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Wizards vs. Cavaliers prediction: Why Cleveland is favored to win Sunday's NBA matchup [4/12/2026]
Updated: | First published:
Written by Ryan Leaver, Senior Sports and Betting Editor
Get Washington Wizards vs Cleveland Cavaliers predictions for NBA Sunday.
NBA action continues on Sunday at 6:00 PM ET as the Washington Wizards look to defy the odds against the Cleveland Cavaliers at Rocket Arena.
Based on the latest simulation results and today’s injury reports, Dimers' proven NBA model predicts the Cavaliers as the most likely winner of the Wizards vs. Cavaliers game.
This prediction follows the latest NBA Injury Report, which suggests the Cavaliers lineup will feature stars like Max Strus, Tyrese Proctor and Jaylon Tyson, while the Wizards will be led by Will Riley, Bub Carrington and Anthony Gill.
This article offers an expanded analysis of Sunday's matchup, including an expanded look at the predicted score, best bets and player prop picks.
Wizards vs. Cavs prediction: Who will win and cover?
Using trusted machine learning and data, we have simulated the result of Sunday's NBA game between the Wizards and Cavaliers, forming part of our NBA predictions coverage.
Our independent predictive model currently gives the Cavaliers a 79% chance of beating the Wizards. Our predicted final score has the Cavaliers winning 122-112.
According to our model, the Wizards (+10.5) have a 54% chance of covering the spread, while the 235.5-point over/under has a 52% chance of staying under.
Wizards vs. Cavaliers odds
We have sourced the best NBA odds in America for this game, which are listed here:
| Bet Type | Wizards | Cavaliers |
|---|---|---|
| Spread | +10.5 (-108) | -10.5 (-108) |
| Moneyline | +425 | -500 |
| Total | o235.5 (-108) | u235.5 (-110) |
All odds are correct at the time of publication and are subject to change.
Wizards vs. Cavaliers picks and best bet
After matching our predictions against the best current odds, we can reveal our picks for each of the major markets. Plus, find our best bet for the game below:
| Bet Type | Pick | Bet Now |
|---|---|---|
| Spread | Wizards +10.5 | -108 |
| Moneyline | Wizards | +425 |
| Total | Under 235.5 | -110 |
According to our NBA best bets, the top play to make on this game is Wizards to win.
These picks are based on our probabilities matched against the implied probabilities from the sportsbook odds.
Wizards vs. Cavaliers player props
NBA prop bets are an exciting way to wager on the Wizards vs. Cavaliers matchup without necessarily betting on the outcome. We have crunched the numbers to project how each team's leading players will perform at Rocket Arena.
Will Riley is expected to lead the Wizards with 17 points, 4 rebounds and 3 assists, while Max Strus is projected to have 15 points, 7 rebounds and 5 assists for the Cavaliers.
Check out our NBA player projections for a full range of projected box scores, including points, assists, rebounds and today's NBA first basket picks.
Wizards prediction
Our model's projected player stats for the Wizards are:
| Player | PTS | REB | AST | 3PM | DFS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Riley | 17 | 4 | 3 | 2 | 32 |
| Bub Carrington | 13 | 3 | 6 | 3 | 30 |
| Anthony Gill | 11 | 5 | 3 | 1 | 27 |
| Jaden Hardy | 10 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 16 |
| J. Champagnie | 10 | 5 | 1 | 1 | 21 |
Cavaliers prediction
Projected points, rebounds, assists and three-pointers made for the Cavaliers:
| Player | PTS | REB | AST | 3PM | DFS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Max Strus | 15 | 7 | 5 | 4 | 37 |
| Tyrese Proctor | 14 | 3 | 4 | 2 | 28 |
| Jaylon Tyson | 14 | 6 | 3 | 2 | 30 |
| Nae'Qwan Tomlin | 14 | 7 | 2 | 1 | 32 |
| Larry Nance | 11 | 7 | 3 | 2 | 29 |
Wizards vs. Cavs game-day updates and essential details
Sunday's action between the Cavaliers and Wizards at Rocket Arena is scheduled to start at 6:00 PM ET.
- Who: Washington Wizards vs. Cleveland Cavaliers
- Date: Sunday, April 12, 2026
- Time: 6:00 PM ET/3:00PM PT
- Venue: Rocket Arena
Conclusion
We predict the Cavaliers, with a 79% win probability, will likely beat the Wizards in Sunday's NBA matchup.
Additional tools and information for betting safely can be found in our Responsible Gambling hub.
Ryan Leaver uses advanced statistical models and simulations to predict outcomes and provide predictions for the NBA, NFL, college football, college basketball, and soccer. He offers detailed game previews, best bets, props, and futures articles.
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