Valencia vs. Real Madrid prediction, odds, La Liga picks [11/7/2026]

Valencia and Real Madrid are scheduled to meet in La Liga at Estadio de Mestalla on Saturday, starting at 3:00 PM ET.

Dimers' advanced La Liga model projects Real Madrid as the most likely winner in this Valencia vs. Real Madrid prediction.

This article offers further insights into Saturday's match, including best bets and picks.

Valencia vs. Real Madrid prediction and odds

Using powerful machine learning and data, we have re-simulated the outcome of Saturday's La Liga match between Valencia and Real Madrid, forming part of our La Liga predictions coverage.

Our leading predictive model currently suggests a 14.3% chance of Valencia winning, a 66.9% chance for Real Madrid, and an 18.8% chance of a draw. Additionally, the over/under total of 2.5 goals has a 61.1% chance of going over., with a 54.0% likelihood that both teams score.

Latest betting odds

We have researched the best La Liga odds in America for this game, which are listed here:

• Moneyline: Real Madrid -400, Valencia +1150
• Total Goals: Over/Under 2.5 (-213/+213)

All odds are correct at the time of publication and are subject to change.

Model picks and best bet

After matching our predictions against the best current odds, we can reveal our picks for each of the major markets in this matchup. Plus, find our best bet for the game below:

• Moneyline: Valencia @ +1150 via Novig
• Total Goals: Under 2.5 @ +213 via Novig

According to our La Liga best bets, the top play to make on this game is Under 2.5 total goals.

These picks are based on our probabilities matched against the implied probabilities from the current available odds.

Correct score and BTTS projections

The top three most likely final scores, according to our model, are listed below, with a 2-0 Real Madrid win being the most probable:

• Valencia 0-2 Real Madrid (10.6% probability)
• Valencia 1-2 Real Madrid (9.8%)
• Valencia 0-1 Real Madrid (9.5%)

When it comes to the both teams to score (BTTS) market, we project a 54.0% chance of both sides finding the net and a 46.0% chance that at least one doesn’t.

Game info & kickoff details

Saturday's La Liga matchup between Valencia and Real Madrid at Estadio de Mestalla is scheduled to start in the USA at 3:00 PM ET.

• Who: Valencia vs. Real Madrid
• Date: Saturday, November 7, 2026
• Time: 3:00 PM ET/12:00 PM PT
• Venue: Estadio de Mestalla

Conclusion

According to our computer model, Valencia has a 14.3% win probability on Saturday, Real Madrid has a 66.9% win probability, and there is an 18.8% chance that the game will end in a draw.

Additional tools and information for betting safely can be found in our Responsible Gambling hub.

This article's predictions and probabilities are generated by Dimers' proprietary La Liga prediction model. Our editorial team reviews the resulting content for accuracy and presentation before publication.