabilities:

• Argentina 1-0 Egypt: 17.4%
• Argentina 2-0 Egypt: 16.8%
• Argentina 3-0 Egypt: 10.7%
• Argentina 0-0 Draw: 9.1%
• Argentina 1-1 Draw: 8.3%

Summary: Argentina enters this penultimate Round of 16 clash as a dominant 72.2% favorite. Because their straight regular-time winner price requires a steep premium on its own, looking at alternative markets is the smartest approach. Given the model's strong 57.0% confidence in Under 2.5 total match goals and the clear preference for an Argentine shutout—where the 1-0 and 2-0 margins heavily lead the projection data—backing Argentina to win to nil or pairing an Argentina victory with an alt line of Under 3.5 total match goals builds a highly supported, data-backed angle.

Colombia vs. Switzerland odds, picks and predictions

Kickoff: July 7, 4pm (ET)

The high-stakes Round of 16 reaches its final whistle on Tuesday, serving up a phenomenal clash of styles to decide the ultimate spot in the Quarterfinals.

Colombia heads into this marquee matchup with strong tactical momentum, having showcased their signature tournament grit to eliminate Ghana in a structured 1-0 regular-time victory during the Round of 32. Switzerland matched that clinical execution in their own opening knockout tier, systematically breaking down a dangerous Algerian squad to comfortable book passage via a 2-0 shutout. The prize waiting at the finish line is crystalline: the victor of this enticing tactical battle moves on to the final eight to clash with either Argentina or Egypt.

The predictive metrics install Los Cafeteros as a distinct regular-time favorite, though a highly compact, low-margin chess match heavily dictates the expected script. Here is the direct look at the moneyline percentages, total goals lines, and top exact scores.

Moneyline

The straight-up winner market leans toward a Colombian victory inside regulation, though the high draw percentage combined with a dangerous Swiss team covers more than half of the board:

• Colombia to win: 43.3%
• Switzerland to win: 28.8%
• Draw: 27.9%

Total goals market (Over/Under 2.5)

Reflecting both teams' elite defensive organization and the immense pressure of a win-or-go-home environment, the model aggressively targets a low-scoring script, establishing the under as a clear favorite:

• Under 2.5 goals: 59.3%
• Over 2.5 goals: 40.7%

Most likely exact scores

The exact scoreline distribution underscores a game of razor-thin margins, where low-scoring stalemates or narrow single-goal decisions carry the highest individual probabilities:

• Switzerland 1-1 Colombia: 13.0%
• Switzerland 0-1 Colombia: 12.9%
• Switzerland 1-0 win: 10.0%
• Switzerland 0-0 Draw: 9.9%
• Switzerland 1-2 Colombia: 8.5%

Summary: Colombia enters this final Round of 16 fixture as a 43.3% favorite. However, because single-elimination matchups frequently tighten up and the model flags a 1-1 deadlock as the single most probable outcome (13.0%), backing a straight side carries real risk. Given the model's strong 59.3% confidence in Under 2.5 total match goals, taking the Under provides a highly supported foundation, while pairing Colombia or Draw on the Double Chance market with Under 2.5 match goals aligns beautifully with the data.